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all - 2030, electric only? - barney100

Seems if we are to believe the press that petrol and diesel cars will not be made or sold new after 2030. Electric cars are very expensive and I understand that the batteries need materials that are in short supply. I suppose by 2030 the electric cars will have longer range and may come down in price how can we generate enough power on the grid to cope with the demand?

all - 2030, electric only? - Sparrow

There is no credible plan for how we are going to generate the necessary electricity, let alone all other infrastructure required. Making announcements is easy, as we have seen the government do frequently, but without substance behind them we won't get there.

It's a similar situation with domestic heating and the proposed ban on new houses having gas boilers. Lots of electricity needed, which could well have to be provided by gas as the inly reliable system that can be built quickly enough.

Edited by Sparrow on 17/11/2020 at 12:40

all - 2030, electric only? - Sofa Spud

In the early 1900's, when the motor car was evolving from being a plaything for the rich into a personal transport for the masses, many people must have asked the question: "But where will all the petroleum spirit needed to propel these tens of thousands of motor cars come from?".

By 2030 most of our electricity will come from renewable sources for most of the time. Last year we got about one third of our electricity from renewables (wind, solar) and that's grown from something like 6% in 2010 and virtually zero in 2000.

It is argued that moving to electric cars won't increase energy demand because of the savings from not having to refine oil. A lot of electricity and natural gas is used in the refining process.

They say you get 3 times as much energy from petrol as it takes to refine it - but then a petrol engine is only about 25 - 30 % thermal efficiency. An electric car is over 90% thermal efficiency and battery charging also wastes some energy as heat but much less overall than a petrol or diesel car.

A battery recycling industry is developing in readiness for when larger numbers of electric cars come to the end of their lives. Also a lot of work is going into employing safer and more easily obtainable materials within batteries.

Edited by Sofa Spud on 17/11/2020 at 13:04

all - 2030, electric only? - BPL

There is no credible plan for how we are going to generate the necessary electricity, let alone all other infrastructure required. Making announcements is easy, as we have seen the government do frequently, but without substance behind them we won't get there.

It's a similar situation with domestic heating and the proposed ban on new houses having gas boilers. Lots of electricity needed, which could well have to be provided by gas as the inly reliable system that can be built quickly enough.

Electrolysed Hydrogen from Wind Farms distributed via the natural gas network. Oh then the governmnt will cease all sales of EVs as they are too polluting.

all - 2030, electric only? - Sofa Spud

Why use electricity to produce hydrogen that needs to be transported, stored and then turned back into electricity in a fuel-cell in the car when electricity can be supplied straight to the car's battery via the grid?

While it's possible to burn hydrogen in a spark-ignition engines, it's less efficient than electric, whether battery or fuel-cell or a combination of the two.

I think the future of motoring is electric but I'm not so sure about the current fad for converting classic cars to electrics. Maybe they could be the perfect niche for hydrogen combustion engines.

Edited by Sofa Spud on 17/11/2020 at 13:16

all - 2030, electric only? - John F

Why use electricity to produce hydrogen that needs to be transported, stored and then turned back into electricity in a fuel-cell in the car when electricity can be supplied straight to the car's battery via the grid?

For the simple reason that you can store it. At present, wind farmers are paid not to produce electricity when there is too much of it about, e.g. north sea gales during summer nights. This is absurd, and hopefully temporary. It makes sense to store it in hydrogen rather than piles of batteries weighing ten times as much for the same amount of usable energy, and costing far more in polluting manufacture than a hydrogen tank, which should last indefinitely.

all - 2030, electric only? - BPL

Why use electricity to produce hydrogen that needs to be transported, stored and then turned back into electricity in a fuel-cell in the car when electricity can be supplied straight to the car's battery via the grid?

