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Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - barney100

Tomorrow sees the ULEZ take in much of London inside the M25. The cameras have been installed but 9/10 seem to have been disabled. Counties surrounding the capital are refusing to have warnings of a ULEZ coming up on their roads. Papers are full of stories on how individuals are being affected and it's mostly the poorer ones who can't afford a newer car or pay the charge, all so Kahn can raise a few million bob.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bromptonaut

all so Kahn can raise a few million bob.

Or perhaps to protect kids from NoX and particulates.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Adampr

I was just reading about the councils refusing to put the signs up. I have very little time for local politicians, but that really is the most pathetic and spiteful thing I've seen them come up with so far. The net result will be more fines and more income for TFL, so a punishment for average people and a reward for their 'enemy'.

Thurrock Council, billions in debt because of their own incredible stupidity, really do need to concentrate on trying to improve instead of slinging mud.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bolt

Or perhaps to protect kids from NoX and particulates.

allegedly, but then the congestion charge was meant to reduce emissions but didn`t work as it did not affect air quality, where if you go on the underground NoX and particulates are 10+ times worse, though that doesn`t matter according to some...

But it would help if Kahn knew what he was talking about considering the motors he travels around in

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Adampr

Or perhaps to protect kids from NoX and particulates.

allegedly, but then the congestion charge was meant to reduce emissions but didn`t work as it did not affect air quality, where if you go on the underground NoX and particulates are 10+ times worse, though that doesn`t matter according to some...

But it would help if Kahn knew what he was talking about considering the motors he travels around in

I think the clue as to what the congestion charge was for is in the name.

And where do you think the Nox underground came from?

Edited by Adampr on 28/08/2023 at 14:05

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bromptonaut

allegedly, but then the congestion charge was meant to reduce emissions but didn`t work as it did not affect air quality

It was of course meant to reduce congestion which should, indirectly, reduce emissions. Whether it was successful in the latter would seem to depend on your source:

Abstract here says it did but NoX from the increasing number of diesels provided a countervailing increase.

where if you go on the underground NoX and particulates are 10+ times worse, though that doesn`t matter according to some...

That is classic whataboutery and an example of comparing apples with pears. Is anything being done/proposed to alleviate the problem?

Of course one has a choice whether to use the Underground.

I can name two former colleagues off the top of my head who wouldn't and used the bus from Liverpool Street instead.

You can't say the same about breathing.

We know, because it was accepted in the Kissi Debra case, that NoX at street level kills vulnerable kids.

But presumably you're OK with that...

Edited by Bromptonaut on 28/08/2023 at 14:02

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - mcb100
‘but NoX from the increasing number of diesels provided a countervailing increase.’

Good news from a NoX perspective is that new diesel registrations have fallen from a cliff, now down to 3.9% market share year to date.
Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - RT
‘but NoX from the increasing number of diesels provided a countervailing increase.’ Good news from a NoX perspective is that new diesel registrations have fallen from a cliff, now down to 3.9% market share year to date.

The good news for NOx was the introduction of Euro 6, which are still allowed in the ULEZ without charge - next on the list are domestic gas central heating and cooking which produce more NOx than road vehicles!

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - movilogo

I am confused about the ULEZ. Petrol cars as far back as 2005 or so are compliant so no issue there.

Diesels are indeed bad for environment and hence only newer diesels are allowed, which seems logical.

On one hand we are penalizing everyone in order to comply with net zero, but at the same time people demanding right to pollute because they are not ready to spend money to upgrade their cars.

Why people are not protesting against congestion charge as well?

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bromptonaut

On one hand we are penalizing everyone in order to comply with net zero, but at the same time people demanding right to pollute because they are not ready to spend money to upgrade their cars.

ULEZ is about reducing localised pollution from NOx and particulates.

CO2/net zero is a seperate target.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - movilogo

Both paths lead to many people having to shell out money to upgrade their cars/houses/etc. So net effect on wallet remains the same.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bromptonaut

Both paths lead to many people having to shell out money to upgrade their cars/houses/etc. So net effect on wallet remains the same.

That's true but there's a common misconception that the ULEZ itself is a CO2 measure.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - edlithgow

On one hand we are penalizing everyone in order to comply with net zero, but at the same time people demanding right to pollute because they are not ready to spend money to upgrade their cars.

ULEZ is about reducing localised pollution from NOx and particulates.

CO2/net zero is a seperate target.

Its pretty clear what the original declared objective of ULEZ was. However, the current proposal to apply it to motorways, where it is likely to increase urban air pollution, suggests that if you give The Man a Hammer, he'll tend to Hammer All Over This Land.

