If you pursue this, presumably the plan is to sue whoever has written to you denying responsibility - the importer or concessionaire.
The answer to the question is far from obvious, and should you go to court you need to ease up on the attitude a little bit - that will improve your chances.
BMW may cave in when they receive the court papers, but I think they will defend it.
You need to be certain your claim falls within the fast track system in which you are not liable for costs from the other side.
Putting yourself at risk of a costs order would be foolish, because those costs could easily amount to a few thousand.
BMW may submit they cannot adequately defend this because they have not been able to examine the car or the broken bits.
Thus they could say the judge cannot safely make an order against them.
As the defendant, BMW don't have to prove all their cars are uber-reliable, all they have to do is muddy the waters sufficiently in relation to your car.
Add the mileage, the age of the car, and the non-dealer service, and this matter looks far from clear-cut.
If you win, all will be well, I think you will struggle, but it won't be me making the decision.
The court may not be entirely unsympathetic to you - hence the point about attitude.
So it's possible you will obtain a judgment for part of the cost - civil courts also like compromises.
To me, such a judgment would be a good result for you.
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