You might also lose out on purchase price in the first place; have you checked the broker prices, e.g., www.ukcarbroker.co.uk has them for £17,700 and base spec 2.0 versions for £16k.
What's your importer quoted you?
It's hard to say whether or not you will lose out - the reduction in cars being imported with the rise in the euro means that resale values in three to five years will be hard to predict, but I'd budget in the high three figures, plus a slightly surly attitude from the local dealer and a pretty much cast iron assurance that any problems when the car is out of warranty won't be looked upon very favourably, fAsh or not.
On top of that, there may still be supply delays, so IMO you need to be looking at below £16,500 to make the deal worthwhile.
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