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New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - sammy1

Has HJ started a real mpg page for battery cars yet. Perhaps he could start with the new Tesla 3 which according to Whatcar is some 27% shy of Tesla figures in the real world ie some 90miles out of a claimed 329. Similar figures are for Hyundai and Audi and the rest. These figures are more of a joke then the fossil fuel ones. I won't be buying one any time soon or the hybrids the range or the prices just do not make sense Who wants 2 engines as with the hybrids and when they add the combined BHP together as a marketing tool well who are they trying to convince?

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - John F

It would be more meaningful to have mp£, or pence per mile comparison. Just found this site which compares.....

www.fleetnews.co.uk/car-running-costs-calculator?Y...d

....and for larger cars it seems to make little difference whatever the means of propulsion.

However, for the ordinary motorist it is probably best not to know. The masochistic mp£ calculation cannot be made without obsessively keeping service and repair records over the whole period of ownership until the car is sold, so apart from folk like myself who had to provide them for our accountant, few people bother. A single expensive bill or particularly steep depreciation will seriously impair the result, as will low annual mileage.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - badbusdriver

Has HJ started a real mpg page for battery cars yet. Perhaps he could start with the new Tesla 3 which according to Whatcar is some 27% shy of Tesla figures in the real world ie some 90miles out of a claimed 329. Similar figures are for Hyundai and Audi and the rest. These figures are more of a joke then the fossil fuel ones. I won't be buying one any time soon or the hybrids the range or the prices just do not make sense Who wants 2 engines as with the hybrids and when they add the combined BHP together as a marketing tool well who are they trying to convince?

This is an extract from Autocar's test of the Hyundai Kona electric,

And, unlike the recently tested Jaguar, it really will go as far as they say on a full battery’s worth of power. At the steady 70mph motorway cruise represented by our touring test, the Kona Electric’s energy efficiency was enough to put 256 miles between charges. But slowing cruising speed to a still-UK-typical 55mph allowed that figure to grow to 326 miles. At exclusively urban speeds, when you know how best to eke out its power, you might even see more than 350 miles of range.

Fact is, for the vast majority, if they were being honest with themselves, a 150-200 mile range would be perfectly fine. And while there are still genuine reasons for some avoiding electric cars, such as charging infrastructure and depreciation/lease cost, i sometimes feel that a lot of people are using the range argument just as an excuse, i'e, they'd never actually be driving that far. As someone who drives a small van, i'd be very interested in an electric van, but the only kind i'd currently have the budget for would be an early Renault Kangoo, which has a real range of about 60-70 miles. Now if i only cleaned windows in the town i live, that would be absolutely fine. Unfortunately that is not the case for me, and 70 miles is a distance i'd cover a few days during the month. Once an electric van with a real 100 mile range comes into my budget, i'd be looking at it very seriously!

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - gordonbennet

No point in any pricing formulas until the govt makes clear what it is going to do about charging electric vehicles for road use, is it going to be a surcharge on the home charged cars (hence the never ending ads for smart meters so they can work out how much car charging power you've taken), or is going to be road pricing so those of us still using fossil fuels pay another lot of charges.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Bolt

i sometimes feel that a lot of people are using the range argument just as an excuse, i'e, they'd never actually be driving that far

But if they did and possibly not so many miles but it was cold, would the batteries be capable of keeping all electrics going and get you the miles as well, that seems to be more of whats been asked than its actual range without using all electrics

unless of course these cars have all been tested for all eventualities

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - sammy1

It took a friend of mine 7 hours to drive 150 miles from Cornwall via A38 M5, stop start traffic, queuing, driving lights, wipers aircon, radio etc in yesterdays horrendous weather. I doubt any electric car would have made the distance without the driver being seriously concerned.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Terry W

For a two car household, one electric and one conventional is entirely feasible. Better still if they have garage or driveway parking and can install charging point. Initial cost and battery life are major considerations anyway.

Otherwise there are two challenges:

- routine charging where the absence of points is a real barrier

- journeys close to the vehicles minimum range with bad weather, delays, etc

The option could exist for hiring conventional for long trips, but this only increases the cost disincentive.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

It took a friend of mine 7 hours to drive 150 miles from Cornwall via A38 M5, stop start traffic, queuing, driving lights, wipers aircon, radio etc in yesterdays horrendous weather. I doubt any electric car would have made the distance without the driver being seriously concerned.

