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Thu 27 Jul 2017 15:39

Drastic price reductions in car prices? - FoxyJukebox

So-with everything going electric,will be very interesting to see how the market behaves short to medium term.

1) Will people now start panic buying electric cars to the exclusion of everything else -forcing massive price drops on the entire existing UK petrol market ?

2) will smart manufacturers immediately start to hike UP electric car prices and zap up their profits.

3) Will I be able to power up an electric car in the same time as it takes to fill it with petrol?

4) Will owners of existing petrol cars now bite the bullet and hang on to them for 23 years.

5) Will vehicle ownership drop away big time as drivers ( particularly amongst the impoverished young and the sensible seniors) realise there's nowhere to go and no where to park without risking being without a power point.

6) Will public bus transport cease to exist or will it escalate?

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Thu 27 Jul 2017 15:53

Drastic price reductions in car prices? - RobJP

As to your question 4 : Why on earth would someone who owns a petrol car NOW hold on to it for the next 23 years ?

People panic-buying electric cars NOW ? Again, why bother. People will see the range, realise it won't work for them, and walk away. Or they just won't have the space and facility to put the thing on charge (lots of people park on the road, not in nice garages with power points).

Any change in the marketplace will be driven by customer demand - as it has been for a long time. If petrol (or electric) becomes more popular - in the used marketplace in particular - then the demand for the same-sized pool of vehicles will increase, pushing up prices. Cars registered new NOW will take 2-3 years to properly filter through to the used marketplace, meaning a huge lag time. But at the same time, demand for diesel cars will drop, forcing prices downwards.

But then people get in their nice, less-polluting petrol cars, and realise that in a lot of cases they are getting far worse economy (there are exceptions) than they were in their old diesel cars. And people who did want to change to petrol cars - but now can't afford to, due to the lack of availability - will look again at the now-cheaper diesels.

It's a pendulum. Or a see-saw. With ripples coming from various directions, with differing effects. If you can predict 5, 10, or 20+ years down the line, then you're probably in a position to purchase a fleet of Teslas. If you can't afford that fleet of Teslas, then you aren't as good as you think you are at predicting the future !

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