Re net zero, and the obligation to Hammer out a Warning, I'm doing some proof reading for a related topic at the moment. The dearth of published research on the consequences of significantly overshooting the optimistic 2C rise target (now almost certain, short of a global nuclear strategic exchange in the near future, or perhaps a high fatality "real thing" pandemic) is notable.

There are probably quite a few big cliffs involving positive feedback loops (melting permafrost releasing methane is a known one), but we don't know even roughly where they are, and even the research community don't seem to want to think about it much.

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35914185/

Kemp et al Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2022

Edited by edlithgow on 29/08/2023 at 04:13

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - barney100

I bought a 2016 diesel which has add blue to reduce emissions so I shelled out according to the wisdom of the day. Apparently not good enough now.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bromptonaut

I bought a 2016 diesel which has add blue to reduce emissions so I shelled out according to the wisdom of the day. Apparently not good enough now.

Do you mean it's subject to the ULEZ charge?

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - RT

I bought a 2016 diesel which has add blue to reduce emissions so I shelled out according to the wisdom of the day. Apparently not good enough now.

Myth - a 2016 diesel wil be Euro 6 so is ULEZ compliant.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Andrew-T

all so Kahn can raise a few million bob.

Or perhaps to protect kids from NoX and particulates.

Do we know yet (scientifically) whether the ULEZ has caused a serious drop in NO2 and particulates ? (I ask as a completely disinterested driver)

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bromptonaut

A quick Google suggests NOx down around 40% in Central London.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Adampr

The problem is that it was introduced in 2019, so any measurable results are somewhat skewed by an interruption and then significant change to people's behaviour. Anyway, info is here:

www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/2023-02/Inne...f

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Terry W

The pollution rationale for the introduction of ULEZ is a smokescreen.

Only about 10% of vehicles will be affected by ULEZ. As non-compliant vehicles age and are sc***ped, revenues will shrink - one estimate is that by 2027 the revenues from ULEZ will barely cover the costs of operation.

Despite being a Labour mayor, ULEZ will impact those least able to afford it - basically those driving older lower value vehicles - somewhat strange politically. So why introduce a policy which (a) affects those least able to afford it, and (b) is inherently self limiting.

I assume the goal to put infrastructure in place - cameras, charging mechanisms etc. In future years the scope will be extended - possibly when Euro 7 standards are introduced (2025??) or to all ICE as EV becomes mandatory in 2030/2035.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Adampr

The pollution rationale for the introduction of ULEZ is a smokescreen.

Only about 10% of vehicles will be affected by ULEZ. As non-compliant vehicles age and are sc***ped, revenues will shrink - one estimate is that by 2027 the revenues from ULEZ will barely cover the costs of operation.

Despite being a Labour mayor, ULEZ will impact those least able to afford it - basically those driving older lower value vehicles - somewhat strange politically. So why introduce a policy which (a) affects those least able to afford it, and (b) is inherently self limiting.

I assume the goal to put infrastructure in place - cameras, charging mechanisms etc. In future years the scope will be extended - possibly when Euro 7 standards are introduced (2025??) or to all ICE as EV becomes mandatory in 2030/2035.

I think you need to put a bit more thought into this hypothesis. Stating that it's a smokescreen but not really knowing what for suggests that it's probably not.

Meanwhile, there are Air Quality Standards regulations that need to be met, and old cars are the low hanging fruit.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Metropolis.
Adampr, it is clear what the smoke screen is for, they will start charging entrance fees (or even even banning) cars that don’t meet Euro7 etc etc. It won’t stop here!
Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Metropolis.
That’s a shrewd observation Terry W, unfortunately I believe you are going to be proven correct.

Give the eco zealots an inch and they’ll take a mile.
Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bromptonaut

Despite being a Labour mayor, ULEZ will impact those least able to afford it - basically those driving older lower value vehicles - somewhat strange politically. So why introduce a policy which (a) affects those least able to afford it, and (b) is inherently self limiting.

I assume the goal to put infrastructure in place - cameras, charging mechanisms etc. In future years the scope will be extended - possibly when Euro 7 standards are introduced (2025??) or to all ICE as EV becomes mandatory in 2030/2035.

'Assume' is doing some very heavy lifting in that last paragraph.

It is of course possible, once the infrastructure is in place, to expand the scheme up to and including a daily charge as with the congestion charge in Central London.

I've not seen any evidence that such a change is being actively considered, still less that its part of the rationale for what is already in place.

The aim is to reduce NOx and particulates in the air. Except in so far as the proceeds support TFL it's not intended to redistribute money from one class of citizens to another.

I agree older, and mid age, diesels in the hands of the squeezed middle are going to be caught. Given that petrol cars post 2005 are compliant I'm less convinced the burden on those with very low incomes is anything like as bad as opponents will have us believe.

