Question of the week: Will all cars eventually have automatic gearboxes?
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Dear Honest John,
"I've been looking at new cars and a lot of them seem to be automatic only. Will all cars eventually be automatic? Why can't I have a manual?"
- AP
Dear AP,
Your eyes are not deceiving you - most new cars are automatic.
Official new car registration figures for 2024 show that 62% of new cars were automatic, with only 38% fitted with a manual transmission.
This is in part due to the increasing popularity of electric and hybrid vehicles, which almost universally use an automatic gearbox. This is because an automatic can seamlessly blend the twin power outputs of a combustion engine and an electric motor in a hybrid, as well as provide the seamless acceleration that is a big plus of the EV driving experience.
Generally speaking manual gearboxes are cheaper to produce than automatics, as the former has fewer components and doesn't need electronics to govern its operation. It's why most small cars come with manual gearboxes.
However, economies of scale also play a part. If the majority of a manufacturer's models use an auto, the production of a manual gearbox for a handful of variants makes less sense.
There is also the argument that manual gearboxes are something of an anachronism in modern driving. Of course if you are a driving enthusiast then there is satisfaction to be had from a cleanly-hooked gearchange, but for how much of a typical journey is manually shifting just more effort than an auto?
There will still be manual gearboxes for some time though. Sports car manufacturers - those still using combustion engines at least - are more likely to offer drivers the choice of a manual, and Toyota is working on a manual gearbox that will work with forthcoming electric vehicles, although it remains to be seen how popular an option this will be.
And don't forget that the majority of the 33 million cars already on the UK's roads are manual.
But the reality is that in the next decade or so, manual gearboxes will likely become the preserve of specialist and low volume cars.
Should I hold my CVT gearbox on the brake?
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