For the simple reason that you can store it. At present, wind farmers are paid not to produce electricity when there is too much of it about, e.g. north sea gales during summer nights. This is absurd, and hopefully temporary. It makes sense to store it in hydrogen rather than piles of batteries weighing ten times as much for the same amount of usable energy, and costing far more in polluting manufacture than a hydrogen tank, which should last indefinitely.

The distibution network largely exists when we migrate from "natural" gas to hydrogen. Perhaps they can also add some carnbon monoxide as per town gas then I could put my head in an oven rather than buy an electric car

all - 2030, electric only? - Sofa Spud

Why use electricity to produce hydrogen that needs to be transported, stored and then turned back into electricity in a fuel-cell in the car when electricity can be supplied straight to the car's battery via the grid?

For the simple reason that you can store it. At present, wind farmers are paid not to produce electricity when there is too much of it about, e.g. north sea gales during summer nights. This is absurd, and hopefully temporary. It makes sense to store it in hydrogen rather than piles of batteries weighing ten times as much for the same amount of usable energy, and costing far more in polluting manufacture than a hydrogen tank, which should last indefinitely.

The distibution network largely exists when we migrate from "natural" gas to hydrogen. Perhaps they can also add some carnbon monoxide as per town gas then I could put my head in an oven rather than buy an electric car

You can store electricity, in batteries. That's why grid-scale battery storage is being built all around the world including here in UK.

all - 2030, electric only? - BPL

Why use electricity to produce hydrogen that needs to be transported, stored and then turned back into electricity in a fuel-cell in the car when electricity can be supplied straight to the car's battery via the grid?

While it's possible to burn hydrogen in a spark-ignition engines, it's less efficient than electric, whether battery or fuel-cell or a combination of the two.

I think the future of motoring is electric but I'm not so sure about the current fad for converting classic cars to electrics. Maybe they could be the perfect niche for hydrogen combustion engines.

Converting classic cars to electric is sacrilige. They are no longer classic cars. Our history and heritage is being thrown away by fools

all - 2030, electric only? - daveyjp

Do you know there is no credible plan, or is that what you want to believe?

If you are told of a credible plan would you change your mind?

By 2030 the increase in offshore wind provision will more than meet the requirements for charging electric vehicles - that's not my opinion, that's the National Grid credible plan.

all - 2030, electric only? - Bromptonaut

Do you know there is no credible plan, or is that what you want to believe?

If you are told of a credible plan would you change your mind?

By 2030 the increase in offshore wind provision will more than meet the requirements for charging electric vehicles - that's not my opinion, that's the National Grid credible plan.

I suspect moving the deadline back to 2030 is to give a time that looks close enough to actually drive change and also to give some wiggle room before 2040 if, by 2027/8 that looks difficult.

Also, as I never tire of saying, 15 years ago if you bought an electric car it would probably be a GWhiz even 10 years ago there wasn't that much choice. Look at it now?

Same with charging infrastructure.

all - 2030, electric only? - John F

I suspect moving the deadline back to 2030 is to give a time that looks close enough to actually drive change and also to give some wiggle room before 2040 if, by 2027/8 that looks difficult.

There might be no need for a deadline. Steam cars were not outlawed, they just gradually disappeared during a decade or two as the big firms stopped making them and the little ones went bust.

all - 2030, electric only? - Terry W

A bit of guesswork over the adequacy of electrical infrastructure and generating capacity.

The probability is that we have ~ 25 years to make the transition, not 10 years to 2030. It is a pretty much a non-problem.

Assuming the average life of an ICE is 15 years, 33% of cars on the road in 2030 will be 10-15 year old ICE. Additionally the cars sold 2021 - 2030 will be partially ICE (say 50%) as EV sales increase from approx 15% to 90%+ of total car sales.

By 2030 ~33% of cars on the road will be EV

The issue of gas boilers has also been noted. I doubt that mandatory gas boiler change will be the outcome - more likely the ban will impact new and replacement installations.

The legislation has yet to be put in place, and gas boilers have an operating life of 15-30 years.

