I think autonomous systems will come.
If the manufacturers are to be responsible for accidents then the ownership model will change because they will need a reward for the risk they take and that will change with the use profile of the vehicle. I suspect some rental / pay per mile scheme will be implemented.
I also think that once a very high percentage of vehicles are autonomous then they will be equipped to "talk to each other". Say a car needs to pull out of a side road on to a main road at rush hour.
Nowadays that can be dangerous.
Imagine that car, using a internet connection can poll all cars heading towards that junction and request that they create a gap to pull out in to - much safer. Of course a very high proportion of vehicles being autonomous would be required.
The same network could be used to split routes. If all the destinations are polled by the system along with current locations of vehicles, an overseeing traffic management system could route different vehicles via different routes to balance and even minimise road congestion.
Local councils would need to use standard signage for roadworks and even log the exact location on a central database to be accessed by cars.
Just as an aside, the modern safety systems saved me from a major crash. I was on a roundabout and a very fast Golf pulled on to the roundabout in front of me and whilst I reacted to break, the system took over and stopped the car before my foot could put enough pressure on the brake pedal.
As for AI, I'm not a computer bod, but a very good mate of mine is an electronics engineer and has shown me an AI product his firm is working on in the medical diagnosis field. The software / camera / laser system can scan cells and diagnose 24/7/365. It's in a field that there isn't a lot of human expertise and whilst not 100% accurate yet, it is already as accurate as the human experts are and doesn't take breaks. It requires huge amounts of computing power at the moment though.
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