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Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - HGV ~ P Valentine

I just wanted to know your thoughts on this article I read.

www.msn.com/en-gb/cars/news/thanks-to-pushback-in-...p

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - madf

To quote from the article:

"For this to happen, local councils need to take bold action. Banning cars can only ever be one half of the solution. The other is to provide affordable, efficient alternatives. That demands literally joined-up thinking and working across communities and organisations."

So "joined up thinking is needed"..

In which case the car is safe..

See the Smart Motorway shambles..

And Northern Rail

I rest my case.

Edited by madf on 30/01/2020 at 14:00

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bromptonaut

I think bans or limits on ice powered vehicles, particularly diesels, in urban areas will inevitably spread. The effects of pollution, I mean NOx, particulates and other tail pipe dirties that concentrate locally, are such that bans are only way to protect residents, pedestrians and for that matter other vehicle occupants.

CO2 is a different ball game.

Edited by Bromptonaut on 30/01/2020 at 14:07

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - barney100

Emissions from cars are lower than they have ever been surely. Petrol unleaded and catalytic converters fitted, why all the car banning talk now?

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bromptonaut

Emissions from cars are lower than they have ever been surely. Petrol unleaded and catalytic converters fitted, why all the car banning talk now?

AIUI the issue is with NOx and other pollutants at street level bumping safe limits. Removal of lead 30 or so years has removed that from verges etc along main roads. Cats have removed some pollutants too.

Others including NOx are not yet adequately controlled.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Avant

What the men in suits never seem to understand is that if you impose a ban like this you need to put something in its place. Banning cars and encouraging diesel buses is hardly the solution we need.

Large towns and cities either need a tram system, as some already have, or a park and ride system with electric or hybrid buses. It can't be beyond the wit of local authorities to install park and ride parks north, south, east and west of the centre, with electric buses going N/S and E/W, and rapid charging points at each park.

Edited by Avant on 30/01/2020 at 14:23

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bolt

What the men in suits never seem to understand is that if you impose a ban like this you need to put something in its place. Banning cars and encouraging diesel buses is hardly the solution we need.

Large towns and cities either need a tram system, as some already have, or a park and ride system with electric or hybrid buses. It can't be beyond the wit of local authorities to install park and ride parks north, south, east and west of the centre, with electric buses going N/S and E/W, and rapid charging points at each park.

Yes, and I wonder how long it would take to charge a bus if there are several charging at once which there would be. ?

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Avant

Indeed - you'd need to have enough buses and charging points to make the system work.

Planning for something like this should be going on now, with support and subsidy from central government - but I'm sure it isn't.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - HGV ~ P Valentine

Paul Valentine esq

All valid and I agree, it is a totally stupid idea, for all the reasons stated. I think they may forget about the park and ride and introduce a bicycle and ride with eco friendly tyres on the bikes ….. of course. lol

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - daveyjp

Comments on these subjects always seem to be from people who aren't aware that what they suggest is already happening.

In my area:

Leeds has three park and rides, one is being doubled in size and another has just started on site. I've never used them so don't know what buses they use, but hybrid as a minimum and just electric will have to be the norm going forwards.

York has had park and rides for years. They are now getting electric buses with enough range for their multiple back and forth trips. They have overnight charging, but there is also a charger at the bus stop.

Harrogate has some rapid charge electric buses. They are charged overnight to full capacity. During passenger operations at the end of the route they receive a few minutes of very rapid charge (150-450kw power infrastructure) which tops up the battery to extend the range. At the end of the day back to the depot for full recharge - rinse and repeat day after day.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bolt

Comments on these subjects always seem to be from people who aren't aware that what they suggest is already happening.

I heard, and it appears it was on the news last night, the National Grid is installing new cables around 15 floors underground below London to accommodate these new charging systems

its obvious the cables in London wont take too much of these chargers after whats happened because of a water leak that blew into a gas main, this caused all heating to go out of order, so the water board supplied all houses affected with 1 kilowatt heaters

everyone switched these heaters on at night which blew the main transformer due to the current being drawn, so, good example of what may happen if too many chargers are on the same circuit

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Engineer Andy

What the men in suits never seem to understand is that if you impose a ban like this you need to put something in its place. Banning cars and encouraging diesel buses is hardly the solution we need.

Large towns and cities either need a tram system, as some already have, or a park and ride system with electric or hybrid buses. It can't be beyond the wit of local authorities to install park and ride parks north, south, east and west of the centre, with electric buses going N/S and E/W, and rapid charging points at each park.

Probably because the 'men in suits' are not poor and are able to make personal choices that suits their lifestyle without too much bother, e.g. buying hybrid cars or EVs, buying items online, etc. Many poor people don't have a choice other than getting on a bus or train, which is no good if they need to carry a lot of shopping/large items home or elsewhere.