5-15% of gas installations will be replaced by electric by 2030.

all - 2030, electric only? - Engineer Andy

The current (pardon the pun) level of charging infrastructure is nothing compared to that needed to support a mjority of road users, bearing in mins that the precentage of cars on the road that are EVs is around the 0.5% mark as of today (I checked and it was roughly 140k out of 40M) . When they have similar levels to that of ICE filling stations that can charge a car in 5 minutes, maybe.

Besides, who's going to pay for all the new chargers and, once it gets to a significant level, digging up tens of thousands of miles of road, car parks, etc etc to lay all the new cables?

Whilst the grid may (not certain by any means, given the electricity consumed by fuel refineries are in specific areas only [mainly coastal]) be able to cope, local upgrades will almost certainly be needed.

But as others have said, the huge extra amount of raw materials needed for the batteries is not just as easy to find as regards ramping up existing supplies or finding new sources - in well under 10 years, given they all have to be found, surveyed to confirm quantity and quality of reserves, mines dug, product refined, then made into components and then fitted to the vehicles and sold.

And that's assuming we'll have the necessary electricity generation capacity when it's needed to fullfill the charging systems, noting that gas is rapidly running out and is neede far more to heat homes and buildings generally than to generate electricity for car batteries.

Solar panels are not viable for the amount of power this would need locally at charging points (huge arrays would be needed plus more underground cabling) or taking out yet more arable land needed for us to be as self-sufficient food wise as possible and for leisure use.

And most of us don't want a huge wind turbine within earshot or sight near our homes (never mind they are suited to most of the UK - mainly remote and northern areas).

I have no issue with going EV - I just think that the current crisis and lots of powerful vested interests are pushing them towards this, as well as those who want to virtue signal their supposed 'green' credentials.

Besides - we've just spent how many hundred £Bns on essentially treading water for 8 months and counting. Presumably that's more debt we're going to have to pay to certain already vastly wealthy billionairres and their companies/banks/China who are the very same people wanting this all to happen in return for more control over our lives, governments and economies.

Coincidence? I think not.

all - 2030, electric only? - focussed

Do you know there is no credible plan, or is that what you want to believe?

If you are told of a credible plan would you change your mind?

By 2030 the increase in offshore wind provision will more than meet the requirements for charging electric vehicles - that's not my opinion, that's the National Grid credible plan.

But only when the wind blows - is that a credible plan?

all - 2030, electric only? - Sofa Spud

But only when the wind blows - is that a credible plan?

Not on its own, maybe, but grid scale battery storage completes the jigsaw. Such battery units are already in operation - here's one:

www.edie.net/news/8/UK-s-largest-battery-storage-f.../

We all know the wind doesn't blow all the time but with the number of onshore and offshore wind farms in existence around our island, on most days the wind is blowing somewhere.

At the moment wind and solar exist in symbiosis with combined cycle gas-fired power stations, which can be started up or run down at short notice, unlike nuclear or coal-fired.

So the more renewable capacity we have, the less we need to use the gas-fired power stations and eventually they will just become stand-by,needed a few times a year.

all - 2030, electric only? - focussed

You cannot run a country like the UK on renewables alone.

"So it is against this backdrop of extreme emotional attachment to 'renewable energy' and extreme ignorance of the principles underlying power generation, and in the face of extreme opposition to any contradiction of its precepts, that we have to - perhaps vainly - attempt to lead those who are prepared to be led, down a path of a somewhat technical nature, in order to understand why, despite its seeming usefulness, it is in the end a deeply disappointing, wasteful and ultimately fruitless exercise.

And why simply spending more money on it will never achieve the hoped for results"

Leo Smith MA electrical sciences

www.templar.co.uk/downloads/Renewable%20Energy%20L...f

all - 2030, electric only? - Manatee

g gas boilers. Lots of electricity needed, which could well have to be provided by gas as the inly reliable system that can be built quickly enough.

