Demand for new cars increased post pandemic as (a) many had put off purchase due to uncertainty, and (b) those who kept their income up during the pandemic saved as normal money pits were limited - holidays, restaurants, events etc.
Supply fell during lockdowns globally with disruption to complex supply chains making production problems more acute. Limits to the supply of chips contributed.
In the 5 years pre covid, an average of 2.7m vehicles pa were sold in the UK. This fell to ~2.0m in 2020, 2021 and seems the likely outcome in 2022.
In summary - there is a pent-up demand for ~2.0m new vehicles. Those available are often on long delivery times with high prices. The s/h market is limited by the availability of trade ins arising as new cars are sold.
At a guess, over the next 6-12 months problems with new car production will be overcome as pandemic impacts are largely consigned to history. Supply will increase.
Demand for new cars will be dulled by increasing interest rates, concerns over inflation generally, and job security. As supply starts to exceed demand, the response of car companies will be to reduce prices to keep volumes up.
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