I sympathise, as I make an even longer journey (275-300 miles) from my home in Hertfordshire to Cornwall on holiday. Roughly the same duration (including 2 breaks [one for lunch]), but normally with less traffic (I also go out of the school holidays).

I find that at each service stop normally has about 2 or 3 non-Tesla EV charging points (90% of the time I'm there they are all used), and about 3-6 Tesla ones, which appear to be mostly 1/3 - 1/2 used.

The large up-front cost of significantly increasing those facilities so that a larger number of EV owners could use rapid chargers mid-journey would have to be recouped from someone, and quite I suspect quickly, especially if solar charging improves in future years.

I certainly wouldn't want to have to wait near the max 2hrs mark at such service stops in order to ensure my car definitely reached its destination without grinding to a halt on the motorway through a flat battery. As you say, there are times when significant traffic jams mean (especially in very hot or cold weather) that someone in an EV could burn through their battery life very quickly whilst going practically nowhere.

If EVs could guarantee a minimum range of 350 miles in any condition (that's the lowest range I've had in my petrol car in the absolute worst conditions in the dead of winter), then that would certainly help, however I still think it's the charging infrastructure (I'm less concerned about generating capacity, as there would be less electricity usage to compensate because refineries would be using less) that's the problem.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Leif

Has HJ started a real mpg page for battery cars yet. Perhaps he could start with the new Tesla 3 which according to Whatcar is some 27% shy of Tesla figures in the real world ie some 90miles out of a claimed 329. Similar figures are for Hyundai and Audi and the rest. These figures are more of a joke then the fossil fuel ones. I won't be buying one any time soon or the hybrids the range or the prices just do not make sense Who wants 2 engines as with the hybrids and when they add the combined BHP together as a marketing tool well who are they trying to convince?

Unfortunately we don’t know the driving style of the person who tested the vehicle. Some of these journalists review a car and say it is underpowered, and unsuitable for motorways, when in reality it’s fine for normal drivers. Or they give an mpg which is way below what I get. I’d be happy with a real 250 mile range. However, the real issue is the purchase price, they are too damned expensive. We need advances in battery tech to make them competitive.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Terry W

Except for local use in 2+ car households they need to overcome some major barriers:

- initial price too high - completely uncompetitive

- limited charging points on street or in car parks - only really work for houses with driveways

- recharge times are still excessive even with latest technology compared to conventional

- only shift emmissions from road to power plant - not fundamentally greener

Therefore will remain a rare choice for most people until:

- battery+motor drivetrain cost is comparable with conventionally fuelled cars

- recharging in similar time to fuel refill - fast charging or battery swap stations

- adequate national infrastructure

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - sammy1

find that at each service stop normally has about 2 or 3 non-Tesla EV charging points (90% of the time I'm there they are all used), and about 3-6 Tesla ones, which appear to be mostly 1/3 - 1/2 used.

I think this is the rub. As electric cars become more popular there will come a tipping point at service stations where there are not enough chargers so you have to queue! So how will this happen, will you join a line as at the fuel pump? This would not work as at the moment the chargers are in designated parking places. So how would you decide who is next to charge!!

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

I think this is the rub. As electric cars become more popular there will come a tipping point at service stations where there are not enough chargers so you have to queue! So how will this happen, will you join a line as at the fuel pump? This would not work as at the moment the chargers are in designated parking places. So how would you decide who is next to charge!!

I could easily see fights breaking out. It wasn't as bad when in the 1970s (I just about remembered my Dad queuing for petrol) the Oil Crisis meant fuel was in very short supply for a while, but that affected everyone.

A shortage of EV charging points (especially for reps in a hurry or people going on holiday) and people having to wait HOURS, more so if the charger doesn't work properly (which supposedly does happen more often than many think). Not helped when the free parking only is for 2 hours and ramps up to the extortionate rate 1 second afterwards, rather like parking fines.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - focussed

A good idea would be to offer the pure battery EV an option of being equipped with its own generator, like this 20 KW gas turbine auxiliary power unit, run it on almost anything.