I'd be interested to see some numbers for this.

I'm building a house that will have an air source heat pump. I should need to put in about 1/4 of the kWh of electricity than I would with gas were I to install a gas boiler instead. Of course this won't save me any money because electricity is about 4 x the price of gas. However I am hopeful that the house won't require a massive amount of heating of any kind. Current regulations mean even the minimum insulation levels of a new house are much better than most existing housing stock, and ours will exceed the requirements by a decent margin. I was spending £1500 a year heating the old bungalow with gas and I'll be disappointed if I can't halve that cost and claim the enable heat incentive for 7 years as well.

Whether it's sensible to do this is debatable of course, I could just save £5000 now by fitting gas but I'm hoping that a 'future' house will have appeal to buyers when I come to sell it.

all - 2030, electric only? - brum

Now official policy according to the Telegraph..,

"The sale of new petrol and diesel cars will be banned within a decade, and hybrid cars by 2035, as part of the Government's £12bn green industrial strategy. "

Notice the hybrid bit. Does that cover mild hybrid and micro hybrid as well? In which case pretty much 99% of new cars on sale are at least micro hybrid now (i.e. stop/start plus energy recovery)

www.yuasa.co.uk/info/technical/micro-hybrid-hybrid.../

Edit: I just read that new Skoda Octavia E-tec 1.5 (which is a mild hybrid) has supposedly been homologated as just a hybrid. Presumably all mild hybrids in the VAG stable will be the same.

tekdeeps.com/skoda-octavia-the-1-5-mild-hybrid-150.../

This surely is the loophole that car manufacturers will use to carry on till 2035.

Edited by brum on 18/11/2020 at 00:18

all - 2030, electric only? - Topdude

Perhaps we are thinking about this in the wrong way.

Instead of saying how are we going to provide enough electricity, batteries, infrastructure to support millions of cars maybe we just need fewer cars ?

Maybe the age of mass personal transport should end with the internal combustion engine, it would certainly be better for the planet and future generations ?

all - 2030, electric only? - Sparrow

You are very fortunate in being able to build a house that can be equipped with a heat pump. I understand they can work well in new homes because the design can take account of the low maximum water temperature they produce. This is done partly by much better insulation (as you are providing) and typically underfloor heating. You have managed in this most optimal design to get your electricity heating cost to be competitive with gas, but even so the energy coming into your house will now be electricity and not gas.

Most of us live in older houses, that typically have radiator heating designed for a water temperature of around 60 degrees coming from a gas or oil boiler. They don't work well with 40 degree water fro the heat pump. I have yet to see a solution to this issue. Retrofitting underfloor heating is either not practical or very costly, and they alternative would be massively increasing the quantity or effective area of the radiators.

Don't get me wrong, I am all in favour of going electric if we can produce it in a green way. Today we not only include solar and wind as "green" but also biomass. The ex-coal fired Drax B power station now burns wood pellets imported from Canada. It's electricity id included in the percentage of environmentally friendly electricity we produce. Is this right? Or is it misleading the public about how good we are getting?

I'm sorry to digress away from motoring a little. Others have made very good points in this and other threads. I suspect that hydrogen is a much better long term power source for road transport than electricity.

all - 2030, electric only? - Sofa Spud

How would the hydrogen be used to drive the cars?

Hydrogen is consumed in a fuel cell that produces electricity to drive the car. So a hydrogen powered car is essentially an electric car with exhaust pipe that emits water vapour.

There have been experimental cars that burn hydrogen in an adapted petrol engine but that's much less efficient. As I say, a possible niche market for hydrogen would be adapting existing cars to run on it - particularly classic cars.

Edited by Sofa Spud on 18/11/2020 at 09:36

all - 2030, electric only? - alan1302

I'm sorry to digress away from motoring a little. Others have made very good points in this and other threads. I suspect that hydrogen is a much better long term power source for road transport than electricity.