I often think such proposals are specifically designed to keep the poor as such and dependent upon the good graces of the Esatblishment/Metropolitan Elites for handouts, especially so they can keep the price of hired help like cleaners etc down.

This goes back to what I said in the EV thread about why EVs are subsidised by general taxation when 95% of EV buyers can already afford them. All it does is further enrich those already with money, power and influence by fleecing everyone else. I have no problem helping tech get off the ground, but we are way past that now as regards EVs and green energy.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Andrew-T

The only change which will offer some serious kind of solution to the problems of congestion and pollution is for everyone to travel less. So far all the tweaks seem to have been based on the assumption that no-one will need to make any sacrifices - just take the lead out of petrol, build some bypasses, stick on a cat-converter and/or a particle filter, go electric .... Meanwhile cars get bigger, heavier and faster, and more expensive to fix when any of the add-ons stop working.

For fifty years after we got our first motorway, the effects of road building have shown that the perceived problem(s) are solved for a short time before the resulting increase in traffic negates them again. Most traffic goes from urban area to urban area, which just get more congested and run out of places to park. Vehicle ownership grows at a faster rate than any feasible road-building programme. Everyone knows all this, but it seems there is neither a will nor a way. Pity.

Edited by Andrew-T on 30/01/2020 at 15:30

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - HGV ~ P Valentine

Paul Valentine esq

A bit like a doctor treating the symptoms, without curing the disease or the reason for the syptoms.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Terry W

I think the end of mass individual car ownership is in sight - although it may take 20+ years to largely complete the process. Not really any different conceptually from the end of the horse as a transport tool and the adoption of ICE 100-120 years ago.

There will be exceptions (eg: those in more remote rural areas) and those with particular needs (eg: farming community). But urban town or city dwellers now account for over 80% of UK population and growing. Basic assumptions:

  • City and town centres will increasingly ban ICE to reduce local pollution
  • City centres will become more pleasant places to shop, live and socialise
  • Cities need to make alternative arrangements for people to park on the perimeter
  • Park and ride needs implementing properly, precedence given to EVs.
  • EVs continue to improve batteries and range.
  • Proper EV charging infrastructure needed
  • Increased online shopping for durables and non-perishable food
  • Reduction in retail parks - some repurposed as local online delivery hubs.
  • Work from home will increase reducing commuter load on transport systems
  • Driverless vehicles (DV) - called or booked via smartphone app
  • DVs to form "road train" on motorway network for longer journeys. Or possibly DV to terminus where coach or train used for major part of journey.
  • Possible use of hire cars booked via app for occasional long journeys

Most of this is already technically feasible, or likely to be in less than a decade - longest leadtime may be Driverless Vehicles.

But it also needs planning and implementation in the right order to avoid a complete shambles - eg: banning ICE from urban centres without putting in place a decent alternative would simply be the final death of the town centre.

It also assumes that social changes will happen as people individually understand, start to make personal decisions and embrace what the future may hold - eg:

  • you may choose to live much closer to work (walk or electric bike) rather than accept a lengthy and costly commute
  • education and healthcare infrastructure will need to evolve
  • the nature of work and the workplace will continue to evolve

For many this may all seem like a threat - the response is usually some form of denial (can't be done, will never happen, rubbish, flawed). But from simple observation just look at how many have been marginalised because they felt incapable - programming the video remote, using the internet, using online banking, comparing hotel/energy/insurance costs etc.etc

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - barney100

Trolley buses as they used to have in Bradford years ago. No charging needed and no emissions, just the bloke with the long pole putting the prongs back on the wires when they came off.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bromptonaut

Trolley buses as they used to have in Bradford years ago. No charging needed and no emissions, just the bloke with the long pole putting the prongs back on the wires when they came off.

Although as a Yorkie I remember Bradford's trolley buses as last in UK my only ride on one was c1967 on a SELNEC example in Stalybridge. Acceleration, for those of us accustomed to the Bristol Lodekka, was incredible.

Answer to today's issues may be a trolleybus with batteries and/or a donkey engine so it could range beyond the wires.

Edited by Bromptonaut on 30/01/2020 at 19:50

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - gordonbennet

Click bait utter cobblers, no the reign of the car isn't over and it won't be for decades to come despite politicians and their like spouting ever more on message tripe to endear themselves to the climate wheeze of the moment.

Anyone fancy cowering at the bus stop late at night in some inner city hell hole to get home from a late shift, hoping and praying you won't be mugged or the next victim of someone wielding a dagger or machete.

I start my shift anything from 3.30am onwards, you'd be surprised just how busy the roads are at that time of the morning, with people going to do their jobs to keep the country fed and watered and safe and healthy, the one thing you won't see is any suitable public transport at that time that would enable the country to provide for itself.