Roll up at the motorway services for a break, press the charge button, job done, it starts itself up, charges the battery while you are on your break, come back to car refreshed, drive on your way.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Bolt

A good idea would be to offer the pure battery EV an option of being equipped with its own generator, like this 20 KW gas turbine auxiliary power unit, run it on almost anything.

Roll up at the motorway services for a break, press the charge button, job done, it starts itself up, charges the battery while you are on your break, come back to car refreshed, drive on your way.

Good idea, Samsung are working on graphene batteries for mobile phones, and talk is they may use them for cars as they can be made part of the chassis/body, saving room and charging would only take minutes, discharge rate is much faster as well for power and acceleration, apparently they should be ready for the galaxy S11, then cars- if all goes well

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

Only for the rich though, for the moment. Some top-end mobile phones cost more than my car would fetch second-hand.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - skidpan

I won't be buying one any time soon or the hybrids the range or the prices just do not make sense

I was firmly in that camp but I think its starting to change and its making me rethink.

Before I retired hybrids were only of any serious benefit to business users. We had 3 at work and all the users said the same things i.e. not great to drive, mpg not as good as a diesel but tax saving was great.

My Superb is due for a change next March. Sensible choice is another Superb but to avoid the 1.5 TSi and since I have a desire for a bit more power and kit it would have to be the 2.0 TSi 190 PS SE-L at £30500 retail. Take off discount and contributions and it can be had currently for about £23,800.

Another possibility is the Corolla Estate with the 2.0 Hybrid 180 PS set up. Retail is about £28,500 and discounts only seem to be approx 10% at present thus £25,600 to pay.

Thus the Corolla would be £1,800 more but I would not get that back in 3 years with the fuel savings, Mr Casio suggests I would save about £900 at todays prices. Still £900 out of pocket.

But where I suspect the Corolla may do rather well is on residuals. In 2023 when times comes to change again it will probably be a good deal more desirable on the used market not only for its green credentials but also the 2 years of warranty left.

But since I don't have a crystal ball it will be drive both and take a stab in the dark.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Avant

Like you, Skidpan, I'm keeping an open mind on PHEVs, in my case because up to now the price difference between PHEVs and petrol-engined equivalents has been much too high (e.g. list price of Audi A3 e-tron about £8,000 more). But the gap seems to be narrowing and I hope will narrow further by the time I next think about a change, in 2021 when the Q2's warranty runs out. A PHEV would suit my needs very well.

I hope you'll let us know when you've tried a 2.0 Corolla, and in particular whether Toyota have overcome the problem of the revs soaring skywards if you need a burst of acceleration, which happened with the Prius and Lexus NX that I have tried in the past.

The engine in the Superb that you're considering is the same as in my Q2, and it's a good one: plenty of oomph and up to 42 mpg. I think it only comes with DSG, but it's the superior wet-clutch version.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - skidpan

There is one other factor of course and that is what happens if "Boris the idiot" takes us out of the EU without an agreement. People who are currently placing orders for Skodas are being told that the price will increase if a Trade Tariff is imposed after the end of October.

10% on a £30,000 car is £3000 but since the Corolla is built in Derby there would be no tariff to pay that.

Suddenly the figures could swing in the Corollas favour without the extra mpg or better residuals.

in particular whether Toyota have overcome the problem of the revs soaring skywards if you need a burst of acceleration

Tests I have read suggest that the set up in the 2.0 is the best yet and while revs do increase its way better than before since the car catches up quicker. Its also seems that with the 2 litre set up the need for full throttle and soaring revs for an overtake is much reduced with the much better part throttle response of the engine and extra torques. On paper it looks very promising.

Just need to find a decent Toyota dealer to visit. The local one lied to the wife (same garage now sells Suzuki as well and they lied to us only 3 weeks ago), the next nearest pretended they had sold all their demonstrators when we asked for test drive on a diesel Auris and the next nearest offered us a long test drive on an Avensis Tourer diesel but when we got there it was a petrol and the salesman said he would decide what test drive we got, 2 miles each way in reality. So 3 attempts to buy a Toyota and 3 idiot dealers.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - sammy1

10% on a £30,000 car is £3000 but since the Corolla is built in Derby there would be no tariff to pay that.

Suddenly the figures could swing in the Corollas favour without the extra mpg or better residuals

Three years since the referendum and life goes on for us plebs. I feel sure what ever happens all manufactures will play with their high profit margins to stay competitive..