I think it is as well - but do think it is too far off to be the solution at the moment as electric cars are a lot further ahead with the amount to research and development on them especially into larger capacity batteries.

all - 2030, electric only? - brum

Idiotic thinktank says 2030 is too late and is calling foe a ban of new ICE cars by 2026!! As little as 6 years away!!!! Hope Princess Nut Nut is not involved.

www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/nov/18/uk-ban...s

all - 2030, electric only? - alan1302

Idiotic thinktank says 2030 is too late and is calling foe a ban of new ICE cars by 2026!! As little as 6 years away!!!! Hope Princess Nut Nut is not involved.

www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/nov/18/uk-ban...s

Who is Princess Nut Nut? Do prefer it when people use peoples real names.

all - 2030, electric only? - focussed

Princess Nut Nut is none other that Boris's floozy.

all - 2030, electric only? - Bromptonaut

Idiotic thinktank says 2030 is too late and is calling foe a ban of new ICE cars by 2026!! As little as 6 years away!!!! Hope Princess Nut Nut is not involved.

www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/nov/18/uk-ban...s

It's a simple prediction that, unless we abandon ICE before 2030, we won't met targets for CO2 reduction. The science may or may not be reliable and 2026 may not be achievable but I'm not sure either of those reasons make the think tank "idiotic".

all - 2030, electric only? - Avant

"Notice the hybrid bit. Does that cover mild hybrid and micro hybrid as well? "

My guess is that there will be a minimum distance that a hybrid has to cover on electric power alone. 30 miles or thereabouts would be sensible, but there's no guarantee that decisions made by men in suits who drive only at weekends will be sensible.

"Maybe the age of mass personal transport should end with the internal combustion engine, it would certainly be better for the planet and future generations."

You would have to change human nature, and the desire for personal freedom, to achieve that. There's a higher proportion, I believe, of younger people who choose not to drive: but they mainly live in cities, and many of them will change their tune when they start having families.

Edited by Avant on 18/11/2020 at 11:45

all - 2030, electric only? - Ethan Edwards

Well if Doris is still in charge in 2030 you can rely on several u turns in policy before then. Just as long as its a odd number ... Though to be fair I'm not expecting Doris to be our PM by the end of January. Who knows....... I do know this policy is plain nut nuts whoever dreamt it up. Turns out the conspiracy theorists ranting about Lizards, NWO and Globalist resets were the only sane ones amongst us. Colour me surprised.

all - 2030, electric only? - FoxyJukebox

Nowhere for me to charge a preposterously expensive electric car--and I'm not the only one...

MORE IMPORTANTLY as I look outside on my street today, 80% of the vehicles I see (petrol or diesel) remain lockdown parked 5 days a week. Hardly used at weekends either. Delivery vehicles are frequent visitors as are the occasional taxi and the odd totally empty bus. Extraordinarily enough--I noticed that the 80% lockdown usage hardly changed during the june/july/august non lockdown period. People just sat in their gardens at home?

Surely you can't ignore the fact that travel habits are changing unless ,as a coincidence, everyone in my road is either permanently working from home, furloughed or redundant since march.

Edited by Dogfuzz on 18/11/2020 at 12:23

all - 2030, electric only? - Sofa Spud

Just because you can't find anywhere to charge a "preposterously expensive" electric car now doesn't mean that in 5 years time you won;t be able to find somewhere convenient to charge a reasonably priced electric car.

All the major manufacturers are shifting research and development to EVs at the same time as the electricity supply industry shifts to renewable generation such as wind and solar.

By 2030 I wonder how many manufacturers will offer petrol or diesel powered cars anyway. It's still not quite 10 years since the Nissan Leaf, the first mass-produced electric car of modern times, went on sale. Before that the only electric car you could buy was the Reva G Wiz, a tiny, low performance runabout powered by lead-acid batteries.

all - 2030, electric only? - Middleman

It's a simple prediction that, unless we abandon ICE before 2030, we won't met targets for CO2 reduction. The science may or may not be reliable and 2026 may not be achievable but I'm not sure either of those reasons make the think tank "idiotic".

