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2035 electric or hydrogen only - barney100

Can't believe everything you read but you may only be able to buy electric or hydrogen cars by 2035. Dosen't need a crystal ball to see the huge problems coming.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - kiss (keep it simple)

Was discussing this with my heating engineer, he reckons the only way forward is with hydrogen. Forget electric heating for houses. As for cars, at least electric cars can be charged to some extent at night when the grid is less stressed. All we need now to make the hydrogen is a few more Nuke power stations knocked up out of a cocked hat and an extra couple of thousand wind turbines going flat out and the job's a good 'un.

Edited by kiss (keep it simple) on 04/02/2020 at 09:34

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Middleman

I think we'd all better get used to moving around considerably less.

The talk is that hydrogen is the future. Great. I've yet to see a practical way of producing hydrogen without the input of some form of energy. That energy has to come from somewhere. There is talk of using "biomass" (aka wood, predominantly recently felled from mature forests). Whatever method is used the energy required will be far in excess of any wind or solar capacity likely to be available in the UK. So you're back to burning things. And that's before you consider the energy required for compressing the gas and transporting it.

Hopefully somebody will develop a way to send a loaf of bread over the internet because that has about as much chance of success as truly carbon-free transport.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

I think we'd all better get used to moving around considerably less.

The talk is that hydrogen is the future. Great. I've yet to see a practical way of producing hydrogen without the input of some form of energy. That energy has to come from somewhere. There is talk of using "biomass" (aka wood, predominantly recently felled from mature forests). Whatever method is used the energy required will be far in excess of any wind or solar capacity likely to be available in the UK. So you're back to burning things. And that's before you consider the energy required for compressing the gas and transporting it.

Hopefully somebody will develop a way to send a loaf of bread over the internet because that has about as much chance of success as truly carbon-free transport.

Exactly. At present, it takes vast amounts of electricity to split hydrogen off from seawater, or (the main source at present) they extract it from natural gas, a both rapidly dwindling (far more so if used to power cars) and hardly a 'renewable' energy source.

I thought that Boris & Co were trying to throw off The Blob by sourcing genuine experts outside of Whitehall and the Industry lobby groups who knew what they were doing, and not pandering to activist groups and the media to generate 'positive buzz' for tommorrow's headlines.

So we now have three monumentally BAD decisions (and ones that all the Opposition parties in Westminster would also have made):

  • HS2 going ahead (very likely) and seemingly with a blank cheque, mainly for the benefit of London and the contractors, not people Up North;
  • Huawei being given a contract on 5G mobile systems;
  • Now this.

I wouldn't put your coat and hat away just yet, Nige, we may need you again to knock some sense into the Palace of Westminster and Whitehall.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

Was discussing this with my heating engineer, he reckons the only way forward is with hydrogen. Forget electric heating for houses. As for cars, at least electric cars can be charged to some extent at night when the grid is less stressed. All we need now to make the hydrogen is a few more Nuke power stations knocked up out of a cocked hat and an extra couple of thousand wind turbines going flat out and the job's a good 'un.

I gather it is possible now to build mini nuclear power stations, which I remember being talked about in Florida some years ago, apparently much safer than the big ones and produce almost as much power

but yes, I agree imo Hydrogen is the only way forward now unless we pull our fingers out and get building and create a better grid than we have now

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

Hydrogen may not be a solution.

95% is produced using fossil fuels - particularly natural gas. Electrolysis of water requires electricity - it will only be "green" if produced using surplus capacity, PV cells etc.

It has some advantages over a battery at present - it can be stored and pumped to refuel a vehicle. The risk is the very high pressures at which it needs to be stored. It is a very low density fuel and requires major investment in production, storage and distribution facilities.

So at the moment hydrogen is both seriously lagging on the "green" front and expensive. It is entirely possible that advances in battery technologies will permanently leave hydrogen behind - a worthy idea that never made it.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

Hydrogen may not be a solution.

May not be, but would be a lot better than walking and keep everyone going until all electric is working properly, thats assuming fossil fuels are killed off by 2035.

apparently if they get started now there will be enough chargers installed and new cables laid within the timetable mentioned, but its going to be fun having all roads dug up to install new cables

Or stay with fossil fuels a decade or two longer!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - focussed

"extra couple of thousand wind turbines"

You are obviously having a laugh - a couple of thousand?

Just to set the stage with an example, it would take 3000 wind turbines, working at 100 % output to replace one nuclear power station. And as is well known, they don't get anywhere near 100% of their rated output.
The turbine’s “capacity factor” is its actual average output as a fraction of its full capacity. This is usually between 15% and 35%.
So lets be optimistic and say it's 30% :- (In the EU it's stated as being about 15% for onshore wind)
(3000/30) x 100 = 10,000 wind turbines required to replace one nuke. Using the EU capacity factor, multiply that by 2 = 20.000 wind turbines.
Not really practical is it?
About 27 tonnes of fresh fuel is required each year by a 1000 MWe nuclear reactor. That's one truckload. The only CO2 emission involved is that from the exhaust of the truck.
In contrast, a coal power station requires more than two and a half million tonnes of coal to produce as much electricity

Edited by focussed on 04/02/2020 at 20:50

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

The same goes for the huge Drax power station importing God-knows-how-much wood pellets from the US, via very environmentally-unfriendly ships then via many HGVs at each end.

As reagrds taking over from fossil fuels and nuclear, we are at best 50 years away, and I believe nearer to 100 from producing actual sustainable green tech that is robust and won't bankrupt us in the process.

We'd do far better by reducing the need to travel (especially for work), reducing electricity demand generally by limiting population growth to a minimum (the I word again), increasing home grown food production (self-sufficiency) and seriously increasing both PV use domestic, public and commercial buildings roofs.

That in concert with energy saving generally by better thermal/electrical efficiency of buildings and equipment, including existing stock. We waste so much on heat leaking out of buildings one way or another, which is replenished by burning gas, or other methods to generate electricity.

That at least would reduce dependency on fossil fuels and would keep the amount of energy needed by such means or via nuclear to the bare minimum.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - kiss (keep it simple)

Tongue slightly in cheek, clues being "cocked hat" "working flat out" and "job's a good 'un".

2035 electric or hydrogen only - gordonbennet

Dosen't need a crystal ball to see the huge problems coming.

Particularly for employers, both large ones right down to the well heeled employing live out domestics, when a large proportion of your workforce (the ones actually doing the graft, not pushing pens) can't afford to get to work, or they consider sensibly just going to work to earn enough to buy some overpriced overtechnical toy car that might last 7 years jjust to attend work simply isn't worth it.

My crystal ball reckons that many of these pie in the sky virtue signalling dreams might have to be moderated a bit.

Air flight is just one elephant in the room, those who preach to us lesser proles how we should live our lives might start setting an example, instead of jetting around the world often in private planes, to demand the rest of us to stop flying on our annual hols and walk to our menial work, meanwhile they have extended garages full of exotic and or gas guzzling vehicles of their own, its the hypocrisy that stinks.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

Anyone watching GridWatch on cold still frosty nights will see Solar and wind don't work then .Period.

RR to build mini nuke stations to power cities.. Just what we need: multiple targets for terrorists..

Hydrogen? Seriously? With NO commercial large scale production of any hydrogen car underway? For the deluded.

The National Grid failed last year when two stations went off line . Imagine when that happens at night with millions of cars charging.. and still waiting to be charged when the power comes back on again.. So lots of extra capaicity needed to come on line nearly at once...

Large scale batteries are a solution: but not yet commercial or working: see hydrogen.

ANYONE - but anyone - coming up with a solution for 15 years from now which requires a commercially untested solution in order to work can be safely ignored.. ( a rule which has stood me in good stead as new and untested takes years to get right.. See also HS2 for the state's ability to plan big projects on time and budget See also Universal Credit)

Edited by madf on 04/02/2020 at 10:47

2035 electric or hydrogen only - thunderbird

If this looks like coming to pass in 2034 I will buy 2 new cars (petrol or possibly hybrid if the price is right) and they will see me and the Mrs over the line (that is presuming we are still on this planet. Both of us will be 80 and if we get 12 years form each there will be no need for us to go electric.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

Hybrids are ypically heavier than their petrol/diesel equivalents if for no other reason than weight of batteries, motors and control gear.

Energyfuel used is a function of weight assuming all else is similar. Hybrids will use more fuel unless recharged as a plug in electric. It is rather questionable whether regenerative braking could offset this weight penalty.

We then need to decide at what point a hybrid becomes an EV - probably relates to electric only range. Otherwise a hybrid may have a 5 mile electric range, charged by a 5.0L V8!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Big John

A friend of mine has bought a Hyundai Kona and I have to say I am impressed. A good range of 278 miles (also good in real life - it's driven from Lincolnshire to London with no range anxiety) but it really surprised me when he floored it on a country road , my goodness does that thing go.

Saying that it wasn't cheap at nearly £40k and they are like hens teeth to buy.

All in all though prices are going the right way, range starting to be OK and real life driving experience is good.

I now have 4 friends with an electric car (2 x Renault Zoe, 1 X Nissan Leaf and 1 X Hyundai Kona)

It's a very different situation to 10 years ago and I'm sure things will have moved on substantially in another 10 -15 years.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - focussed

All the urban elites talk about is how hydrogen is going to be the fuel for your car.

I've noticed that the hydrogen gas is very similar to them.

It's very lightweight

It needs a lot of it to have any effect

It's expensive

It promises more than it delivers

It explodes very easily at the slightest provocation

It can't go the distance when needed

See the similarity?

Edited by focussed on 04/02/2020 at 23:13

2035 electric or hydrogen only - sammy1

Looks as though the ban on petrol and diesel cars will be brought forward by five years.

Apparently this will also include hybids so perhaps the government considers these cars useless before they have hardly got off the ground.

The whole policy of Carbon neutral is a big expensive joke. Human intervention will make hardly and difference to climate change which has been waxing and waning between hot and cold over millions and millions of years.

Humans will not change their way of life and the UKs "effort" although noble is but a drop in the ocean.

