'Sealed for life' should be read as 'designed to fail once the manufacturer has no legal liability'.
Yes, changing the oil MIGHT make it worse - if the gearbox is pretty well knackered. It MIGHT also give it another few years of life.
That's the risk you take with a car of this age. Basically, the garage are (understandably) wanting to cover themselves. It is entirely possible that they could do this job and the gearbox fails completely a few weeks later.
I'd get it changed - but make sure the garage know how to do the job, as it's VERY particular regarding making sure the gearbox is properly filled with fresh oil.
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