As to the value of your Skoda when you sell it could well make up your mind.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Leif
Your Corolla may well be made in Britain, but it will use lots of imported items, be that raw steel, or manufactured components, so expect the price to increase.
New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

I'd be interested how you get on with a test drive of the Corolla 2.0 hybrid (assuming you can find a good dealer - you must be unlucky as most I've come across are good), as that's on my list with the Mazda3 2.0 SA-X [185PS] auto, and the Hyundai i30 1.4T auto (once they get the suspension sorted [shame no 1.6T]) to replace my aging Mazda3. A pain (for me anyway) that the saloon version of the Corolla doesn't come in 2.0 format, just the hatch and estate (not the end of the world - I just like saloons).

A shame that the VAG 1.5EVO is currently having problems, but to be honest, the ongoing DSG reliability problems already put me off, and I want an auto this time. The (non-MSM) reviews of the Corolla 2.0 seem to be very positive, and not limited to the engine either.

If I'd been lied to be a salesperson at a Toyota dealership, I'd have written to both the dealer principal/owner and Toyota UK to complain - certainly the latter wouldn't in my view tollerate bad publicity, given great customer service is why they get so much repeat custom.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - craig-pd130

I won't be buying one any time soon or the hybrids the range or the prices just do not make sense

I was firmly in that camp but I think its starting to change and its making me rethink.

Before I retired hybrids were only of any serious benefit to business users. We had 3 at work and all the users said the same things i.e. not great to drive, mpg not as good as a diesel but tax saving was great.

It depends on the hybrid. I've had my 225xe for over 2 years, and it's simply the best all-round car I've ever had (despite its boring mini-MPV looks). It's a hoot to drive in both pure EV and full-power mode, it's giving me better combined consumption (i.e. total cost of petrol and electricity, as I only charge at home) than any of my previous turbodiesels, and yes, the tax saving is great.

Quite a few coming onto the approved used market now, too.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - craig-pd130

A good idea would be to offer the pure battery EV an option of being equipped with its own generator, like this 20 KW gas turbine auxiliary power unit, run it on almost anything.

Roll up at the motorway services for a break, press the charge button, job done, it starts itself up, charges the battery while you are on your break, come back to car refreshed, drive on your way.

Agreed, Jaguar had the right idea with its Bladon gas-turbine hybrid prototype. Also, how cool would it be to own a jet car!

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Leif

I think this is the rub. As electric cars become more popular there will come a tipping point at service stations where there are not enough chargers so you have to queue! So how will this happen, will you join a line as at the fuel pump? This would not work as at the moment the chargers are in designated parking places. So how would you decide who is next to charge!!

I could easily see fights breaking out. It wasn't as bad when in the 1970s (I just about remembered my Dad queuing for petrol) the Oil Crisis meant fuel was in very short supply for a while, but that affected everyone.

A shortage of EV charging points (especially for reps in a hurry or people going on holiday) and people having to wait HOURS, more so if the charger doesn't work properly (which supposedly does happen more often than many think). Not helped when the free parking only is for 2 hours and ramps up to the extortionate rate 1 second afterwards, rather like parking fines.

An electric recharging point is far cheaper to install than a petrol pump, so basically your motorway service station car park with have a charging point at large numbers of parking spaces if not all. It would be more problematic with traditional service stations, where space is limited, but ordinary car parking spaces can be used. Not trivial, but I’m sure it would not be a show stopper.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - nick62

An electric recharging point is far cheaper to install than a petrol pump, so basically your motorway service station car park with have a charging point at large numbers of parking spaces if not all. It would be more problematic with traditional service stations, where space is limited, but ordinary car parking spaces can be used. Not trivial, but I’m sure it would not be a show stopper.

I spent a couple of weeks working in Sweden in July. The public car park outside the factory had electric charging points for EVERY space (at least 250+, maybe 500). All the hotels have at least 50% of spaces with charging points.

I also noted that at least 95% of the cars in the car-hire airport parking lot were Volvos and never noticed one pot-hole anywhere! But hey-ho, those Swedes pay lots of income tax, so they must all be mad.........................

Edited by nick62 on 20/08/2019 at 23:27

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - alan1302

I spent a couple of weeks working in Sweden in July. The public car park outside the factory had electric charging points for EVERY space (at least 250+, maybe 500). All the hotels have at least 50% of spaces with charging points.