Governments need to make provisions for the effects of climate change now even if it means abandoning cities in the future because this is one fight the human race will loose<

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

Just wait when we get teh palns to replace teh Thames Barrier and concrete wall the Thames to save London from flooding from rising sea levels.

HS2 will be penuts by comparison.

A far sighted Givernment would not spend £b refurbishing Westminster as its life will be only a couple of centuries at best.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

Looks as though the ban on petrol and diesel cars will be brought forward by five years.

Apparently this will also include hybids so perhaps the government considers these cars useless before they have hardly got off the ground.

The whole policy of Carbon neutral is a big expensive joke. Human intervention will make hardly and difference to climate change which has been waxing and waning between hot and cold over millions and millions of years.

Humans will not change their way of life and the UKs "effort" although noble is but a drop in the ocean.

Governments need to make provisions for the effects of climate change now even if it means abandoning cities in the future because this is one fight the human race will loose<

I am not so sure the government even understand whats going on, but agree with your comments, they have talked so often about Suring up sea defences on the south coast but not much has been done that I have seen anyway.

IMO which is similar to yours the world is changing in a way we are not able to do anything about, except acclimatise to it and just get on with living with the problems

I have not long listened to an interview with extinction rebellion who will be, I suspect causing problems in London again I think in May, and it seems they are convinced its our problem to sort out, problem is they have no answers for anyone, only our Government should be doing more, I think they mean banning motors tomorrow, which is impossible so for them its a no win situation, but protest they will anyway!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

Climate change is now an issue where it would not have been in the past:

  • the speed of change was typically millennia - people and wild-life could adapt
  • there were far fewer people and natural resources were not an issue - the population only reached 1bn in 1800 - 220 years later it is 7 times higher. As Jesus was born there are estimated to have been around 300m - 1/25th of current levels
  • until 5000 man was almost entirely in hunter gatherer mode with limited cities/towns - they could move to where the food was.

XR sincerely believe in climate change forecasts and obviously realise that for protests to have an EFFECT they need to AFFECT people. A march which AFFECTS no one very much won't have any real IMPACT!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - gordonbennet

XR sincerely believe in climate change forecasts and obviously realise that for protests to have an EFFECT they need to AFFECT people. A march which AFFECTS no one very much won't have any real IMPACT!

So long as they realise that affecting working people...who don't get paid if they don't get to work (the real world is not like many here imagine)...might result in those affected people dealing with the problem rapidly, those despised working people might believe sincerely in their right to go about their business and to go to work unhindered by barely employable louts.

Doesn't worry me what they do, i'll get paid regardless, but don't go crying when working people made poorer after being prevented from going about their legitimate travels and business don't just surrender to those who would unlawfully prevent them, the authorities have so far proved pretty useless against these pseudo domestic terrorists so far, we'll see what happens this time round.

The general public are just about fed up to the back teeth with what's going on all around them, from their streets turned into carnage to being told they are wrong due to being white...racism if ever i heard it...or wrong because they are middle aged men...sexism if ever i heard that, and sooner or later the bubbling cauldron is going to ignite, it won't take much but when it does it is not going to be pretty.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

The general public are just about fed up to the back teeth with what's going on all around them, from their streets turned into carnage to being told they are wrong due to being white...racism if ever i heard it...or wrong because they are middle aged men...sexism if ever i heard that, and sooner or later the bubbling cauldron is going to ignite, it won't take much but when it does it is not going to be pretty.

I am afraid GB is right in the above..

Trump was not elected because his aims were progressive of far sighted but because many people believed politcians despised them and ignored them..

Boris and the Tories did not win seats in N England because they care for teh poor or are nice but because many (Labour) politicians obviously depsised them. (See E Thornberry's white van man video).

Abuse people and they react...

(and LOUDLY calling all whites "racist" because of their skin colour is err "racist"..)

The Tories learned that lesson at the end of the 1990s after a decade of corruption...sleaze and incompetence. They will no doubt relearn it again within the next two decades.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - FP

"The general public are just about fed up to the back teeth with what's going on all around them, from their streets turned into carnage to being told they are wrong due to being white...racism if ever i heard it...or wrong because they are middle aged men...sexism if ever i heard that, and sooner or later the bubbling cauldron is going to ignite, it won't take much but when it does it is not going to be pretty."

I for one just do not recognise this picture of life in the UK. I don't know what you see around you where you live, nor whether you perhaps rely on the more lurid right-wing tabloids for your view.

"Streets turned into carnage..." as in, this is what most streets are like now?

"...being told they are wrong due to being white..." It would be good to have some actual evidence of this. I have no experience of it.

"...the bubbling cauldron is going to ignite..." Leaving aside the conceptual problem about how a cauldron can ignite, this sounds suspiciously like glib doom-and-gloom stuff - Frazer from Dad's Army comes to mind.

Sorry - I don't buy it.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

Extinction Rebllion are a bunch of uniformed idiots, headline-grabbing exhibitionists and Marxists - noting that their 'leader' acutally admitted (a bit like AOC in the US) that their whole reason for being/manifesto is to convert their nation/world to that hardline form of socialism and absolutely NOTHING to do with saving the planet from Climate Change.

Just like Greta Thunberg and he hardline socialist parents and backers who are using her to peddle their lies and propaganda. When these people are asked searching questions, they have no answers because they work of a pre-prepared script like an actor (and one of Thunberg's parenst is one and coaches her to come across all emotional).

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

Confirms what some have been saying about the Grid system

thenextweb.com/cars/2020/01/06/uk-power-grid-not-r.../

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302
The whole policy of Carbon neutral is a big expensive joke. Human intervention will make hardly and difference to climate change which has been waxing and waning between hot and cold over millions and millions of years.

Why with all the evidence and science still believe rubbish like this? Humans have had a huge effect on the environment and sitting idly by not doing anything will have dramtaic consequesnces for humans.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy
The whole policy of Carbon neutral is a big expensive joke. Human intervention will make hardly and difference to climate change which has been waxing and waning between hot and cold over millions and millions of years.

Why with all the evidence and science still believe rubbish like this? Humans have had a huge effect on the environment and sitting idly by not doing anything will have dramtaic consequesnces for humans.

Because there are a LOT of people (including scientists, unfortunately) with agendas, ofetn political ones, as well as to make a lot of money out of The Green Lobby, including both exaggerating actual scientific data or saying that the percentage chance of this or that happening is 100% when mostly they are (still today) making estimates because they still don't have the science fully understood.

I think we do have a problem with climate change, just one that a) is less than they are saying (which means we don't need to rush into daft 'solutions' that make fortunes for a few at our expense and don't benefit the planet) and b) that we all don't need to covert to Marxism and/or live in mud huts (whilst those in the Green Lobby get uber rich and live the life of Riley).

Bear in mind back around the turn of the Century or so, people like former US vice president Al Gore (and never contradicted by the scientific community) said things BY NOW would already be terrible and that the polar ice cap at the North pole would've already metled. Each time the scientific community pat themselves on the back for 'getting to the truth', but most of their predictions in this regard have been proven outlandisly exaggerated and often completely wrong.

The difference in the past when the media wasn't so powerful, scientists did not virtue-signal or pander to lobby groups to gain wealth or fame for the most part as they knew they'd eventually be found out and ridiculed. Nowadays, I think a large number of them act like herds of sheep following eachother, rather like the pollsters did at the 2017 general Election, not listening to their sceptical thoughts and making sure they are completely unaffected by any kind of bias when producing data and reports.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

I judge theories by evidence. Anyone who lived in the UK in the 1980s will recall winters with snow and ice - often for weeks at a time..

Now snow is a rarity where we live. The ice caps are melting and sealevels are rising..

These are facts...

Whether they are doing so as fast as forecasts is irrelevant.

Forecast are forecasts and as such WILL be wrong.

Period.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

I judge theories by evidence. Anyone who lived in the UK in the 1980s will recall winters with snow and ice - often for weeks at a time..

Now snow is a rarity where we live. The ice caps are melting and sealevels are rising..

These are facts...

Whether they are doing so as fast as forecasts is irrelevant.

Forecast are forecasts and as such WILL be wrong.

Period.

Climate patterns can and do change by the decade and are nothing to do with man-made intervention. Bear in mind that the UK was joined to the Continent a mere 10k years ago and the Channel only came into existence when natural warming caused the area to flood by rising sea levels.

There was a 'mini ice age' about 300 (?) years ago when often the Thames would completely freeze over, but it didn't before, then and there was no manmade pollution of significance back then (before the Industrial Revolution).

My point is that scientists still don't know why many of these things happened, and thus what net influence we are currently having. There is still a great deal of guesswork going on here, but because we are supposedly living in an unpresidented 'techological and scientific age of discovery' (they said the same in the 1960s and 70s) that to question the results is considered heresy. I just about remember when the same sort of 'experts' said in the 1970s and early 80s that we'd be in another ice age by now.

Healthy scepticism is a good thing - it means we do not blindly believe everything we are told. Doing so often leads to great leaps in science.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - mss1tw

Greenland’s Ice Sheet is currently GAINING monster amounts of “mass”— 7 gigatons yesterday alone (Feb. 06, 2020)

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

Greenland’s Ice Sheet is currently GAINING monster amounts of “mass”— 7 gigatons yesterday alone (Feb. 06, 2020)

Surprisingly enough it is WINTER and cold in Greenland...So a gain of ice is to be expected..

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

Greenland’s Ice Sheet is currently GAINING monster amounts of “mass”— 7 gigatons yesterday alone (Feb. 06, 2020)

Surprisingly enough it is WINTER and cold in Greenland...So a gain of ice is to be expected..

Even though I'm a climate change sceptic (not a denier though), I certainly agree with your statement ma*** We would need to compare the total size and over a long time, which is my bone of contention with many in the scientific community.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - mss1tw

And the declines in ice are measured when?

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

Many

  • deny climate change is happening,
  • claim it has happened before and is nothing to worry about
  • assert there is nothing that can be done,
  • blame it on Marxists or the media, etc

Most have little or no evidence - bar deniers for whom it is an imaginary concept anyway.

Overwhelmingly informed, educated, brains the size of planets, scientists endorse the general proposition of climate change.