When the shelves are empty and the people that run the grid can't get to work and the power shuts down, the streets would become a battleground in days as people fight for provisions...have you seen how they behave over a rubbish telly in a black friday sale, imagine the scenes when cities start to run short of food, having made it impossible for economic supplies to arrive and ever more difficult and expensive for the people who receive those deliveries and stock the shelves to get to work, the always unwanted (unless a politician wants their vote) working class who haven't the funds to blow £35k on some scalextric car with a life expectancy of 7 years.

It's all talk to please the latest noisiest identity groups, there won't be a car free environment and they know it, this is all typical softening up for massive tax rises for those who need to use the roads to get to work.

The roads are rammed because there's millions more people here than the country can accommodate, and no proper planning for at least 40 years for this increase and the coming massive increases over the next 40 years, brilliantly we're concreting over the very land that could be used to feed us all in order to provide more houses for the former city dwellers to escape to, not forgetting thousands of acres of massive warehouses full of Chinese tat, or retail parks (where's the factories?), but not in the Cotswolds eh Dave.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - John F

Trolley buses as they used to have in Bradford years ago. No charging needed and no emissions, just the bloke with the long pole putting the prongs back on the wires when they came off.

Ah yes - childhood memories - gliding along Manningham Lane en route to the Gaumont.... I never remember any poles coming off, even at complex junctions e.g. Shipley bus depot. They have them in Salzburg - I shall be on the number 2 soon...

www.salzburg-airport.com/en/flights-arrival/arriva.../

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Andrew-T
  • Increased online shopping for durables and non-perishable food
  • Reduction in retail parks - some repurposed as local online delivery hubs.

You only need to visit a supermarket to realise the quantities of stuff some people take home with their weekly shop. It would be unmanageable with a Park-&-Ride or other public transport method, so home delivery will be needed for that too - unless they shop every other day, just like they used to when I was growing up in the 1950s.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Miniman777

A lot of the story and comments are purely speculative.

Terry W said "you may choose to live much closer to work (walk or electric bike) rather than accept a lengthy and costly commute."

Not necessarily. Lots of local jobs are being lost, firms closing, cant compete with China.

He added:

  • the nature of work and the workplace will continue to evolve

What do you mean by evolve? 15 years ago 'experts were predicting video conferencing would eliminate the need travel. Has it heck. I know folk who live in Birmingham, Coventry and Doncaster and commute because their well-paid job is in London.

Ref the 'marginalised'.. their decision to be/feel incapable. I am in my late 60s, use Internet banking, Twitter, like high tech, and just taught a friend of 40 years to use a Mac computer. And have they no friends, neighbours or family to help with comparison sites?

But back to cars, while cities have the right, what we are heading for is a hotch potch of miscellaneous schemes, each one different which will confuse drivers visiting other cities.

Yes, we could use rail, but it needs far more investment. I work in the rail industry and while the environmentalists are against HS2, they have no solution to handle the growing number of passengers, which despite the cost of fares, shown no sign of slowing.

If HS2 is not built - and it was promoted wrongly from day 1 for speed not the capacity on several other lines which it will ultimately create - then if commuters and others cant get on to trains, then they will drive, which tends to defeat the story. NO capacity for freight means more HGVs on the road - is that what we want?

Environmentalists say scrap HS2, invest in local trains. Easy said, in practice a nightmare.You can only provide more local trains by removing the express trains and to achieve that you need HS2 and later HS3.

Passenger capacity is a complex issue and while Northern, TransPennine, West Midlands, South Western and Greater Anglia are all having new trains delivered now and for the next 2 years, the build quality is dire, so until every new train can achieve 2000 miles fault free running, it will not be used for passenger service. Aside, drivers and guards need to be trained, and because train operators are short of staff, cancellations occur when training happens. You might ask why wasn't this foreseen - and it's a question none of the train operators can answer easily, but if I told you too many were also allowed to take holiday last summer and Christmas at the same time, you would wonder what is going on.

Government needs to also stop sending mixed messages on emissions. It's folly to cancel electrification schemes with minimal carbon emissions in favour of allowing more than 170 domestic flights between Scotland and England each day, many duplicating rail routes. Nor has the Government increased fuel duty via the escalator since 2013, so that wont enforce a cut in road use.

So what are the answers? TBH, no one really knows. Some say more trams for cities with satellite car parks, but building tram lines is disruptive and expensive because of the cost to move utilities. Edinburgh's project has incredibly badly managed and cost £720m, twice the estimate.

But what about the remote folk, how can you stop them driving? Cars are a lifeline for so many. What about emergencies.? My partner has a weak immune system, temperature over a set limit and it could be hospital and put on IV antibiotics. You cant hang around an hour or so waiting for paramedic/ambulance, as the risk of sepsis is great.