In any event, as Sadiq K pointed out on the radio this morning, the really poor cannot afford a car at all.

Small business users in pre 2016 light vans are probably real losers and, I think, get some mitigation. Certainly, of those opponents/victims I've heard interviewed, people like children's entertainers, gardners and mobile hairdressers for whom £12.50 a day is a significant part of their takings seem hard done by. Less so builders, plumbers etc for whom I suspect £12.50 is soon lost amongst chargeable expenses. How did folks like sandwich delivery services allocate the congestion charge when it started?

Are those who'd say ban ULEZ happy with the effects of NOX etson children and others with Asthma being ignored?

Edited by Bromptonaut on 29/08/2023 at 10:23

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - focussed

"London’s ULEZ reduced the city’s nitrogen dioxide levels by a few per cent during the first few weeks of its implementation"


www.imperial.ac.uk/news/231894/london-pollution-im.../

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Metropolis.
Absolute disgrace from the usual champagne socialists. No wonder this country is in the doldrums, attacking the finest form of infrastructure there is, the motorcar!!
Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - barney100

Miss the old days when we just discussed cars on HJ and the man himself would have all the facts and sage advice on so many issues.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Adampr

Miss the old days when we just discussed cars on HJ and the man himself would have all the facts and sage advice on so many issues.

Feel free to start a thread. I would certainly welcome discussion more focussed on cars and less on this concocted 'culture war' that we all have to live through.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Andrew-T

Miss the old days when we just discussed cars on HJ and the man himself would have all the facts and sage advice on so many issues.

Feel free to start a thread. I would certainly welcome discussion more focussed on cars and less on this concocted 'culture war' that we all have to live through.

I suppose the only rational way to respond to barmy conspiracists is simply not to ?

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Adampr

Miss the old days when we just discussed cars on HJ and the man himself would have all the facts and sage advice on so many issues.

Feel free to start a thread. I would certainly welcome discussion more focussed on cars and less on this concocted 'culture war' that we all have to live through.

I suppose the only rational way to respond to barmy conspiracists is simply not to ?

To be honest, the more radical thoughts don't really bother me as anyone can see that they are outside of the mainstream and form their own opinion around them.

What I don't like is the movement towards everyone (in general, not specifically on this forum) having to be on one of two 'teams' in any discussion. It has been deliberately stoked by the Government, and encouraged by the media. It seems to come from a need to label everything and everybody.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Metropolis.
Indeed, perhaps I should stop replying to the climate conspiracists who think the world is going to end..
Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - JonestHon

Or.. perhaps Boris Johnson in his capacity as the previous mayor of London and previous PM pushing ULEZ further then anyone else?

Leave this alone, it is a well trodden public health issue with evidence to prop, when gov implemented rules on the hoof, heavy footing rights and privacy in the name of inconclusive health risks during Covid, our reps in parliament decided to let them get on with it so what's the problem with improving outcomes to what is a real public health issue?

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Andrew-T
Indeed, perhaps I should stop replying to the climate conspiracists who think the world is going to end..

I don't think so - just become uncomfortably warm, and possibly wet too. I doubt it will affect me personally, but I would prefer to delay it if possible.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - edlithgow
Indeed, perhaps I should stop replying to the climate conspiracists who think the world is going to end..

I don't think so - just become uncomfortably warm, and possibly wet too. I doubt it will affect me personally, but I would prefer to delay it if possible.

As is general, ones vulnerability tends to relate inversely to ones socio-economic status, so the well heeled UK resident is likely to be hit less hard, and less existentially, than the less well heeled Bangladeshi. Still likely to cost you though.

"Eventually, although, given
our inability to engineer extremes out of
the system, the forest eventually burns or
the levee is overtopped, and human de-
velopment, enticed into the hazard zone
by the apparent success of protection, is
catastrophically lost. How such effects
might play out in adapting systems like
the Thames Barrier to climate change
deserves much more research."

Kates et al (2012). Transformational adaptation when incremental adaptations to climate change are insufficient. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(19): 7156–7161.


Edited by edlithgow on 31/08/2023 at 05:16

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - edlithgow
Indeed, perhaps I should stop replying to the climate conspiracists who think the world is going to end..

Unfortunately, that wont make the evidence that the world is probably going to be, at the least. very much worse, go away.

But dont climate conspiracists think its all made up (to achieve some rich-get-richer goal, which is actually so much in plain, everyday sight that it doesn't really need a conspiracy), so therefore they argue that the world isn't going to end?

I'm trying to work out whether the IPCC are climate conspiracists or not. For calibration purposes

International Panel of Climate Conspiracists does have a certain ring to it.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - edlithgow

Miss the old days when we just discussed cars on HJ and the man himself would have all the facts and sage advice on so many issues.