Consuming over 200 years (approx) fossil fuels that have taken 200m+ years to lay down must have some impact. The natural environment is also being royally screwed - rain forest decimated, oceans full of plastics etc.

Population growth may be at the heart of both these problems - but so far no action is proposed by the powers that be.

I don't like the prospect of my comfortable, well fed, mobile, self indulgent, fossil fuelled existence being threatened. But I know I have a few choices:

  1. Do nothing - a bit like denial but with no scientific gloss
  2. Denial - assert (loudly) the science is flawed so nothing need be done.
  3. Accept that the scientists may be right but it is too late (or I am too selfish) to do anything to make a difference
  4. Vote Green - allow them to force their view of the world on the rest of us with probably little regard for employment, incomes, standard of living etc.
  5. Accept that the scientists are probably right, the status quo will inevitably change, but that controlled thoughtful changes are needed.
2035 electric or hydrogen only - sammy1

The SUN is some 93million miles away and governs the climate. As I understand it the suns output varies considerably by what is going on at its surface which accounts for long term changes in Earth's climate. Now maybe we could tow it out to say 120million miles and when we cool down a bit we can move it a bit nearer!!!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

The SUN is some 93million miles away and governs the climate. As I understand it the suns output varies considerably by what is going on at its surface which accounts for long term changes in Earth's climate. Now maybe we could tow it out to say 120million miles and when we cool down a bit we can move it a bit nearer!!!

According to Nasa, the sun is just starting its cool period, lasts about 5 years, as its hot period has come to an end for a while which could cool the earth down, but dont take my word for it check it out

I think thats more likely to cause it, which is not denying climate change, only the cause

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

The SUN is some 93million miles away and governs the climate. As I understand it the suns output varies considerably by what is going on at its surface which accounts for long term changes in Earth's climate. Now maybe we could tow it out to say 120million miles and when we cool down a bit we can move it a bit nearer!!!

According to Nasa, the sun is just starting its cool period, lasts about 5 years, as its hot period has come to an end for a while which could cool the earth down, but dont take my word for it check it out

I think thats more likely to cause it, which is not denying climate change, only the cause

You should read up about CO2 and its effect in helping the Earth retain the sun's heat..

CO2 levels in teh atmosphere have increased markedly due to burning fossil fuels..

I note that no-one made the same complaints when the world decided to change refrigerant gasses due to the effect on teh ozone layer..

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

The SUN is some 93million miles away and governs the climate. As I understand it the suns output varies considerably by what is going on at its surface which accounts for long term changes in Earth's climate. Now maybe we could tow it out to say 120million miles and when we cool down a bit we can move it a bit nearer!!!

According to Nasa, the sun is just starting its cool period, lasts about 5 years, as its hot period has come to an end for a while which could cool the earth down, but dont take my word for it check it out

I think thats more likely to cause it, which is not denying climate change, only the cause

You should read up about CO2 and its effect in helping the Earth retain the sun's heat..

CO2 levels in teh atmosphere have increased markedly due to burning fossil fuels..

I note that no-one made the same complaints when the world decided to change refrigerant gasses due to the effect on teh ozone layer..

Lets just say it will be interesting to see what happens over the next 20 years or so, ie, how quickly EVs hit the road and there take up, as far as the earth is concerned nothing I can do about that -its happening full stop

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

I do find it ironic that those from the Green Party advocating drastic changes are also the same people (along with others of the political far Left) advocating 'open borders' and welcoming mass immigration from poorest parts of the world. Not exactly compatible policies...

The problem is that there's been very little in the way of actual reasoned debate and examining of data (not necessarily facts, just results and calculations) generally. The dumbing-down of the media and of the scientific community liking the publcicity (and funding) that it brings is not helping everyone in this regard, ending up in virtual shouting matches and people quoting selective data at eachother on both sides, rather like with most issues these days.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - gordonbennet

The 'demands' made on on Oxford University by some of the students to declare climate emergency and deny all fossil fuels was met with an interesting response from the Bursar, who kindly offered to turn off the gas central heating.

I hope he doesn't but he'll probably end up apologising for daring to question the narrative, or be cast out like a modern day leper.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

The 'demands' made on on Oxford University by some of the students to declare climate emergency and deny all fossil fuels was met with an interesting response from the Bursar, who kindly offered to turn off the gas central heating.

I hope he doesn't but he'll probably end up apologising for daring to question the narrative, or be cast out like a modern day leper.

They deserve a raise and a medal! :-)

2035 electric or hydrogen only - sammy1

I was watching the SKY news reporting the eventual death of Petrol and diesel. On the screen along comes this EV and parks at the kerb. From the pavement about 6inches in from the kerb up pops the charger from flush with the floor. The thing is about a foot square by 2foot high. Hang on, we now have another obstruction in the way of pedestrians. push chairs and the poorly sighted. I do not see why pedestrians should be robbed of the pavement to satisfy this technology. Surely there is no intention of digging up footpaths all over the country to install this type of charger? How waterproof in our climate will these things be, electric and water are not good together, will pedestrians be walking along with their hair standing up and rubber soles be compulsory. Will the chargers retreat back into the earth when finished with or will the vandals be kicking hell out of them! I cannot see this working, I just hope it is a prototype.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - focussed

There is very little attention being paid to the practices of so-called bona-fide organisations who are hiding, editing and corrupting temperature data, ice cover data etc to support the theory of anthropomorphic climate change.

Here's a small example - (the NOAA are The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)

The reason why NOAA starts their sea ice graphs in 1979, is because it was the coldest year on record in much of the Arctic and the ice was very thick. By starting in 1979, they can defraud the public into believing that the ice is disappearing. In fact, the Arctic was warmer around 1940 than in any recent years.

and

The good news is that skeptics are starting to have an impact on this corruption. People like myself have been complaining to NASA for years about their Arctic data tampering.

This is extracted from Realclimatescience.com run by Tony Heller.

who is a campaigner for proper climate science not junk climate science.

Edited by focussed on 05/02/2020 at 22:43

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

There is very little attention being paid to the practices of so-called bona-fide organisations who are hiding, editing and corrupting temperature data, ice cover data etc to support the theory of anthropomorphic climate change.

Here's a small example - (the NOAA are The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)

The reason why NOAA starts their sea ice graphs in 1979, is because it was the coldest year on record in much of the Arctic and the ice was very thick. By starting in 1979, they can defraud the public into believing that the ice is disappearing. In fact, the Arctic was warmer around 1940 than in any recent years.

and

The good news is that skeptics are starting to have an impact on this corruption. People like myself have been complaining to NASA for years about their Arctic data tampering.

This is extracted from Realclimatescience.com run by Tony Heller.

who is a campaigner for proper climate science not junk climate science.

The sea ice graphs started in 1979 as they are from satellite data - they can't go to the 1940's as satellites did not exist then.

They do know about previous times - see here:

https://nsidc.org/cryosphere/icelights/2011/01/arctic-sea-ice-satellites

So, no cover up there and no tampering, no junk science.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

I have a view about things written on the internet.

There are claims about conspiracies and actual conspiracies..

See coronavirus.

There is evidence that the Chieses Government did suppress initial reports of the problem. There is evidence of this. That is a conspiracy..

Yhere are claims the virus originated from a weapons development program. There is no evidence of this That is a conspiracy claim...

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

I have a view about things written on the internet.

There are claims about conspiracies and actual conspiracies..

See coronavirus.

There is evidence that the Chieses Government did suppress initial reports of the problem. There is evidence of this. That is a conspiracy..

Yhere are claims the virus originated from a weapons development program. There is no evidence of this That is a conspiracy claim...

You should read up about CO2 and its effect in helping the Earth retain the sun's heat..

CO2 levels in teh atmosphere have increased markedly due to burning fossil fuels..

Did you read about these on the internet?

2035 electric or hydrogen only - focussed

I presented the evidence in good faith to demonstrate that data tampering has been and is rife - but some on here don't believe it because it's "written on the internet"

But they believe that man-made climate change is real because "it's written on the internet"

Turn over the stones and see what crawls out!

All the information is out there - It's up to you what you do with it!

Edited by focussed on 06/02/2020 at 09:40

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

But they believe that man-made climate change is real because "it's written on the internet"

Your not going to change there minds either, most everyone I know says its man made, they purposely forget there are other factors at play, or its, to them, beyond the realms of belief, so best let them believe what they want.

I personally dont know and believe more of what Nasa says than anyone else, they do more in outer space than anyone, and are doing the most research, but they have admitted in the past they get things wrong but do admit it....

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

I presented the evidence in good faith to demonstrate that data tampering has been and is rife - but some on here don't believe it because it's "written on the internet"

But they believe that man-made climate change is real because "it's written on the internet"

Turn over the stones and see what crawls out!

All the information is out there - It's up to you what you do with it!

You may have preseented in in good faith - but were taling nonsense. You say they only use infomation from 1979 onwards - which I have shown to you is not true - and would be a little bizarre as well for them to do so. They use sattelite information from 1979 as that's when they started recording it using sattelites.

I don't believe that man made climate chnage is real, I know that it is, from all the scientific evidence it is indisputable. It's not about belief, it's about facts. Belief in what you have when religious.

You are trying to find something that is not there. Why is that?

2035 electric or hydrogen only - mss1tw

The climate never changed before man arrived?

People (Like myself) who think the CO2 global warming lie is about nothing but power/control, and money, will get that last laugh in around 2030, as we enter a grand solar minimum.

I somehow doubt the IPCC explaining away that 'heat = cold' will soothe any irate freezing starving commoners.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

The climate never changed before man arrived?

People (Like myself) who think the CO2 global warming lie is about nothing but power/control, and money, will get that last laugh in around 2030, as we enter a grand solar minimum.

I somehow doubt the IPCC explaining away that 'heat = cold' will soothe any irate freezing starving commoners.

The climate has changed before man and will continue to change after.

That does not mean that man has not had a hand it making it change more.

Who benefits from it being a lie?

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

The climate never changed before man arrived?

People (Like myself) who think the CO2 global warming lie is about nothing but power/control, and money, will get that last laugh in around 2030, as we enter a grand solar minimum.