Banning all city centre traffic will need a whole cultural change to persuade people to use public transport if city centre shops are to survive. That should also mean banning diesel HGVs on delivery, with goods transferred from transfer hubs to electric floats or small electric vans for delivery to the shops.

And what about disabled people?

And no one has thought about how to get home the items you buy in a city centre. Four weeks ago, I bought a TV from John Lewis in Birmingham, carried it to the car. Take a 55in TV on a bus?

Electric cars. They are a joke. Mainly small poxy cars costing daft amounts or a bigger car costing even more. A hybrid Pug 3008 is £46k. That's looney money. There's a poor charging infrastructure, and EV's come with a big fire risk, Not many UK fire services are properly equipped to deal with an EV fire and one in a car park could leads to many complications. Indications are it could be 24 hours plus before the vehicle may be safe, so why the rush to the new technology?

Yes, I've ranted, but the simple message is no one size fits all - and that's what Government and councils need to look at a range of options to suit all people and all pockets.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - focussed

"minimal carbon emissions in favour of allowing more than 170 domestic flights between Scotland and England each day"

It's all about the assumptions used to come up with the generality of the statement that aircraft pollute more than cars. It depends on how many people in each car and how many people in the plane.

For example, a study by the University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute states the energy intensity of car transportation is on average 57% higher than air transports. In other words, a car emits more CO2 than the average planes because they consume more energy to transport the same amount of passengers.

Proof that statistics get used in the same manner as a drunk uses a lamp post, for support rather than illumination!

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Andrew-T

It's all about the assumptions used to come up with the generality of the statement that aircraft pollute more than cars. It depends on how many people in each car and how many people in the plane.

I have always been puzzled about why global warming seems to have begun only after WW2, although fossil fuels have been burnt on a large scale since about 1800. My simple theory is that since WW2, CO2 has been injected into the upper atmosphere with the growth of commercial aviation. Before that it was all at ground level, where vegetation could get at it and turn it back into oxygen. Of course the jet stream stirs things up a bit, but the atmosphere is still rather layered, so CO2 concentrations up there must be a lot higher than historically. Of course there are no historical data to prove that :-(

But as usual, no-one suggests that large-scale flying (like large-scale driving) is a bad thing, except when new viruses hitch a ride, when panic starts to set in.

Edited by Andrew-T on 31/01/2020 at 10:07

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bromptonaut

I have always been puzzled about why global warming seems to have begun only after WW2, although fossil fuels have been burnt on a large scale since about 1800.

I suspect that the growth in fossil fuel usage since 1945 has been exponential with the motor car and industrialisation outside first world as drivers.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - alan1302

But as usual, no-one suggests that large-scale flying (like large-scale driving) is a bad thing, except when new viruses hitch a ride, when panic starts to set in.

Flying is very often pointed out as a bad thing...not sure how you come to the concusion that people don't mention it?

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Engineer Andy

But as usual, no-one suggests that large-scale flying (like large-scale driving) is a bad thing, except when new viruses hitch a ride, when panic starts to set in.

Flying is very often pointed out as a bad thing...not sure how you come to the concusion that people don't mention it?

I suspect they mean that people tend to go after cars, vans and lorries and forget about air travel in terms of CO2 production. My housing development's management firm has a boss that is rather PC and likes to pretend he's green by going vegan and driving a Tesla.

He and I had a recent discussion as to the merits (or otherwise) of what he's doing, with him advocating I go vegan but his argument came to a rapid halt when he admitted he was flying to far-flungparts the world and his carbon footprint was about 2-3x the UK average, whereas mine was about 60% of the UK average. Air travel produces a LOT of carbon emissions.

It was noticeable how many so-called 'green activists' regularly fly around the globe on very nice jollies to 'publicise' the 'global climate crisis'. I wonder if they've every heard of 'You Tube', websites and emails, telephone and video conferencing. Rather less polluting per capita.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Andrew-T

<< Environmentalists say scrap HS2, invest in local trains. Easy said, in practice a nightmare. You can only provide more local trains by removing the express trains and to achieve that you need HS2 and later HS3. >>

I suppose I am an 'environmentalist' in your terms, and I appreciate the points you make here. I would only ask that instead of banging on about the problems HS2 might solve, say more about those it will create. I don't just mean the destruction of large tracts of countryside (an irreversible problem), but the changed travel patterns which will result. People will probably commute from even further out from The Smoke than they do now, so business will become still more London-centric - unless there is a big price premium on HS2 ?

