In theory on most engines a timing chain should last the life of the vehicle*, this was the case for many years with only the odd exception but in recent years some engines from German makers have suffered with timing chain issues, obviously a timing chain is a more involved replacement than an external dry cambelt, the new wet cambelt designs i would humbly suggest are the worst of all worlds and i wouldn't touch one with a barge pole.
* will qualify that 'should last the life of the vehicle' with assuming some sensible routine servicing involving regular fresh good oil kept topped up between services has been the norm, some judgement about previous care can be gathered from a service history.
Overall i'm as happy with a belt drive as a well designed chain system, assuming that belt replacement has been thought about in the original design, anything above £400 belt replacement costs (if that includes a new water pump if foolishly driven by said cambelt) to me suggests a poor design.
At least with a timing chain the water pump won't be part of the engine timing system, there is no earthtly reason for the water pump to to be timing belt driven and the best designs avoid this.
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