I somehow doubt the IPCC explaining away that 'heat = cold' will soothe any irate freezing starving commoners.

The climate has changed before man and will continue to change after.

That does not mean that man has not had a hand it making it change more.

Who benefits from it being a lie?

1. People (and governements/firms) who run, work in and especially invest in 'green' tech firms and technologies in general adn who directly benefit from sustained and especially incresaed sales;

2. Scientists, educational institutions, government departments and others involved in reasearch and development in such matters - lots of nice fat grants to keep their jobs going, sometimes inventing work for themselves;

3. Policy-makers and civil servants wedded to certain ideas and policies through being 'convinced' (sometimes with £££/$$$), because changing their minds will lead to a loss of face, credibility and perhaps their job (including the former being voted out of office).

That nice directorship after they retire or leave office sure looks nice if they toe the line of the green lobby (rather like those at the transport or trade/finance ministries [I'm not picking on the UK here, just generally] for the roads and rail lobbies). Some, of course, are saying these things as part of a wider political agenda that has nothing to do with helping save the planet;

4. The media because doing so (on both sides) can sell more copy/ad revenues (including from those actually financially benefitting) as well as to gain popularity worth the special interest group(s) of the moment by virtue-signalling.

If climate change scepticism actually definitively proves its case (which is by no means certain - I'm a sceptical sceptic), then the media will rapidly change their tune to keep the money and praise rolling in. Whether it will, given the public are now getting wise to such tactics, is another matter.

As an engineer who worked in Construction for a number of years, I saw the huge amount of BS being generated to sell ideas, designs and products that, in the real world, didn't live up to their promises to various degrees, but especially so-called 'green' products.

Many are overly-complicated and compared to the simpler, 'older school' (not that old, just established and proven) tech, they are often far less reliable, less robust and don't last anywhere near as long, never mind not delivering the efficiency savings or generating X or Y promised - not even close. The same about 'payback' periods.

A lack of definitive industry testing to verify such claims is needed - I mean how often do you see the equivalent of a car, white goods or computer group test (especially over the long term) for equipment such as solar panels, boilers (you get a sort-of test in Which? magazine), ventilation equipment, large-scale battery packs, etc? Industry magazines are just glorified sales brouchures and infomercials.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - mss1tw

Well said

No-one will take my bet that this country will see record cold by 2030 - there's a few years latent heat left in the ocean which our maritime climate will make the most of, unless the Beaufort gyre collapses.

I'm past caring about the constant lies - I just can't wait to see how they spin it's cold because it's hot.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

Well said

No-one will take my bet that this country will see record cold by 2030 - there's a few years latent heat left in the ocean which our maritime climate will make the most of, unless the Beaufort gyre collapses.

I'm past caring about the constant lies - I just can't wait to see how they spin it's cold because it's hot.

You do realise that climate change can have cold temperatures as well?

You say that you are past the constant lies - what you mean is you don't want to believe the truth

2035 electric or hydrogen only - mss1tw

Well said

No-one will take my bet that this country will see record cold by 2030 - there's a few years latent heat left in the ocean which our maritime climate will make the most of, unless the Beaufort gyre collapses.

I'm past caring about the constant lies - I just can't wait to see how they spin it's cold because it's hot.

You do realise that climate change can have cold temperatures as well?

You say that you are past the constant lies - what you mean is you don't want to believe the truth

Yes it was all a bit convenient when global warming became climate change.

30 years of utterly failed models (No more snow, ice caps gone), and I'm the one that's afraid of truth?

OK mate.

(I'm sure they'll think of a tax to solve everything, anyway.)

Edited by mss1tw on 07/02/2020 at 23:20

2035 electric or hydrogen only - mss1tw

The climate never changed before man arrived?

People (Like myself) who think the CO2 global warming lie is about nothing but power/control, and money, will get that last laugh in around 2030, as we enter a grand solar minimum.

I somehow doubt the IPCC explaining away that 'heat = cold' will soothe any irate freezing starving commoners.

The climate has changed before man and will continue to change after.

That does not mean that man has not had a hand it making it change more.

It also doesn't mean man had anything to do with it. What a ridiculous pair of sentences.

Who benefits from it being a lie?

The companies and shareholders pushing 'green' tech

The people who get extra money, control and data from smart meters, smart vehicles, smart motorways.

By the way, you might like to check how much energy 5G uses compared to 4G

Green for thee but not for me.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

There is very little attention being paid to the practices of so-called bona-fide organisations who are hiding, editing and corrupting temperature data, ice cover data etc to support the theory of anthropomorphic climate change.

Here's a small example - (the NOAA are The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)

The reason why NOAA starts their sea ice graphs in 1979, is because it was the coldest year on record in much of the Arctic and the ice was very thick. By starting in 1979, they can defraud the public into believing that the ice is disappearing. In fact, the Arctic was warmer around 1940 than in any recent years.

and

The good news is that skeptics are starting to have an impact on this corruption. People like myself have been complaining to NASA for years about their Arctic data tampering.

This is extracted from Realclimatescience.com run by Tony Heller.

who is a campaigner for proper climate science not junk climate science.

The sea ice graphs started in 1979 as they are from satellite data - they can't go to the 1940's as satellites did not exist then.

They do know about previous times - see here:

https://nsidc.org/cryosphere/icelights/2011/01/arctic-sea-ice-satellites

So, no cover up there and no tampering, no junk science.

Weather and scientific satellites have been around before 1979. And it still doesn't explain why the scientists should use (if true) such a low temperature/high polar ice level as their benchmark for all future observations.

That's bad science. The world didn't start turning in 1979.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

The sea ice graphs started in 1979 as they are from satellite data - they can't go to the 1940's as satellites did not exist then.

They do know about previous times - see here:

https://nsidc.org/cryosphere/icelights/2011/01/arctic-sea-ice-satellites

So, no cover up there and no tampering, no junk science.

Weather and scientific satellites have been around before 1979. And it still doesn't explain why the scientists should use (if true) such a low temperature/high polar ice level as their benchmark for all future observations.

That's bad science. The world didn't start turning in 1979.

Who said weather and scientific sattelites were not around before 1979 - just not ones used for the ice data and they don't just use 1979 data as a benchmark - so no bad science there.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

The sea ice graphs started in 1979 as they are from satellite data - they can't go to the 1940's as satellites did not exist then.

They do know about previous times - see here:

https://nsidc.org/cryosphere/icelights/2011/01/arctic-sea-ice-satellites

So, no cover up there and no tampering, no junk science.

Weather and scientific satellites have been around before 1979. And it still doesn't explain why the scientists should use (if true) such a low temperature/high polar ice level as their benchmark for all future observations.

That's bad science. The world didn't start turning in 1979.

Who said weather and scientific sattelites were not around before 1979 - just not ones used for the ice data and they don't just use 1979 data as a benchmark - so no bad science there.

I refer you back to the comments at the top of this reply I was commenting on, now highlighted in bold. If they don't hold data before a date that just happened to have a very significant amount of sea ice, even compared to previous years from on-the-ground and presumably aerial observations, doesn't that invalidate 1979 as some kind of 'starting point'?

This is not the first time scientists in this field have used specific data from particular years to then say how much worse things have got since, even though that year was an anomaly.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

The sea ice graphs started in 1979 as they are from satellite data - they can't go to the 1940's as satellites did not exist then.

They do know about previous times - see here:

https://nsidc.org/cryosphere/icelights/2011/01/arctic-sea-ice-satellites

So, no cover up there and no tampering, no junk science.

Weather and scientific satellites have been around before 1979. And it still doesn't explain why the scientists should use (if true) such a low temperature/high polar ice level as their benchmark for all future observations.

That's bad science. The world didn't start turning in 1979.

Who said weather and scientific sattelites were not around before 1979 - just not ones used for the ice data and they don't just use 1979 data as a benchmark - so no bad science there.

I refer you back to the comments at the top of this reply I was commenting on, now highlighted in bold. If they don't hold data before a date that just happened to have a very significant amount of sea ice, even compared to previous years from on-the-ground and presumably aerial observations, doesn't that invalidate 1979 as some kind of 'starting point'?

This is not the first time scientists in this field have used specific data from particular years to then say how much worse things have got since, even though that year was an anomaly.

Yes, but that's not the starting point...only yourself and Focussed have mentioned it as a starting point.

1979 is the first year of satellite data.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

I'm not sure whether to laugh or cry.

Perhaps it's a wind up. Or perhaps the poster is unaware that down most urban streets there are electrically powered street lights which are rarely kicked over by vandals, rarely stop working through water ingress, and don't even disappear when they are not in use.

But they do occasionally confuse drivers who manage to collide with them!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

I'm not sure whether to laugh or cry.

Perhaps it's a wind up. Or perhaps the poster is unaware that down most urban streets there are electrically powered street lights which are rarely kicked over by vandals, rarely stop working through water ingress, and don't even disappear when they are not in use.

But they do occasionally confuse drivers who manage to collide with them!

I think the point was, charging points will take up a lot of room on our already small roads/streets, and as they are large chargers will leave little room on paths for pedestrians with pushchairs, shopping trolleys, and even disabled chairs.

bearing in mind there wont be just a few chargers but many 100s or thousands depending on road length

I suspect you may not laugh when it comes to having all these chargers installed as all roads will be closed off during install of cables, unlike cable fitting years ago when only paths were dug up

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

I'm not sure whether to laugh or cry.

Perhaps it's a wind up. Or perhaps the poster is unaware that down most urban streets there are electrically powered street lights which are rarely kicked over by vandals, rarely stop working through water ingress, and don't even disappear when they are not in use.

But they do occasionally confuse drivers who manage to collide with them!

I think the point was, charging points will take up a lot of room on our already small roads/streets, and as they are large chargers will leave little room on paths for pedestrians with pushchairs, shopping trolleys, and even disabled chairs.

bearing in mind there wont be just a few chargers but many 100s or thousands depending on road length

I suspect you may not laugh when it comes to having all these chargers installed as all roads will be closed off during install of cables, unlike cable fitting years ago when only paths were dug up

Indeed - and about those of us living in flats and/or on private developments (not 'posh') with unadopted (i.e. private) roads, a type of property that is more and more commonplace these days as councils offload their responsibilities but keep all the taxes.