It's just like Brexit - the pro-lobby kept on about why it had to happen, without saying anything about disbenefits which might accrue. An important problem which rail might alleviate is trans-Pennine traffic - the M62 can be pretty bad, and impossible in winter. The HS2 lobby thinks that can wait. Is anyone surprised ? It's actually a vanity project to show the French.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bromptonaut

Ref the 'marginalised'.. their decision to be/feel incapable. I am in my late 60s, use Internet banking, Twitter, like high tech, and just taught a friend of 40 years to use a Mac computer. And have they no friends, neighbours or family to help with comparison sites?

If only it were that simple.

Edited by Bromptonaut on 31/01/2020 at 12:12

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Avant

"The roads are rammed because there's millions more people here than the country can accommodate, and no proper planning for at least 40 years for this increase and the coming massive increases over the next 40 years...."

Exactly, GB - that's the crucial point. There are simply too many of us for the size of the country. I'm not saying that as a comment on immigration - it's all of us. And we're living longer, too long in some cases.

The NHS has its faults, but the main reason that it's struggling is that there are too many patients. I'd much prefer it if HS2 didn't have to be built and tear up more countryside - but it's a fact that the existing trains to those areas are grossly overcrowded. Too many people travelling...and it makes you wonder why. Too many meetings, I'm sure, between people some of whom (not all, I accept) could have got the job done by Email or Skype etc.

And thank you, Daveyjp, for saying that there are at last some park-and-rides using hybrid or electric buses. Good to know: let's hope there are many more in the pipeline.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bolt

some park-and-rides using hybrid or electric buses

It appears that London is going to move to Hydrogen buses due to their range and are cheaper to run, one bus can run all day on one charge and be refilled within minutes, first batch start running in May and will start with 20 buses and will increase as the year moves on

good news for some.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - madf

ANYONE wanting to increase town centre access ignores the internet and its impact on shopping....

The trends on that are obvious: anyone wanting better accees and spending £millions is wasting their money..

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Avant

Agreed. Part of the reason for the decline of high street shops and the growth of internet shopping is that town centre streets are full of buses and vans (even more vans although the shops are declining), and the car parks are full of all-day parkers working in town centre offices.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Terry W

I was born in 1953 - not vastly different from many that post on here. Then there were around 4m cars on the road, today there are 34m. Had car ownership increased at the same rate as population there would be less than 6m on the roads today.

So in the space of 67 years:

  • we do a main shop once a week/month, not every other day
  • we have built retail parks and motorways where none existed before
  • today 36% commute by car, and 3% walk - a complete reversal
  • there were proper local shops (butcher, baker, greengrocer etc)
  • we didn't have internet, on-line shopping, smartphones, double glazing etc
  • leisure air travel was mostly the preserve of the truly wealthy

The freedom allowed by the car has enabled huge changes in the way live, shop, socialise, entertain, interact with family and friends. Many of these changes I'm happy to embrace, but they come at a cost and cannot be extended infinitely.

The "can't possibly do it" or similiar responses are understandable, but frankly pointless. It is abundantly clear that the way we lived etc was very different for all but the last 50- 60 years. Like it or not, change will be forced on us by events - and alternative societal structures are entirely feasible.

The only real issue is how engage to make those changes as painless as possible and preserve those aspects we value most. Failure to engage will ensure your views are not considered.

At 67 I could just bury head in the sand and assume that my inevitable shuffle from the mortal coil will occur before I am forced to change, but I would also like to leave the place in good order for my children and grandchildren!

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Andrew-T

Like it or not, change will be forced on us by events - and alternative societal structures are entirely feasible. The only real issue is how engage to make those changes as painless as possible and preserve those aspects we value most.

The real problems arise when the (fixed) space can no longer accommodate the growing population, which starts to fight over it. Come to think of it, that space is not fixed, it is shrinking slowly because of expanding deserts and melting icecaps. Africans are trying to escape to Europe already, and I wonder how long Australians will continue to enjoy living with annual forest fires.

It was said many years ago that the deciding wars will not be about shortage of fuel, but drinking water.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - focussed

"expanding deserts and melting icecaps"

The data does not support that statement.

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/nasa-study-mass-gains-of-antarctic-ice-sheet-greater-than-losses

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Andrew-T

<< The data does not support that statement. >>

So the Arctic is not heading for disappearance, and there are no huge icesheets breaking off the Antarctic ? It must be fake news again.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bromptonaut

"expanding deserts and melting icecaps"

The data does not support that statement.

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/nasa-study-mass-gains-of-antarctic-ice-sheet-greater-than-losses

That's ten years old and refers to the Antarctic. Judging by more recent reports things may have changed since. It doesn't cover losses of Arctic ice - see Greenland in particular - or the encroachment of desert into previously fertile land in Sahara's fringes.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bolt

Like it or not, change will be forced on us by events - and alternative societal structures are entirely feasible. The only real issue is how engage to make those changes as painless as possible and preserve those aspects we value most.