ULEZ isn't about cars? Well knock me dahn wiv a fevva!

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - daveyjp
Is Andy Street a champagne socialist for introducing a clean air zone to Birmingham?
Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - madf

Mark 1 (2002-8() Honda Jazz are ULEZ compliant. At sale for £1 - £4k. Lots being bought for ULEZ and with magic seats can act as a small van.

So poor not being squeezed out - I assume Fiestas etc are similar.

If people want to buy cars for ULEZ there ARE cheap alternatives. But as this has been known in advance for years, I have little sympathy for those who do not plan ahead.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - pd

Mark 1 (2002-8() Honda Jazz are ULEZ compliant. At sale for £1 - £4k. Lots being bought for ULEZ and with magic seats can act as a small van.

So poor not being squeezed out - I assume Fiestas etc are similar.

If people want to buy cars for ULEZ there ARE cheap alternatives. But as this has been known in advance for years, I have little sympathy for those who do not plan ahead.

What's the cheapest working ULEZ compliant Transit out there?

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - movilogo

I think affected people are mostly small traders with old diesel vans.

Although newspapers are publishing stories that grandmother can't see kids etc. etc.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - madf

Mark 1 (2002-8() Honda Jazz are ULEZ compliant. At sale for £1 - £4k. Lots being bought for ULEZ and with magic seats can act as a small van.

So poor not being squeezed out - I assume Fiestas etc are similar.

If people want to buy cars for ULEZ there ARE cheap alternatives. But as this has been known in advance for years, I have little sympathy for those who do not plan ahead.

What's the cheapest working ULEZ compliant Transit out there?

I was only addressing the car issues as I had something relevant to say.

I know nothing of vans except old ones tend to be smelly, noisy and often badly driven by people who think mobile phones are a driving aid. :-) Of course London driven Transits may well be an exception.

Edited by madf on 29/08/2023 at 10:58

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bromptonaut

If people want to buy cars for ULEZ there ARE cheap alternatives. But as this has been known in advance for years, I have little sympathy for those who do not plan ahead.

Quick shufty on Autotrader says £5-6k.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Steveieb

Following a 17 Reg Peugeot Van this morning throwing out black diesel smoke but ULEZ compliant makes me wonder if the money would be better spent carrying out spot checks on vehicle exhaust fumes and increasing the fines .

We all know that things can change dramatically during the 12 months following an MOT and that some emissions tests are not carried out consciously.

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Bromptonaut

Following a 17 Reg Peugeot Van this morning throwing out black diesel smoke but ULEZ compliant makes me wonder if the money would be better spent carrying out spot checks on vehicle exhaust fumes and increasing the fines .

Wonder what was wrong with that?

Can a regenerating DPF produce visible smoke?

EDIT a quick Google says it can but should not; smoke is a sign of a problem.

Our 2013 Berlingo HDi has a DPF. Now pushing 130k miles and I've never seen a hint of smoke - not even a haze in following car's headlight beam.

Edited by Bromptonaut on 29/08/2023 at 14:39

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Sparrow

My 2008 diesel 3 series has always shown zero on its MOT smoke test. I agree it emits Nox but not particulates. It has a particulate filter. I suspect any recent diesel belching smoke, and I've seen a few that do, have had their emissions equipment tampered with. One vehicle like that outweighs countless others that do meet the rules

As for global warming and CO2, the advantages of diesels are still there. Indeed my old 3 series diesel CO2 figure is lower than many modern petrol hybrids.

Edited by Sparrow on 29/08/2023 at 18:22

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - movilogo

Toll roads and higher income tax – the future of electric car Britain

www.telegraph.co.uk/money/net-zero/britain-electri.../

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - RT

A report shows that the Birmingham ULEZ have given a much lower reduction in NOx that originally expected, 7% rather than 13% - it also shows that the areas outside the ULEZ have also benefitted www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-66660039

It may well be that London's original ULEZ has already benefitted the outer areas and that the new extension achieves little or no further reduction.

Edited by RT on 31/08/2023 at 12:31

Tomorrow the expanded ULEZ - Engineer Andy

A report shows that the Birmingham ULEZ have given a much lower reduction in NOx that originally expected, 7% rather than 13% - it also shows that the areas outside the ULEZ have also benefitted www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-66660039

It may well be that London's original ULEZ has already benefitted the outer areas and that the new extension achieves little or no further reduction.

I wonder where all the cars that didn't meet the ULEZ standards went to after most were presumably sold. I'm sure the people in such areas (other than the new owners who probably thought it was a good trade-off against a much lower priced car) wouldn't welcome the extra pollution

To be honest, I'm surprised that such systems haven't encouraged number plate cloning, given that's the way many criminal elements have previously got around the law to enable them to go 'about their business' freely.