The amount of money to install (if there's space, which there often is not) all the new cabling, possibly having to upgrade what's already there, including, perhaps, local sub-stations (which could cost £Ms by themselves), would be enormous. How can we afford that by saving up in just 15 years, given we already pay a great deal for the upkeep generally?

I agree that the vandalism/damage (some residents and visitors do bash into low level signs and light poles) and reliability issue is very important and shouldn't be overlooked, as you think how many charging points will be needed compared to the number of ICE filling stations. They'll need a whole army of people to look after them, costing ££££ for each road/small development per year.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - sammy1

You dig a hole in the pavement to accommodate the charger and presumably a trench to connect the thing to the grid, a bit like when cable TV dug up half of the UK so only a limited percentage could subscribe to Virgin or whatever and a right mess was made reinstating the pavements and roads still visible today. In some areas the vandals will leave nothing alone and a cable from a charger to a car is inviting problems. Then what about burst water mains or worse flood prone areas or even power cuts. Also one needs to make provision for millions of shift workers. Everyone seems to think that the population will charge overnight presumably at cheap tariffs but this is far from true with millions working different patterns. Already there are reports of charger suppliers vastly increasing their rates. As usual the rich will have nothing to worry about as regards affording the E car let alone running it.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

You dig a hole in the pavement to accommodate the charger and presumably a trench to connect the thing to the grid, a bit like when cable TV dug up half of the UK so only a limited percentage could subscribe to Virgin or whatever and a right mess was made reinstating the pavements and roads still visible today. In some areas the vandals will leave nothing alone and a cable from a charger to a car is inviting problems. Then what about burst water mains or worse flood prone areas or even power cuts. Also one needs to make provision for millions of shift workers. Everyone seems to think that the population will charge overnight presumably at cheap tariffs but this is far from true with millions working different patterns. Already there are reports of charger suppliers vastly increasing their rates. As usual the rich will have nothing to worry about as regards affording the E car let alone running it.

You do wonder how internal combustion engine vehicles ever came to be with all the issues they had - how will I get fuel, how will I be able to afford one, who will maintain it, are they not dangerous, why would I want to replace my horse?

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

Let's get the costs in proportion.

Hinckley Point nuclear power station is currently estimated to cost around £23bn. Five of these would increase UK capacity but 20% - at the top end of estimates for additional power requirements.

HS2 - current estimate £108bn - will cost much the same as 5 Hinkley Points.

On the other hand we could use the money for onshore wind - this will produce more energy per £bn invested - although there are issues of energy storage and what happens when the wind doesn't blow.

It we start modifying distribution networks now in anticipation of increased demand as we do routine repairs and upgrades the disruption will be minimised.

It's much easier to claim it can't be done, than apply a bit of creativity, effort, and initiative to make things happen. The Victorians showed us how to push the technical boundaries - a lesson we seem to have forgotten in the last few decades.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

HS2 - current estimate £108bn - will cost much the same as 5 Hinkley Points

That is vastly underestimated as they have no idea what the total cost will be, reason being so many more complications have arisen than was expected with no sign of a total cost, or even if it will go ahead

so even more Hinkley points could be made and a start to put new cabling into some homes as are needed, we dont have storage for off shore wind electric and not forgetting Tesla are struggling to build batteries for the new car, so very much doubt batteries can be made yet for wind storage, though miracles do happen?

2035 electric or hydrogen only - barney100

Seems it will cost about £9 to charge an EV overnight at home.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - expat

You have a politician's promise of what he intends his successors to do in fifteen years. Most politicians cannot even manage to do what they promised this year far less in fifteen years. No point in getting hot under the collar about it. The one thing you can be certain of is that in 2035 things will not have turned out the way the politicians expected.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - gordonbennet

Barney, is that a Govt estimate of cost to charge at home? judging by the actual outcome of every single previous estimate made by every govt in history...

Exactly Expat, so far every govt since time began have proved beyond a shadow of doubt they couldn't run one in a brewery, the chances of this lot coming off and the country not going bankrupt and coming to a grinding halt?

Edited by gordonbennet on 07/02/2020 at 06:40

2035 electric or hydrogen only - barney100

Did a bit of a google and this was a figure quoted, not a government one. So if this £9 is right and you can get 200 miles...see Mat Watson's 6 EV trip... it's a start to working out if EVs are a good bet or not. It seems wether we like it or not EVs are going to take over.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - gordonbennet

Did a bit of a google and this was a figure quoted, not a government one. So if this £9 is right and you can get 200 miles...see Mat Watson's 6 EV trip... it's a start to working out if EVs are a good bet or not. It seems wether we like it or not EVs are going to take over.

We'll see when standard VAT and fuel tax goes on the electricity that goes into cars, season with a generous helping of road pricing,levelling the playing field somewhat.

Blowed if i'm going to be chucking a £30k bet on when no one outside of govts civil servants and their chums knows what's likely planned or pipelined.

A small anecdote for you

Some years ago i spotted a really good privately owned 55 plate Subaru Outback H6 for sale, just what we were looking for, very well spoken chap answered the phone, sorry its just been sold, i expressed regret that i'd missed it to which he replied, don't worry there'll be loads for sale in a week or two.

A few days later the govt announced retrospective huge VED increases based on CO2 output, yes retrospective right back to 2001, several months later this was changed to the present March 2006 cut off point after a lot of noise about retrospective penalties was made.

Quite obviously this chap knew what was about to happen in advance, but didn't know they were going to reverse the unfair retrospective part.

The moral of this tale, if you know someone who buys their own cars and who is likely to have inside info, watch to see what they do on the quiet, but keep in mind even they might not know which way the wind might blow once voter's chosen media's reactions appear.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

Did a bit of a google and this was a figure quoted, not a government one. So if this £9 is right and you can get 200 miles...see Mat Watson's 6 EV trip... it's a start to working out if EVs are a good bet or not. It seems wether we like it or not EVs are going to take over.

Bear in mind that petrol and diesel are about 75% tax. My (average) car can do about 440 miles on a 50L tank-worth (5L left for obvious reasons) costing about £60.

Assuming the same level of taxation (zero for ease of calculation) and removing (for larger energy suppliers) the government obligations' (subsidising poorer consumers), a 200 mile trip would cost:

EV - £7.50

My ICE car - £6.82 (it would far cheaper for a diesel)

How the EV's electricity is produced can make a huge difference to how green it is. But the above illustrates why there's no level playing field. I can understand why IF a gneuine positive environmental benefit can be established by changing over from ICE to EV, not just locally but worldwide, and for everyone, not those rich people who can afford EVs by virtue of using everyone's taxes to subsidise their purchase.

Edited by Engineer Andy on 07/02/2020 at 14:09

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2020/02/07/letterson-top-28-billion-new-taxes-must-double-electricity-generation/

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

Whilst EVs are a minority purchase the government will make it seem an attractive option to increase take up compared to ICE by using the tax system and subsidies.

The capital cost of EV is still too high but may reduce with increased volumes and improved technology. Subsidies will disappear completely and a way to tax EVs will evolve. This may not involve separating charging costs per KWh from domestic use at a lower price, but could involve road pricing based on time of day, location, road etc. All completely feasible!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

Whilst EVs are a minority purchase the government will make it seem an attractive option to increase take up compared to ICE by using the tax system and subsidies.

The capital cost of EV is still too high but may reduce with increased volumes and improved technology. Subsidies will disappear completely and a way to tax EVs will evolve. This may not involve separating charging costs per KWh from domestic use at a lower price, but could involve road pricing based on time of day, location, road etc. All completely feasible!

Road pricing is a bad idea, because it forces poorer people to stay poor (and forces them [only] off the road) because they cannot afford to do as they need to at busy (expensive for charging) times, taking public transport instead and struggling more than before.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - gordonbennet
Road pricing is a bad idea, because it forces poorer people to stay poor (and forces them [only] off the road) because they cannot afford to do as they need to at busy (expensive for charging) times, taking public transport instead and struggling more than before.

I suspect that's the general idea.

What the clever blighters haven't twigged yet is those doing the actual real work, (not pushing pens or telling everyone else how to live or what to think), whether for their companies or domestically, literally won't be able to get to work so they'll have to have another brainwave.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

but could involve road pricing based on time of day, location, road etc. All completely feasible!

Maybe, but it would be easier and cheaper to have smart meters online at personal chargers, and have a card on external charging points which all taxes can be taken in one go instead of faffing around, much quicker and easier all round!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - bazza

I suspect that by then (2035), EV capital costs will be competitive, battery and charging technology will have advanced to the point that range will be adequate and recharging will be possible in minutes using very high power DC points. It already is with eg Tesla. However what we haven't seen is a plan, even a vague plan for the infrastructure requirements, the regulatory standards required and the enormous upgrades of the power generation abilities of the grid that will be needed. Successive governments in the UK of any colour seem to be very poor at the project management and decision making for strategic projects,and we haven't had a clear direction for strategic energy policy in decades. These things will have to change quickly to meet this date, hence I suspect it will be years further down the line.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

but could involve road pricing based on time of day, location, road etc. All completely feasible!

Maybe, but it would be easier and cheaper to have smart meters online at personal chargers, and have a card on external charging points which all taxes can be taken in one go instead of faffing around, much quicker and easier all round!

Feasible, yes, but a good idea for the general population (and especially the poor), no.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

but could involve road pricing based on time of day, location, road etc. All completely feasible!

Maybe, but it would be easier and cheaper to have smart meters online at personal chargers, and have a card on external charging points which all taxes can be taken in one go instead of faffing around, much quicker and easier all round!

Feasible, yes, but a good idea for the general population (and especially the poor), no.