No it doesn't. It is whatever "think tank" came up with the CO2 reduction target that is idiotic. Whilst China is opening a new coal fired power station about every ten days (many of them no doubt required to power the factories which produce the components for "green" electric cars) our fannying about to make a small impact on the 2% of global emissions we are responsible for is peeing in the wind.

all - 2030, electric only? - mcb100

An interesting, and reasoned, interview with Robert Llewellyn on Radio 5Live this morning, regarding the EV future. He is something of an EV specialist, with a lot of contacts within the industry. One point did leap out, in that the price of EV and petrol engined cars is expected to reach parity in a couple of years.

all - 2030, electric only? - badbusdriver

An interesting, and reasoned, interview with Robert Llewellyn on Radio 5Live this morning, regarding the EV future. He is something of an EV specialist, with a lot of contacts within the industry. One point did leap out, in that the price of EV and petrol engined cars is expected to reach parity in a couple of years.

And remember he was something of a 'petrolhead' before becoming an EV convert!. I seem to remember he was running a Golf R32 before he got his first Leaf.

all - 2030, electric only? - sammy1

One point did leap out, in that the price of EV and petrol engined cars is expected to reach parity in a couple of years.

Of course they will, it is engineered, have you seen the way ICE cars have increased in price in the last 12 months. Yes they will reach parity UPWARDS

all - 2030, electric only? - Avant

More likely to meet in the middle. The cars that need to come down in price are the small ones like the Mini Electric, E-Up and Honda E, and hopefully they will if dmeand increases.

The E-Niro I've ordered, assuming the Government grant is still there next spring - fingers crossed - will only be £1,000 more than the cost of the petrol Q2 in early 2018, and the PCP payments will be about the same if I put the same deposit in.

all - 2030, electric only? - Trilogy.

An interesting, and reasoned, interview with Robert Llewellyn on Radio 5Live this morning, regarding the EV future. He is something of an EV specialist, with a lot of contacts within the industry. One point did leap out, in that the price of EV and petrol engined cars is expected to reach parity in a couple of years.

And remember he was something of a 'petrolhead' before becoming an EV convert!. I seem to remember he was running a Golf R32 before he got his first Leaf.

I can't imagine a Ferrari EV, unless they make it sound like a V8/V12.

all - 2030, electric only? - BPL

www.dailymail.co.uk/money/cars/article-8949125/Doe...0

all - 2030, electric only? - barney100

Corsa petrol, £16,000 appx. Corsa electric around £28,000.

all - 2030, electric only? - Ethan Edwards

I wouldn't pay more than 10,000 for a Corsa. Overpriced and simply outclassed by its rivals.

all - 2030, electric only? - focussed

So the UK wants to adopt californication by 2030?

In a remarkable moment of candor, Governor Gavin Newsom of California said in mid-August 2020 that the state’s transition away from fossil fuels is a contributing factor to the state’s rolling blackouts. The elimination of fossil fuel products and the shift to solar power, windmills and other forms of green energy has led to what Newsom called “gaps” in the energy grid’s reliability. To top it off, the Governor signed an executive order on September 23 banning the sale of new gasoline-powered vehicles within 15 years to cut down on air pollution and reach the state’s goals for reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) delivered this common sense verdict to Governor Newsom: “California’s record of rolling blackouts – unprecedented in size and scope – coupled with recent requests to neighboring states for power begs the question of how you expect to run an electric car fleet that will come with significant increases in electricity demand, when you can’t even keep the lights on today?.”

all - 2030, electric only? - Terry W

The issue with electricity generation in the UK is a lack of surplus capacity to be used in times of increased demand due to weather, equipment failures and demand surges.

