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Russia-Ukraine conflict could bring further delays to new car supply

Published 04 March 2022

New car buyers should steel themselves for further potential delays to new car supply as the wider impact of Russia’s war on Ukraine is felt across the automotive industry. 

The new car market has already been affected by the global semiconductor shortage and the Covid-19 pandemic, which has brought supply issues. 

The latest figures from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) show that February’s new car market was down 25.9 per cent on February 2020's pre-pandemic levels.

February is typically the lowest volume month, as many buyers delay purchases until the ‘new plate’ month of March, and the SMMT described the 58,994 new car sales as “conventionally low” but said that vehicle supply remains constrained by semiconductor shortages.

Car Buyer 

It was hoped that the supply issues would improve in quarter three or four but the fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February could bring further setbacks. 

Chris Evans, head of sales at heycar, said: “While we thought things would be returning to some kind of normality by summer, with the developing situation in Ukraine, that is not likely."

He added: "The chip shortage crisis demonstrates how exposed car manufacturers are to third party suppliers and begs the question how they are going to adapt to avoid a repeat of this situation."

German carmakers association VDA told Reuters earlier this week that the fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine was disrupting transport routes as well as financial transactions and that it was bracing for shortages in a range of raw materials.

Electric Car Battery 

Of particular concern is that Ukraine is one of the exporters of neon gas, which is needed to produce automotive microchips. 

Meanwhile, Russia is a supplier of palladium, which is used for catalytic converters, and nickel ore, which is refined for use in lithium-ion car batteries. 

Car makers halt production in Russia 

Both the Volkswagen Group and Mercedes-Benz have now said they will stop producing vehicles in Russia and exporting to the country.

A spokesperson for the Volkswagen Group told HonestJohn.co.uk last week that it had assembled a crisis team to determine what impact the conflict will have on business activities in the affected countries. 

The Group, which includes Skoda, Audi, SEAT and Volkswagen, operates 120 production plants in 19 European countries. It has two relatively small plants in Russia with a focus on supplying in the main the local, domestic market.

"The Volkswagen Group has received the news about the war in Ukraine with great dismay and shock." Volkswagen Group spokesperson

"The Volkswagen Group has received the news about the war in Ukraine with great dismay and shock," the spokesperson said. 

"Volkswagen continues to hope for a cessation of hostilities and a return to diplomacy. We are convinced that a sustainable solution to the conflict can only be found on the basis of international law.

"Against the background of the Russian attack on Ukraine and the resulting consequences, the Group Board of Management of Volkswagen AG has decided to stop the production of vehicles in Russia until further notice. This decision applies to the Russian production sites in Kaluga and Nizhny Novgorod.

"Vehicle exports to Russia will also be stopped with immediate effect.

"With the extensive interruption of business activities in Russia, the Executive Board is reviewing the consequences from the overall situation, during this period of great uncertainty and upheaval."

Renault _Captur

The Renault Group has 14 plants in Europe, plus three in Russia, including one in Moscow, and produced 13 vehicles in Russia last year, including the Renault Captur, Dacia Duster and Dacia Sandero.

A spokesperson for Renault said: "We are following the ongoing situation very carefully. We observe some logistic impacts in our Renault Moscow plant from 28 February  to 5 March.

"Our Togliatti and Izhevsk plants (AVTOVAZ) will be temporarily suspended on 5 March and from 9 March to 11 March due to ongoing worldwide EC supplies shortage."

Stellantis also has a manufacturing facility in Russia for exporting vans to Western Europe. However, a spokesperson for Stellantis said that "there is no impact for UK customers at this time".

Toyota _RAV4

As of today, 4 March, Toyota Russia has stopped production at its plant in St Petersburg, which manufactures RAV4 and Camry models for the Russian market with exports to Belarus, Kazakhstan and Armenia. 

It has also stopped all imports of vehicles, until further notice, due to supply chain disruptions.

Toyota Ukraine stopped all activities as of 24 February.

Toyota said that other manufacturing and sales operations in the rest of Europe are not impacted.

1

What is the semiconductor shortage?

Since 2020 there has been a global shortage of semiconductors chips, which are used in all kinds of electronic devices from PCs to mobile phones, TVs and cars.

In modern cars, semiconductor chips power onboard safety systems, touchscreen infotainment and digital instrument displays.

Car makers that don’t have their own factories capable of producing the chips are having to wait for supply, and are likely to be at the back of the queue, behind the tech giants, leading to long wait times for new vehicles. 

2

How many new cars were sold in February 2022?

There were 58,994  new car registrations in February 2022, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).

That is 15 per cent up compared with February 2021, when the pandemic shut car showrooms across the UK but 25.9 per cent down on pre-pandemic levels.

Ask HJ

Audi Q3 delay, can I cancel my order?

I ordered an Audi Q3 from a main dealer in September 202. Audi build weeks of November week 3, December week 3, January week 4. Since early December all build weeks have been no longer forecast and they have now removed the spec for any new orders. Do I keep waiting in the belief that a locked in new price will ensure a build soon? Am I entitled to ask for a full return of deposit and look elsewhere?
If the dealer is unable to provide a reasonable lead time for the delivery then you will probably be entitled to cancel the order. You will need to check the terms and conditions of the sales documents to be sure of this. To be fair to the dealer, the car industry is going through unprecedented times with a shortage of semiconductors and parts. Some dealers are struggling to offer test drives: https://www.honestjohn.co.uk/news/car-market-1/2021-12/car-dealers-struggling-to-offer-test-drives/ I don't expect things to return to normal until the latter part of 2022.
Answered by Dan Powell
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Ask HJ

What is your advice on the used electric car market?

Could you give me your thoughts on the second-hand EV car market please as dealers are making a huge mark up? I enquired about a two year old e-Golf that had 31,000 miles on the clock and they wanted £30 more on monthly payments than if I brought a brand new one from MG. My own five year car only has 37,000 miles and they wanted to give me peanuts! There was no negotiation on both the sale, part exchange and deposits so I walked away. I will not be ripped off trying the second-hand option to buy an EV. Your thoughts welcome.
Your current car sounds like desirable stock for many used car dealers. We'd recommend selling it privately or perhaps via a service like motorway.co.uk. Then you'll be in a strong position to negotiate on its replacement. A new MG represents excellent value for money, although – like any new car at the moment – you could face a long wait for delivery. If it's the MG ZS EV you're considering, it'll be worth waiting for the latest updated model rather than settling on a nearly-new pre-facelift example. Not only does it have a bigger battery and a longer range, but the infotainment system is much better and it should hold more of its value (reducing the monthly payments on a PCP).
Answered by Andrew Brady
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