Its more than feasible, but why not a good idea for anyone -which you appear to be implying

everyone will be paying the same for the electricity they use depending on the company that supplies the electric, no different to what it is now really, except home chargers can be paid for as electricity is charged for now, and outside chargers paid by card

even the poor have to pay, how much will be down to where they charge up as is Petrol and Diesel

apart from time is takes to fill up there wont be much difference, excluding those that do there shopping at filling stations, who often hold up people waiting for a charge and have to wait for the shoppers before getting a charge lol. doubt that will change

Having said all that, it all has to be installed YET so will be a long time ………..

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

The reason why I think that road pricing is a bad idea is that, for it to work effectively, some people will have to find it too expensive and thus be priced off the road, presumably either onto public transport or having more items delivered (if cheaper).

The problem is that this falls 99% of the time on the poorest (i.e. it would affect them far more severely, because the charge is a flat rate per car/mile), which is a great way the rich can keep the little man (and woman) 'in their place' whilst the rich lord it up with their fancy cars.

If it was solely about reducing the worst polluting, then surely we'd ban all those powerful sports saloons and supercars which, despite many being quite new, still put out considerable amounts of CO2 and other pollutants, just because they are performance-orientated (and not effeciency-orientated) vehicles and are driven harder.

It kind of reminds me of those future dystopian films where the rich get richer off them handing their waste and pollution to the poor to deal with, causing most of the latter to live in squaller adn die of horrible illnesses. It's the reason why the likes of China and India have recently banned the import of plastic bags for recycling and will likely grow wider to more types of 'recycling waste' we export.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - gordonbennet

The problem is that this falls 99% of the time on the poorest (i.e. it would affect them far more severely, because the charge is a flat rate per car/mile), which is a great way the rich can keep the little man (and woman) 'in their place' whilst the rich lord it up with their fancy cars.

I think these things will level themselves out over time Engineer Andy, when Lord Fauntleroy's serfs can't afford to get t'mill LF's luxurious lifestyle off the backs of such deplorables is going to come to a grinding economic halt, his army of starched collared clerks arn't going to be doing the graft, LF and the rest of the Bullingdons won't be seeing their offshore accounts diminished be assured.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - barney100

Why are electric cars so expensive? A Nissan Leaf will set you back £30k but a Focus is £10k cheaper for the basic models.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

Why are electric cars so expensive? A Nissan Leaf will set you back £30k but a Focus is £10k cheaper for the basic models.

An ICE car's battery costs about £100 - £150. An EV's system costs around £7k, perhaps more, and besides, the economies of scale make a big difference, given EV sales only represent about 2% of the total.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - martin.mc

What about 4x4s, vans (large and small), lorries, minibuses, HGVs, buses, breakdown trucks and many other commercial vehicles. Do the powers that be expect these to run from batteries as well?

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

Ultimately they will have bigger batteries, just as now where they typically have bigger fuel tanks and consume more petrol/diesel. Short term the government may have to make some exceptions for particular vehicle types.

I also don't understand why we have to turn the debate into a political rant - fat cat Tories vs the worthy suffering poor. No decisions have been made on taxation which could:

  • be levied at a flat rate per mile travelled
  • charging points (domestic and public) could be taxed per KWh of charge
  • could be flexed according to which roads, time of day, congestion levels, size of vehicle etc etc
  • vehicle purchase could be taxed depending on vehicle KW consumption
  • annual road tax - either flat or based on vehicle cost or size

It could even benefit shift workers (NHS etc) by reducing the charge between (say) 10pm and 7am, or encourage kids to walk to school by ramping up charge between 8.15am - 9.00, or encourage shops to take deliveries between 5 and 8am to reduce congestion during the day.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - gordonbennet

I hope i live long enough to see the coming shambles in 15 years, 44 ton lorries carrying 10 tons of goods due to 30 tons of batteries and motors and it still can't manage a 6 hour journey without a 12 hour recharge at the 4 commercial charging points at Watford Gap, 2 of which will be out of action.

The politicians making all these grand plans won't be in power in 2035, they'll be enjoying their well heeled retirements far from the chaos they created, and some other schmuck will be having to make the excuses why this utopian nightmare is going to have to be postponed, unless you want to starve whilst your food rots in that 3 day queue at Watford Gap.

Some MSA's have already got electric hook ups for fridge vehicles parking overnight, not as these could cope with charging vast battery packs, but half of those are already smashed to pieces or otherwise out of action.

This is Britain people, our leaders and civil service couldn't run one in a brewery, we can't even stop a couple of dozen invaders a day from making south eastern landfall on an inflatable bed, does anyone seriously believe these plans have any chance of coming to pass.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - sammy1

A world wide shortage of Lithium may make the battery vehicle short lived and apparently most of it is mined in China so price could also be the deciding factor

2035 electric or hydrogen only - expat

A world wide shortage of Lithium may make the battery vehicle short lived and apparently most of it is mined in China so price could also be the deciding factor

There are huge mines in West Australia, Chile and in Argentina amongst other places. Lithium miners are scaling back and moth balling mines because there is a glut and prices are falling. Every one jumped on the lithium band wagon a few years back and now the wheels are falling off. No doubt it will pick up again in another few years. Mining is like that.

www.reuters.com/article/australia-lithium-miners-i...H

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

I hope i live long enough to see the coming shambles in 15 years, 44 ton lorries carrying 10 tons of goods due to 30 tons of batteries and motors and it still can't manage a 6 hour journey without a 12 hour recharge at the 4 commercial charging points at Watford Gap, 2 of which will be out of action.

The politicians making all these grand plans won't be in power in 2035, they'll be enjoying their well heeled retirements far from the chaos they created, and some other schmuck will be having to make the excuses why this utopian nightmare is going to have to be postponed, unless you want to starve whilst your food rots in that 3 day queue at Watford Gap.

Some MSA's have already got electric hook ups for fridge vehicles parking overnight, not as these could cope with charging vast battery packs, but half of those are already smashed to pieces or otherwise out of action.

This is Britain people, our leaders and civil service couldn't run one in a brewery, we can't even stop a couple of dozen invaders a day from making south eastern landfall on an inflatable bed, does anyone seriously believe these plans have any chance of coming to pass.

You said you were not going to post any more posts if they were anything political - didn't keep to your word for very long!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bolt

I hope i live long enough to see the coming shambles in 15 years, 44 ton lorries carrying 10 tons of goods due to 30 tons of batteries and motors and it still can't manage a 6 hour journey without a 12 hour recharge at the 4 commercial charging points at Watford Gap, 2 of which will be out of action.

The politicians making all these grand plans won't be in power in 2035, they'll be enjoying their well heeled retirements far from the chaos they created, and some other schmuck will be having to make the excuses why this utopian nightmare is going to have to be postponed, unless you want to starve whilst your food rots in that 3 day queue at Watford Gap.

Some MSA's have already got electric hook ups for fridge vehicles parking overnight, not as these could cope with charging vast battery packs, but half of those are already smashed to pieces or otherwise out of action.

This is Britain people, our leaders and civil service couldn't run one in a brewery, we can't even stop a couple of dozen invaders a day from making south eastern landfall on an inflatable bed, does anyone seriously believe these plans have any chance of coming to pass.

You said you were not going to post any more posts if they were anything political - didn't keep to your word for very long!

Pretty much right though, made me laugh that BJ admitted he didn't know what Climate change was all about, if he doesn't know, what are the others like. doesn't make sense

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

"Pretty much right though, made me laugh that BJ admitted he didn't know what Climate change was all about, if he doesn't know, what are the others like. doesn't make sense"

He's not alone judging by posts on this forum... You do realise that Greenland's ice is increasing and that is quoted as a denial of global warming..!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(It is WINTER in Greenland)...

2035 electric or hydrogen only - focussed

It's a very good thing that the greenland ice cap melts off the result of the winter's accumulation of ice, if it didn't it would just get higher year by year.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - sammy1

Called into Hopwood services on the M42 on Saturday morning. Well over 50% of the chargers were occupied by mostly the ultra large Teslas. It cannot be long until the charging capacity is full and cars have to wait and somehow queue to charge, quite how this will work I cannot envisage. Do you stay with the car until it is your turn or coffee and pee and then queue! In any case it looks as though they will soon need a new bank of chargers! Personally I could not be bothered especially in a storm like today.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

Called into Hopwood services on the M42 on Saturday morning. Well over 50% of the chargers were occupied by mostly the ultra large Teslas. It cannot be long until the charging capacity is full and cars have to wait and somehow queue to charge, quite how this will work I cannot envisage. Do you stay with the car until it is your turn or coffee and pee and then queue! In any case it looks as though they will soon need a new bank of chargers! Personally I could not be bothered especially in a storm like today.

Rather takes me back to the 1970s when we had to queue up for fuel (well, my Dad was and I was there for the ride on the way to my grandparents' homes). I wouldn't be at all surprised if some EV owners resented queuing for 45 mins and fights started to break out.

Even worse if you were in a big queue and had to go over the 2 hour free-of-charge (pardon the pun) stay at the service stop! Now that would be an expensive visit, especially when you factor in the price of food and drink at such establishments!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

Just had a minor power cut - due to storms.. electrcity supply flickered on and off a few times.

I wonder how mass chargers would react to that? All that current tripping on and off. Has to replace 13A fuse on elderly Dyson as a result.. It's 12 years old and original fuse failed...

Same happened on a fridge /freezer last month when interior bulb flared and failed..

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

Just had a minor power cut - due to storms.. electrcity supply flickered on and off a few times.

I wonder how mass chargers would react to that? All that current tripping on and off. Has to replace 13A fuse on elderly Dyson as a result.. It's 12 years old and original fuse failed...

Same happened on a fridge /freezer last month when interior bulb flared and failed..

You're lucky that just the fridge's interior light bulb failed - in my neck of the woods, we had a cascade power failure of 2/3rds all power along the local dual carriageway (all towns along affected for 15+ miles), where some of the town had power, but most had 1/3 power, meaning the fridges, freezers etc kept on trying to start up, not doing their compressors, etc any good at all.

In such cases, apparently the best course of action is to take the plug out/turn it off at the wall until full power is restored, otherwise the compressor ,etc could fail early due to it trying to start up (and failing) many times during a short period.