The real problems arise when the (fixed) space can no longer accommodate the growing population, which starts to fight over it. Come to think of it, that space is not fixed, it is shrinking slowly because of expanding deserts and melting icecaps. Africans are trying to escape to Europe already, and I wonder how long Australians will continue to enjoy living with annual forest fires.

It was said many years ago that the deciding wars will not be about shortage of fuel, but drinking water.

If climate change is a natural occurrence which in my opinion (not wanted I know) is, then people would still have to either acclimatise to the changes or move to better climates, as for water- there is plenty of it so I really dont see the problem, as for saving water, well, its been here for billions of years so doubt its going anywhere soon

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - gordonbennet

If climate change is a natural occurrence which in my opinion (not wanted I know) is, then people would still have to either acclimatise to the changes or move to better climates, as for water- there is plenty of it so I really dont see the problem, as for saving water, well, its been here for billions of years so doubt its going anywhere soon

The thing with water is its a basic need for all living things, human animal and plant, and as privatising the water has shown in this country (another idiot political decision by the way) there's money to be made and almost no way to opt out because there's no competition, much like the railways, doesn't take much imagination how this could be abused.

In Britain our water problem will be in the south east, millions more people than the water supply was designed for and increasing every year.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Andrew-T

<< as for water- there is plenty of it so I really dont see the problem, as for saving water, well, its been here for billions of years so doubt its going anywhere soon >>

I am sure the overall quantity will be there, most of it in the sea. The amount available on land for drinking (and other uses) relative to the human demand will be the problem. And it looks as if we shall need new ways to catch it when it arrives in more torrential amounts.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - alan1302

some park-and-rides using hybrid or electric buses

It appears that London is going to move to Hydrogen buses due to their range and are cheaper to run, one bus can run all day on one charge and be refilled within minutes, first batch start running in May and will start with 20 buses and will increase as the year moves on

good news for some.

Good news for everyone -it's important to trial new fuels and ways to get about

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - focussed

They cannot be cheaper to run if they are buying the hydrogen at a realistic market price.

Hydrogen is at least roughly twice the price of petrol and has a low energy density so the range on a tank is not great.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - alan1302

They cannot be cheaper to run if they are buying the hydrogen at a realistic market price.

Hydrogen is at least roughly twice the price of petrol and has a low energy density so the range on a tank is not great.

Expect they are getting it cheap whilst trailing it.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - alan1302

The NHS has its faults, but the main reason that it's struggling is that there are too many patients.

Yet the German healthcare system works better than the NHS depsite having a similar population. The NHS has a lot of management issues that don't get resolved.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - FP

My understanding is that the German healthcare system does not cover all medical treatment, so comparing it with the NHS is not valid.

Also - and this is purely anecdotal - my son and partner would not agree that the German healthcare system is actually that good.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - thunderbird

Paul Valentine esq

All valid and I agree, it is a totally stupid idea, for all the reasons stated. I think they may forget about the park and ride and introduce a bicycle and ride with eco friendly tyres on the bikes ….. of course. lol

Who the hell is Paul Valentine. I see the name quoted quite often by this poster. Does this poster not have his own opinions?

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Avant

I thnk Paul Valentine is his real name, posting like most of us under a nom de clavier.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bromptonaut

I thnk Paul Valentine is his real name, posting like most of us under a nom de clavier.

If you look through various posts from "A Driver Since' you'll find they have a certain je ne sais quoi.........

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - FP

Yes, it seems "Paul Valentine" is his name.

If you search his earliest posts you will find links to Youtube videos posted under the same name.

He posted formerly as "30 yr's a Professional Driver", a pseudonym which I know used to annoy Avant, with its greengrocer's apostrophe.

I'm not sure why he wishes to preface some of his posts with his name; authorship is usually stated at the end of a piece of writing.

Edited by FP on 01/02/2020 at 19:40

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - HGV ~ P Valentine

lol Just trying to be unique, Yes full name is Paul peter Valentine, was not n amed after teh saints but after 2 of uncles apparently

.

Edited by A Driver since 1988, HGV 2006 on 02/02/2020 at 17:53

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - John F

Only when the modern polluting timewasting habit of 'commuting' is kicked. In the typical English town where I worked for 40yrs, factories were within walking distance of home and shopkeepers lived above the shop. Professionals and factory owners lived in 'residential areas' which were usually within walking or cycling distance of their offices. (That's why my TR7 has only done 70,000 miles in 40yrs). Children and teachers walked to school. No-one knew what 'obesity' meant. Only large cities had 'commuters' because they built outwards, not upwards. It always amazes me how low rise London still is compared with other cities.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bromptonaut

Only when the modern polluting timewasting habit of 'commuting' is kicked.