Private sector, driven by the profit motive, do not want to invest in more capacity than they can reliably sell. When nationalised the government could play safe and build in excess capacity for which we all paid (even if we were not aware of it)

I do not think renationalisation would be a good idea, but much better regulation of the industry is needed to to ensure additional capacity is built in advance (not after) demand has increased.

Capacity building should not be a barrier to EV rollout - whether the government are up to the task is a different question.

all - 2030, electric only? - alan1302

So the UK wants to adopt californication by 2030?

In a remarkable moment of candor, Governor Gavin Newsom of California said in mid-August 2020 that the state’s transition away from fossil fuels is a contributing factor to the state’s rolling blackouts. The elimination of fossil fuel products and the shift to solar power, windmills and other forms of green energy has led to what Newsom called “gaps” in the energy grid’s reliability. To top it off, the Governor signed an executive order on September 23 banning the sale of new gasoline-powered vehicles within 15 years to cut down on air pollution and reach the state’s goals for reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) delivered this common sense verdict to Governor Newsom: “California’s record of rolling blackouts – unprecedented in size and scope – coupled with recent requests to neighboring states for power begs the question of how you expect to run an electric car fleet that will come with significant increases in electricity demand, when you can’t even keep the lights on today?.”

All that shows is that if you want to bring this change then you need to invest in the electricity generation as well - which is kind of obvious.

all - 2030, electric only? - madf

All that shows is that if you want to bring this change then you need to invest in the electricity generation as well - which is kind of obvious.

Which is why the UK has ordered more nuclear reactors to form a base load for when solar and wind power do not work,

Errr no it has not...and the existing ones are due to close by 2030 with one new one coming on stream then...

We are doomed.

all - 2030, electric only? - Gibbo_Wirral

I wouldn't pay more than 10,000 for a Corsa. Overpriced and simply outclassed by its rivals.

That electric one got a bad review on Top Gear too.

all - 2030, electric only? - mcb100

'Self charging' hybrids, Toyota, for example, will be exempt from the 2030 ban, regardless of whether or not they plug in. I'm not sure yet on the proliferation of mild hybrids that won't run on just electrical power.

all - 2030, electric only? - Brit_in_Germany

Another potential fuel for a fuel cell is ethanol which presumably would need less energy to produce but would have an impact on the agricultural resources available for food production.

all - 2030, electric only? - Gibbo_Wirral

Time to get some training on electric vehicles if they go faulty just outside the 3 year warranty period. Owning an electric car repair garage will be a licence to print money.

VW pulls plug on helping with £2,500 repair bill

www.theguardian.com/money/2020/nov/09/vw-repair-bi...y

all - 2030, electric only? - sammy1

Which is why the UK has ordered more nuclear reactors to form a base load for when solar and wind power do not work,

Errr no it has not...and the existing ones are due to close by 2030 with one new one coming on stream then...

My understanding is yes the grid does need more back up capacity, but RR are going to build a series of mini nuclear reactors backed by government. Hinkley is well into building a new full size reactor.

all - 2030, electric only? - madf

Which is why the UK has ordered more nuclear reactors to form a base load for when solar and wind power do not work,

Errr no it has not...and the existing ones are due to close by 2030 with one new one coming on stream then...

My understanding is yes the grid does need more back up capacity, but RR are going to build a series of mini nuclear reactors backed by government. Hinkley is well into building a new full size reactor.

RR are going to build nothing yet.

And the Government have carefully avoided any promises.

all - 2030, electric only? - Ethan Edwards

Haven't you noticed how public works are done in the UK?

Ambitious plans are announced and costed at say 500million.

Public inquiry, consultation exercises and more PR consultants eat up three to five years and spend 600 million.