Not sure what would happen with fast chargers for vehicles though - perhaps they have some kind of capacitor set-up to smooth out fluctuations in the power supply, but I suspect they couldn't cope with outages more than a handful of seconds, if that.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - gordonbennet

Not sure what would happen with fast chargers for vehicles though - perhaps they have some kind of capacitor set-up to smooth out fluctuations in the power supply, but I suspect they couldn't cope with outages more than a handful of seconds, if that.

Isn't that part of why they're desperate for every prole to have a smart meter, so when there's a glitch in the power supply, the power already in your battery can be clawed back to keep the grid going.

No reason i suppose why induction charging, if it comes, couldn't be reversed in the same way.

As for chargers, if the reliability of my CTEK smart chargers have been anything to go by better be putting some serious money aside for replacement home car charger point replacements.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

I think that, other than reducing the cost of reading meters (noting that they don't pass that onto customers, as my supplier admitted) and being told to do so by government (and the EU before we left) to pretend that it leads to 'lower usage', I think that the main reason is so that energy providers can institute variable pricing throughout the day and night, based on demand.

Just like roads pricing, it will mostly negatively affect the poorest the most, because everyone will pay the same rate, but only some will inevitably be able to afford the higher prices at peak times without serious implications for the rest of their expenditure.

I doubt if they will 'suck' electricity back up from batteries in cars, etc. The street lights on my housing development have capacitors so that when the incoming power dips a bit, they discharge to the lamp to make up the difference, when there's an oversupply and/or they aren't fully charged, they draw power from the external grid to charge them up. As I said earlier, the likelihood is that they only provide a handful of seconds worth of power, maybe less.

They aren't a full battery backup, or like for a VCR or mains-powered boiler controller, which may have one or draw so little power that the capacitor can keep their clocks going for some time when during an extended power cut.

I think that the charging infrastructure and generation problems (especially when they are charged opposed to when most 'clean' electricity is generated) is going to be far more of an expensive technical and logistical problem to overcome than the EV batteries capacity issue. This also feeds into the hydrogen separation issue I raised earlier, as it relies heavily on the generation of electricty.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

I never believed the rhetoric about smart meters - saving energy or reading costs.

They were put there for one reason only - to have the capacity to monitor usage and potentially charge for consumption in small 30min, 15min or even 1 minute "chunks" .

The price paid by the consumer could be updated at frequent intervals to reflect prices in wholesale energy markets. This fluctuates rapidly over a 24 hour cycle depending on demand - at the moment there is limited energy storage and as demand increases it calls upon the least efficient/most expensive generating capacity

This will encourage people to move energy hungry actvities to times when energy demand is low (23.00 - 06.00?) - eg: dishwashers, washing machine use, and (yes) charging EVs.

The benefit is that a broad measure of energy security is the extent to which capacity exceeds maximum demand. Making this change will reduce peak demand and limit the need to upgrade generating capacity (saving money!).

2035 electric or hydrogen only - corax

This also feeds into the hydrogen separation issue I raised earlier, as it relies heavily on the generation of electricty.

I was wondering why a country like Australia couldn't separate hydrogen from sea water using banks of solar panels. The interior is vast and unpopulated with large sun exposure. But there is a problem with the negatively charged chloride in seawater corroding the positive end during electrolysis. Still, the problem is being addressed but isn't at the manufacturing stage yet.

And you still have the hydrogen storage issue.

Edited by corax on 09/02/2020 at 17:01

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

This also feeds into the hydrogen separation issue I raised earlier, as it relies heavily on the generation of electricty.

I was wondering why a country like Australia couldn't separate hydrogen from sea water using banks of solar panels. The interior is vast and unpopulated with large sun exposure. But there is a problem with the negatively charged chloride in seawater corroding the positive end during electrolysis. Still, the problem is being addressed but isn't at the manufacturing stage yet.

And you still have the hydrogen storage issue.

DO you fancy piping salt water 1,000 miles and liquify hydrogen and transport it at 40C ambient? I can thin k of lots of reasons why it will be cery costly...

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Snookey

I was wondering why a country like Australia couldn't separate hydrogen from sea water

On a vaguely similar note, a week or two back there was a programme about desperate water shortages in Brazil, on a day when the news had stories about melting ice in Antarctica causing rises in sea levels. If sea levels are rising as claimed than surely that's ideal for countries such as Brazil to be having massive desalination programmes to solve their water problems. It's an opportunity, not a cause for doom-mongering.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - corax

It's an opportunity, not a cause for doom-mongering.

Try telling that to madf :-)

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

I was wondering why a country like Australia couldn't separate hydrogen from sea water

On a vaguely similar note, a week or two back there was a programme about desperate water shortages in Brazil, on a day when the news had stories about melting ice in Antarctica causing rises in sea levels. If sea levels are rising as claimed than surely that's ideal for countries such as Brazil to be having massive desalination programmes to solve their water problems. It's an opportunity, not a cause for doom-mongering.

Desalination is a very energy-hungry and complicated process, making it very expensive. To add a process to split off the hydrogen would require huge amounts of electrical energy, and as others have said, the hydrogen needs to be stored in liquid form, i.e. at a very low temperature, which again needs yet more power.

Probably better to develop battery tech to just take PV electrical energy directly, at least for cars.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Snookey
To add a process to split off the hydrogen

I wasn't including making hydrogen, solely referring to their critical water shortage, to drink, bathe, and so on.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy
To add a process to split off the hydrogen

I wasn't including making hydrogen, solely referring to their critical water shortage, to drink, bathe, and so on.

Still blimmin' expensive and energy-intensive.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Snookey
If it was solely about reducing the worst polluting, then surely we'd ban all those powerful sports saloons and supercars

Exactly. I've said for years that if there really was a crisis being caused by cars which was threatening to end the world as we know it, then just after the turn of the century when the government began taxing on the basis of CO2, they wouldn't have messed about and would have declared an immediate ban on any sale of a new car with an engine of over 1.6 litres or 100bhp or a top speed over 90mph. If the risk was genuine the reaction wouldn't be, "Well okay then you can destroy the world just so long as you pay a bit more tax" because the politicians would know they'd be going to die just like the rest of us. Self-interest would have made them take effective action. That they only play around with tax levels shows there's nothing behind it all.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

The vast, vast of the world's CO2 output from artifical sources comes from things other than cars.

Far better to decarbonise heating for buildings by making them more thermally efficient, amongst other things (that I've mentioned elsewhere many times), and reduce the emissions of sea and air transportation, not just by new tech, but by reducing supply chain distances and being more self-sufficient.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Terry W

A question - is the primary goal of a politician (a) to save the planet, or (b) win elections and stay in office.

The cynical me would go for (b) every time. The fairly trivial tax increases on bigger cars were what they thought they could get away with politically, and (maybe) change car buyers behaviour and choices.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Avant

Terry's (a) and (b) will come together only if and when saving the planet becomes a big enough issue to swing votes.

People like Sir David Attenborough, Prince Charles and Greta Thunberg in their different ways have done a lot to bring these issues to our attention, but if you look back at the last general election, neither of the main parties had this as one of their principal messages.

Of course it also needs politicians who want to stay in office for a genuine purpose, not for office's own sake. But the public in general is more to blame than the politicians.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

A pity that Gret knows diddly about climate science and she's been manipulated by her leftist activists parents, coached to give a performance for teh camera by her actor Dad.

The same goes for the Extinction Rebellion, who's founder says (like AOC in the Us with her 'Green New Deal) that their agenda has nothing to do with saving the planet and everything about promoting hardline scoailsim/Marxism.

We have to be very careful about blindly believing people (including scientists) who have overt political agendas that shape and frame their utterances and more importantly (from the scientists), research and interpretation of results.

Scientists in the past were often blindly believed (herding) and a good number of times proved completely wrong by people called heretics (and not just by religious bodies, often the majority of other scientists in their field of study) for giving a contrary viewpoint or saying they don't believe the 'mainstream'.

A bit of scepticism is a healthy thing, and not the same as tin-foil hit conspiracy theories.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Bromptonaut

A pity that Gret knows diddly about climate science and she's been manipulated by her leftist activists parents, coached to give a performance for teh camera by her actor Dad.

You can be sceptical about the science if you like but I think Greta knows her stuff.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

A pity that Gret knows diddly about climate science and she's been manipulated by her leftist activists parents, coached to give a performance for teh camera by her actor Dad.

You can be sceptical about the science if you like but I think Greta knows her stuff.

No she doesn't. I've seen video clips (though never shown on MSM TV) of her being asked 'off script' technical questions, i.e. ones she's not been coached to answer by her parents and handlers (and the vast majority of those are simple questions with little technical content, more 'feelings' than facts), and she has no clue and is stumped every time.

They aren't hard questions either. Not really a suprise, she is a 16yo with little schooling behind her (she's missed much of the last few years).

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

Scientists in the past were often blindly believed (herding) and a good number of times proved completely wrong by people called heretics (and not just by religious bodies, often the majority of other scientists in their field of study) for giving a contrary viewpoint or saying they don't believe the 'mainstream'.

Can you give any examples of this from say the last 100 years?

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

Scientists in the past were often blindly believed (herding) and a good number of times proved completely wrong by people called heretics (and not just by religious bodies, often the majority of other scientists in their field of study) for giving a contrary viewpoint or saying they don't believe the 'mainstream'.

Can you give any examples of this from say the last 100 years?

Galilieo and flat vs round earth c 500 years ago..

The science of evolution which Darwin proposed to outright hostility from the establishment - 150 years ago.

Anti vaccination Dr Wakefield 20 years ago - oh he was a total fraud..

Various theories on genetics mainly populairised by the Nazis and totally without any proof.. 80 years ago.

Err after that I am struggling..

(There will be cases in medicine which I cannot recall - eg vaccination etc but they are all 150+ years ago).

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

Scientists in the past were often blindly believed (herding) and a good number of times proved completely wrong by people called heretics (and not just by religious bodies, often the majority of other scientists in their field of study) for giving a contrary viewpoint or saying they don't believe the 'mainstream'.

Can you give any examples of this from say the last 100 years?