How?

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - John F

Only when the modern polluting timewasting habit of 'commuting' is kicked.

How?

No easy answer. Sea change in human behaviour. More home work and home school - like rural Australia? Cities like Amsterdam? Small towns like Zermatt?

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Andrew-T

<< No easy answer. Sea change in human behaviour. More home work and home school - like rural Australia? >>

'Authority' doesn't help, making cost savings by steadily centralising communal services such as schools - which get merged putting more kids out of walking range, requiring buses, and more often parents' cars - and hospitals, which to provide the increasingly expensive treatments have to concentrate, making patients travel further. There used to be 'cottage hospitals', but they have mostly gone long ago.

But I don't think Brits like the idea of living over the shop like Parisians do.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Engineer Andy

<< No easy answer. Sea change in human behaviour. More home work and home school - like rural Australia? >>

'Authority' doesn't help, making cost savings by steadily centralising communal services such as schools - which get merged putting more kids out of walking range, requiring buses, and more often parents' cars - and hospitals, which to provide the increasingly expensive treatments have to concentrate, making patients travel further. There used to be 'cottage hospitals', but they have mostly gone long ago.

But I don't think Brits like the idea of living over the shop like Parisians do.

One of the other pieces of hypocritical behaviour by us Brits is that we constantly bemoan the demise of our town centres, especially of the small retailers that, for hundreds of years populated them, and yet we vote with our wallets and feet and much prefer (given the choice) to either shop online or go to convenient out-of-town shopping parks and hypermarkets.

Aside from a few places (often because they are a very well-off area and mainly populated by wealthy retirees), most towns that have tried to bring back small-to medium sized shops in town centres, especially specialist shops such as butchers, greengrocers and clothing stores have all (eventually) failed because the local population tut-tuts at the higher prices (what do they expect - big and online retailers benefit from economies of scale) and having to trapse around many shops in poor weather and little parking available.

You see campains coming and going, town meetings called by less than 0.1% of people bothering to attend, nor do any of them wish to 'get involved' (read take any sort of role or responsibility) for taking things further to try and achieve what they supposedly want - they always want 'someone else' or 'the council' (or governemnt) to do it all for them, then blaming them when things do belly up.

We want something we're not apparently prepared to pay an extra price for. The issue with cars is that similar we want all the benefits but not the cost of having them. And we always want everyone else to carry the burden of any downsides. Rather a sad indictment on modern society - rights without responsibilities. Me-me-me.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - gordonbennet

Only when the modern polluting timewasting habit of 'commuting' is kicked. In the typical English town where I worked for 40yrs, factories were within walking distance of home and shopkeepers lived above the shop. Professionals and factory owners lived in 'residential areas' which were usually within walking or cycling distance of their offices. (That's why my TR7 has only done 70,000 miles in 40yrs). Children and teachers walked to school. No-one knew what 'obesity' meant. Only large cities had 'commuters' because they built outwards, not upwards. It always amazes me how low rise London still is compared with other cities.

I completely agree with you JohnF, but sadly that vision of the Britain, nay Jerusalem that you and i grew up in, would have the snowflakes weeping in the ailes, charges of 'isms, phobias and white supremacy :-) being hurled around with gay abandon, do you remember people when gay was such a nice word?

During the 70's and 80's especially as i travelled the country every day, factories would be closing at an alarming rate, a few months later a shopping centre or flats would go up on the site, the new industry is warehousing where rows of gigantic buildings have gone up, almost all on green sites, placed on the outskirts of previous small industrial towns that everyone except for a few on the wrong side of town have to drive there, public transport almost never covers these places...i know this warehouse blight isn't an issue at Chipping Norton by the way.

The irony of course is these places rammed to the rafters with foreign made tat all handled by foreign made forklifts and parcel handling conveyors require few workers compared to factories, a deskilled workforce at that, the great increase has been in pen pushers jobs, which apparently computers were going to do away with the need, almost all requiring commuting into large cities for millions of people and these are the very jobs which could be home based or set up in small satellite offices throughout the country.

The changing of our previously quite self sufficient localities has led not just to a transient workforce, but the massive movements of goods, from abroad in ships via containers almost all by road to warehouse, from whence they will be redistributed over the entire country to buyers RDC's and then redistributed again to shops and supermarkets, all by road, and all of this for products we no longer make to begin with and which will be either broken or obsolete, being unrepairable, in a few short years at best, even if the consumer isn't one of those who must have the latest and dumps or sells on the still functioning previous item...cars being a prime example of this,

Edited by gordonbennet on 03/02/2020 at 11:42

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - John F

The NHS has its faults, but the main reason that it's struggling is that there are too many patients.