Then the project is built cheaply for a bargain 1billion. Late and over budget. Then a few more inquiries are launched costing another three hundred million. Then five years late the taxpayer gets his railway line or motorway. Final cost 2.4bn. Which had the cost been known ten years before would have been deemed too expensive. Also as its late it'll already be in need of replacing or upgrading. And we all start again. Crossrail anyone? Have any uk public works ever been delivered early or under budget,?....ever? Colchester its taken three years to move a roundabout...and its still not finished.

all - 2030, electric only? - alan1302

Time to get some training on electric vehicles if they go faulty just outside the 3 year warranty period. Owning an electric car repair garage will be a licence to print money.

VW pulls plug on helping with £2,500 repair bill

www.theguardian.com/money/2020/nov/09/vw-repair-bi...y

Is that any different from their attitude for ICE cars?

all - 2030, electric only? - Terry W

I would seriously question the negative assertions about EVs - battery packs will fail costing mega $$ to replace, what happens when they fail just outside the warranty period etc.

It seems a somewhat simplistic scare tactic to try and reinforce a personal opinion, not a product of rational or thoughtful analysis.

Current EV battery packs seem to be under warranty for around 8 years. Performance may fall slightly but current experience is that total failures are very rare. Full replacement may not be necessary anyway, just the replacement of some of the cells.

Mechanically electric motors are far more relaible than ICE motors and gearboxes. In industrial and commercial applications they operate for more than 20 years - sometimes over 50 years without attention. ICE have several hundred precision machined parts, any of which can fail, electric motors have but a handful.

ICUs and other components are very similar for EV and ICE.

all - 2030, electric only? - Avant

"Time to get some training on electric vehicles if they go faulty just outside the 3 year warranty period."

Training - lesson one. Don't buy an EV with a warranty of only 3 years.

all - 2030, electric only? - mcb100

The official wording is as follows - “we are taking decisive action to end the sale of new petrol and diesel cars and vans by 2030, with all vehicles being required to have a significant zero emissions capability (e.g. plug-in and full hybrids) from 2030 and be 100% zero emissions from 2035”

I take that to mean that full hybrids (Toyota/Lexus/Honda/etc) will be permitted up to 2035, but anything that wont run under just electrical propulsion, ie mild hybrids, will disappear in 2030.

all - 2030, electric only? - misar

Does that requirement make EVs with petrol range extenders a more viable option for the next 15 years? They are attractive for users who are unable or unwilling to rely on plug in chargers until forced to. The manufacturers can sell virtually the same models as pure EVs, including after 2035, just by replacing the ICE and fuel tank with more batteries.

all - 2030, electric only? - Sofa Spud

Does that requirement make EVs with petrol range extenders a more viable option for the next 15 years? They are attractive for users who are unable or unwilling to rely on plug in chargers until forced to. The manufacturers can sell virtually the same models as pure EVs, including after 2035, just by replacing the ICE and fuel tank with more batteries.

Pure electric cars fall into two groups - those that are engineered from the ground up as EVs and those that are electric versions of cars that are also available with petrol or diesel engines. Those cars that are designed from scratch as an EV are able to package all the components to give maximum usable space, for example by placing a slab shaped battery under the floor, which also keeps the centre of gravity low. Cars that share their platfoem with i.c. versions are more of a compromise space-wise.

all - 2030, electric only? - Avant

Nissan have just released some info about the new Qashqai. There won't be a PHEV but instead a petrol motor will be available to charge the battery. I presume this is basically a range extender, as Mazda are hinting will be added to the MX-30.

We first heard about this in the BMW i3, but they dropped it, I suppose because the range extender version didn't sell well. Its petrol tank was only 9 litres / 2 gallons, so it wasn;t designed for long distances.

I suspect that both PHEVs and range extenders will wane in popularity as pure EV batteries improve and public charging points multiply. I started this year's car search thinking I wanted a PHEV, but have found that (unlike with BEVs) the extra cost of them over their petrol equivalents isn't justified by the fuel savings unless you only do short jourrneys.