OK:

  1. That the universe was not expanding at all (and the Big Bang theory was rubbish), then that it was only expanding at a constant or reducing rate;
  2. That the aether existed (admitedly this was from the late 1800s, but not far off 100 years);
  3. That a global ice age was upon us due to pollution;
  4. That the ice caps would melt by 2014;
  5. That homosexuality is an illness (WHO, 1977);
  6. That at times in the past the continents (as they are today) were all joined;
  7. That most other star systems would either be planet-less or very similar to our own, including obriting a similar type of star to ours;
  8. That most star systems are made up of a single star and not binary (or more) stars;
  9. That by the turn of the century, i.e. 2000, the growth in the population (which was under-estimated as well) would easily outstrip our capcity to grow/produce enought food for everyone to live off of, leading to mass starvation (far more than in Ethiopia in the 1980s - on a scale of billions);
  10. That thalidomide, DDT, smoking cigarettes, and asbestos-based products were perfectly safe.
  11. That fat is unhealthy and worse than sugar;
  12. That plastic packaging and all pesticides are safe as regards long term exposure to humans and into the environment;
  13. That above ground nuclear weapons testing posed no threat to health/the environment, or the same as regards the sea for underground testing on atolls;
  14. The effects of Y2K;
  15. Eugenics;
  16. That black holes do let anything escape;
  17. What foods/drinks are good and bad, and in what quantities.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302

Scientists in the past were often blindly believed (herding) and a good number of times proved completely wrong by people called heretics (and not just by religious bodies, often the majority of other scientists in their field of study) for giving a contrary viewpoint or saying they don't believe the 'mainstream'.

Can you give any examples of this from say the last 100 years?

OK:

  1. That the universe was not expanding at all (and the Big Bang theory was rubbish), then that it was only expanding at a constant or reducing rate;
  2. That the aether existed (admitedly this was from the late 1800s, but not far off 100 years);
  3. That a global ice age was upon us due to pollution;
  4. That the ice caps would melt by 2014;
  5. That homosexuality is an illness (WHO, 1977);
  6. That at times in the past the continents (as they are today) were all joined;
  7. That most other star systems would either be planet-less or very similar to our own, including obriting a similar type of star to ours;
  8. That most star systems are made up of a single star and not binary (or more) stars;
  9. That by the turn of the century, i.e. 2000, the growth in the population (which was under-estimated as well) would easily outstrip our capcity to grow/produce enought food for everyone to live off of, leading to mass starvation (far more than in Ethiopia in the 1980s - on a scale of billions);
  10. That thalidomide, DDT, smoking cigarettes, and asbestos-based products were perfectly safe.
  11. That fat is unhealthy and worse than sugar;
  12. That plastic packaging and all pesticides are safe as regards long term exposure to humans and into the environment;
  13. That above ground nuclear weapons testing posed no threat to health/the environment, or the same as regards the sea for underground testing on atolls;
  14. The effects of Y2K;
  15. Eugenics;
  16. That black holes do let anything escape;
  17. What foods/drinks are good and bad, and in what quantities.

You will need to show some sources for this.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

You will need to show some sources for this.

Stop trolling. I found many of the above (other than those I personally know about as an engineer myself) from a 10 minute search on the Interweb to confirm. The vast majority of them are well documented, and if you don't know about those I mentioned means you aren't very well read or up on scientific issues.

Please show me which ones I specified are lies and that scientists at the time (they aren't all from the last 20 years, mainly because recent theories are not likely to be proven wrong for a good few years, which is often how things get debunked).

Many of the things, e.g. thalidomide, Eugenics, about fat in foods compared to sugar, etc is widely known to have been accepted as fine, then later research done to confirm the contrary. I mean, Sir Fred Hoyle himself (and many other top scientists) said that the Big Bang theory was rubbish, only when the Hubble Space telescope's observations showed that the universe's exapnsion is speeding up did the scientific community accept this.

If you'd just asked me for one or two things, then I would've given the supporting data, but 17? My point was that each generation of scientists think there's is the one' that made all the big breakthroughs, but often all that happens is that the next generation or three debunk quite a few of their theories and discoveries.

This is especially true today with social politics again playing a big part in science, e.g. theories on race, sexuality, gender, etc. Scientists, just like entertainers, like publicity and court it often by bending the knee to the latest social fad or agenda, not because they believe in it, but because they can gain publicity and funding for their projects.

Scientists aren't all selfless people who are only interested in the betterment of society through gaining knowledge - they are flawed people, just like the rest of us, sometimes more so for the reasons I gave. It's one of the reasons I went into engineering and not science, because we tend to work behind the scenes, not courting publicity for our work, because the results are our reward.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - corax

  1. That at times in the past the continents (as they are today) were all joined;

I thought it was widely acknowledged that there was a super continent called Pangaea at the end of the carboniferous period.

Edited by corax on 11/02/2020 at 17:15

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

  1. That at times in the past the continents (as they are today) were all joined;

I thought it was widely acknowledged that there was a super continent called Pangaea at the end of the carboniferous period.

It is now, but it was not properly until the middle of the last century:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continental_drift

2035 electric or hydrogen only - alan1302
If it was solely about reducing the worst polluting, then surely we'd ban all those powerful sports saloons and supercars

I've said for years that if there really was a crisis being caused by cars which was threatening to end the world as we know it, then just after the turn of the century when the government began taxing on the basis of CO2, they wouldn't have messed about and would have declared an immediate ban on any sale of a new car with an engine of over 1.6 litres or 100bhp or a top speed over 90mph.

You don't think the government wants to stay in power then?

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Snookey
You don't think the government wants to stay in power then?

If the alleged climate crisis was real then the opposition parties of the day would be saying the same thing and supporting it. Besides, what's the point of winning an election if the world is going to end in a few years anyhow? Which is what a certain element of scientists, TV animal watchers, extinction rebellion, and the cabbage patch Swede keep telling us will inevitably happen if drastic action isn't taken immediately. In fact, one would imagine that if governments around the world were privy to such irrefutable evidence of imminent doom as is claimed, then rather than the comparatively minor measures I suggested, we would have seen national grids switched off, petrol stations shut down, all aeroplanes grounded, that sort of thing. Yet there's hardly a one which is going even as far as our own government.

It is no coincidence whatsoever that the rapid growth of this movement of so-called climate activists began in the aftermath of the fall of the Berlin Wall and the break-up of the Warsaw Pact bloc, when marxists in the west were forced to accept that their beloved Soviet Union wouldn't be taking over the world anytime soon, and they had to find a way to wreck western societies from within.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf
You don't think the government wants to stay in power then?

If the alleged climate crisis was real then the opposition parties of the day would be saying the same thing and supporting it. Besides, what's the point of winning an election if the world is going to end in a few years anyhow? Which is what a certain element of scientists, TV animal watchers, extinction rebellion, and the cabbage patch Swede keep telling us will inevitably happen if drastic action isn't taken immediately. In fact, one would imagine that if governments around the world were privy to such irrefutable evidence of imminent doom as is claimed, then rather than the comparatively minor measures I suggested, we would have seen national grids switched off, petrol stations shut down, all aeroplanes grounded, that sort of thing. Yet there's hardly a one which is going even as far as our own government.

It is no coincidence whatsoever that the rapid growth of this movement of so-called climate activists began in the aftermath of the fall of the Berlin Wall and the break-up of the Warsaw Pact bloc, when marxists in the west were forced to accept that their beloved Soviet Union wouldn't be taking over the world anytime soon, and they had to find a way to wreck western societies from within.

I LOVE a good conspiracy theory.

The best ones are those written with NO proof.

The above is therefore excellent. :-)

Coincidence is not proof...

Edited by madf on 11/02/2020 at 10:30

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Snookey
Coincidence is not proof...

Which is why I stated that it is no coincidence whatsoever.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - madf

Coincidence is NOT causality.

Anyone can produce a theory but without proof it is meaningless.

Show us the proof.

And if you say "coincidence" I say "I started sleeping on my right side and the next day President Trump was elected. I now sleep on my left side to ensure it does not happen again"

2035 electric or hydrogen only - FP

"It is no coincidence whatsoever that the rapid growth of this movement of so-called climate activists began in the aftermath of the fall of the Berlin Wall and the break-up of the Warsaw Pact bloc, when marxists in the west were forced to accept that their beloved Soviet Union wouldn't be taking over the world anytime soon, and they had to find a way to wreck western societies from within."

I'm getting pretty tired of the "bash-the-left" mantra that seems to have taken over this forum - with some notable exceptions, of course.

But this takes the biscuit.

So those who support the idea of man-made climate change are all in the grip of crazy marxists, bent on wrecking "western societies". You really couldn't make it up.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Engineer Andy

"It is no coincidence whatsoever that the rapid growth of this movement of so-called climate activists began in the aftermath of the fall of the Berlin Wall and the break-up of the Warsaw Pact bloc, when marxists in the west were forced to accept that their beloved Soviet Union wouldn't be taking over the world anytime soon, and they had to find a way to wreck western societies from within."

I'm getting pretty tired of the "bash-the-left" mantra that seems to have taken over this forum - with some notable exceptions, of course.

But this takes the biscuit.

So those who support the idea of man-made climate change are all in the grip of crazy marxists, bent on wrecking "western societies". You really couldn't make it up.

The problem is that a good deal of the most significant 'activists' are just that:

order-order.com/2020/02/12/extinction-rebellion-la.../

They even admit it themselves (a link in the article to ExR's website)!

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Avant

This has become very similar to the other current thread on climate change. Both have run their course and are getting to be boring.

I'll give them till tomorrow evening in case there is anything new and constructive to be said: otherwise that's it.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - FP

My take on it is that threads like this one have become a stamping round for those who wish to discredit left-wing politics. Whether it has anything to do with Brexit, the recent general election, or the way things are going in America I don't know.

But I'm getting sick of it.

Before anyone decides to have a go at me, let me say my politics are centre, maybe leaning slightly to the right.

2035 electric or hydrogen only - Sofa Spud

Apparently the government (in the form of Grant Shapps) is considering bringing forward the ban from 2035 to 2032. This might be a case of pushing on an open door because a lot of manufacturers will probably only make electric cars by then anyway.