Actually, Avant, the number of patients per head of population might be less then twenty years ago thanks to a more healthy environment. The NHS is struggling because there are too few doctors, nurses and hospital beds. When I qualified in 1972 there were around 30,000 FTE GPs and around 30,000 solicitors. Now, despite the profusion of new medical schools there are still only about 30,000 FTE GPs probably because parts of the country are now so unpleasant no-one wants to work there and the incentives to attract doctors to them have disappeared. However, there are now around 100,000 solicitors, many engaged in suing the NHS for humungous sums thanks to our expensive dysfunctional NLS (national legal service.)

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Bromptonaut

However, there are now around 100,000 solicitors, many engaged in suing the NHS for humungous sums thanks to our expensive dysfunctional NLS (national legal service.)

Both branches of the legal profession are over populated. A few big firms make respectable money but the Law Society Gazette has a never ending stream of reports of firms in difficulty. Even some of the big names that act in PI claims (qv Slater Gordon)

Large numbers of Solicitors barely make ends meet and, away from high profit stuff like Planning and Corporate it's little if any better at the bar.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Andrew-T

<< However, there are now around 100,000 solicitors, many engaged in suing the NHS for humungous sums thanks to our expensive dysfunctional NLS >>

And one of the most counterproductive ideas is fining the NHS, already financially strapped, for its shortcomings.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Terry W

Had jobs that existed in 1970 (50 years ago) been lost and not replaced, unemployment would likely be 30%+. Jobs lost include coal mining 0.3m, steel industry 0.3m, manufacturing 5.0m, agriculture and fishing 0.25m + typists, secretaries, milkmen, lollipop men, librarians, meter readers, bank clerks, etc etc.

This happened as overall employment rose from 24m to 33m (mostly due to increases in female empoyment) with unemployment at about current levels.

New jobs that never existed before + large increases in other industries has balanced the lost employment - IT, systems analysts, education, pharmaceuticals, legal, financial, banking, media etc etc.

This really illustrates that things change radically as time passes - some aspects are good, some ok, and some unwelcome. But there is no good reason for the current status quo to persist indefinitely - personal transport included. King Canute thought he could hold back the tide - he was wrong.

The only question is how fast change happens, and what the consequence of being left behind is!

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - Avant

I hadn't realised you were a medic, John. Your knowledge will be greater than mine, but I was thinking of two things in terms of patient numbers: (a) in the ten years (1990s) when SWMBO worked for a GP practice, the number of patients demanding referral to consultants more than doubled; and (b) although I agree that lifestyles are generally more healthy, my generation of baby-boomers are going to live longer and need more medical attention as we get older.

Indeed, there are a lot of solicitors about, and even more of my profession (chartered accountants)! Maybe the answer is that the public, if not more numerous, are generally more demanding, and more inclined to be litigious.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - corax

Maybe the answer is that the public, if not more numerous, are generally more demanding, and more inclined to be litigious.

That's because we follow America. Sue someone if they look at you. Drive ever bigger cars, but on a medieval infrastructure that was never designed for it. And soon it'll be vaste swathes of monoculture crops devoid of any wildlife, feeding the endless overbreeding millions.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - FP

"...feeding the endless overbreeding millions."

“The birth rate in England and Wales has fallen to its lowest level for at least 80 years, official figures have revealed.

In 2018 there were 657,076 live births, a decrease of 3.2 per cent since 2017 and 9.9 per cent down since 2012.” (Independent)

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - corax

"...feeding the endless overbreeding millions."

“The birth rate in England and Wales has fallen to its lowest level for at least 80 years, official figures have revealed.

In 2018 there were 657,076 live births, a decrease of 3.2 per cent since 2017 and 9.9 per cent down since 2012.” (Independent)

OK, got carried away with that bit, I was thinking more globally, as farming will beome more intensive there as it will here. But you can't deny that the population is growing, however you analyse the figures.

And as for the reign of the car - something will have to change, because many commuter roads get gridlocked every day now and hardly move. Having one person sitting in a ton and a half of metal at a standstill every day on a carriageway pumping out fumes then multiplying that by millions just to get to work is madness.

Dozens of new car adverts depicting a dreamy driver cruising down empty roads in the middle of nowhere? The above is the reality.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - misar

I have to admire the confidence with which posters on here from every side of the debate make long term predictions.

My (very) lifelong experience of studying a vast variety of such predictions is that none of them ever came true. Things confidently expected to happen in 10, 20 30, ... years didn't. Most of what did create real change was not even dreamed of until just a few years before it arrived big time.

Article I saw - Is the reign of the car over ?? - RJ414i

Very true.

I can remember being in Junior School in the late 70's and being told that one day wars will be fought over water supplies and that we had about 20-30 years of oil available until it then rapidly ran out.

Not sure how close to either of those predictions we are near yet?