I also noted that at least 95% of the cars in the car-hire airport parking lot were Volvos and never noticed one pot-hole anywhere! But hey-ho, those Swedes pay lots of income tax, so they must all be mad.........................

It can't be done - you must have imagined everything there as people on the forum says it's possible and Sweden must have blackouts all the time :-)

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

An electric recharging point is far cheaper to install than a petrol pump, so basically your motorway service station car park with have a charging point at large numbers of parking spaces if not all. It would be more problematic with traditional service stations, where space is limited, but ordinary car parking spaces can be used. Not trivial, but I’m sure it would not be a show stopper.

The difference is that I personally don't have to pay up front for a petrol filling station to be built. I live in a flat, which means the entire development would have to pay the entiore cost to install each charging station, assuming there's room (which there isn't) to install them all for EVERY space. Costs and disruption would include:

  1. Getting a consultant to check for require space, also to see if the existing electrical infrastructure would cope (not everyone charges overnight from midnight) and to manage the contract and works;
  2. Likely large amounts of communal gardens, roadways and pathways would have to be dug up/remodelled in order to install one EV charger for every space, including visitor parking. Where would all the cars park when this is being done? Parking is already very limited with no on-road space for vehicles, as the road are not wide and would prevent large vehicles such as delivery and bin lorries and emergency vehicles from getting about.
  3. The cost of the chargers would be higher because they are remote from homes (flats and houses) as we have 'allocated spaces in car parks and thus they have to be robust and secure, more so than the more basic 'domestic' units attached to the side of a house (which only a handful of houses could do [most of ours are terraced homes]);
  4. The Residents Association (in my case, private, run by the residents' nominated firm) would have to either borrow a huge amount of money (likely running into well over £500k, maybe over £1m if lots of groundworks and remodelling is required [likely]), triple (or higher) the service charge over 3 years, or take well over a decade to do the works, which would end up costing vastly more money and meaning certain residents pay but don't see a benefit for years.
  5. Extra money would be needed per year for maintenance and repairs (including from vandalism).

A management and logistics nightmare. As I've explained before, the above is quite typical of most streets/developments with flats and terraced houses, never mind councils and public RAs who would have to borrow yet more money, and yet most people can't afford to buy an EV unless its well over 5 years old, when the battery effectiveness and longevity/reliability is lower and the replacement cost (compared to that of the value of the car overall) is prohibitive.

As I said before, installing many EV charging stations on motorway service stops is not cheap, and those owning them will want to recoup that money (likely loaned) very quickly, which means charging prices will be high, just like at their petrol pumps.

Note that at many service stops, thee car parks don't have gaps at the ends of spaces to accomodate any (never mind back-to-back) EV charging points, thus whole car parks would have to be remodelled to accommodate them, probably reducing their capacity by about 25%, maybe more.

Most already get jam packed in the summer holiday season, so the only alternative would be to make them bigger - more costs to get back by upping prices for chargeable items, which would prove unpopular, or even worse, charge everyone for parking, which would mean those without EVs not needing to be charged would subsidise those (richer) people who own them.

Nice. Going full-on EV for everyone is not anywhere near as easy as the greenies believe. I'm not being a glass-half-empty guy for my health - I'm bringing my insight in engineering working on construction projects to this issue, and believ me, those saying it'll all be plain sailing are selling you a bill of goods, mainly because they have a stake in the firms or wishing to gain [more] political power from decisions to implement such tech as quickly as possible.

See what a mess has been made of the wind and solar generation industry and the bad knock-on effects of that mis-management - the huge subsidies, the lack of benefit for ordinary people, rip-off dodgy workmanship on projects, wind turbines that barely work, power cuts caused when 'green tech' (frequently) goes offline, e.g. when its too windy or still days, or the sun isn't shining.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Sofa Spud

Has HJ started a real mpg page for battery cars yet. Perhaps he could start with the new Tesla 3 which according to Whatcar is some 27% shy of Tesla figures in the real world ie some 90miles out of a claimed 329. Similar figures are for Hyundai and Audi and the rest. These figures are more of a joke then the fossil fuel ones. I won't be buying one any time soon or the hybrids the range or the prices just do not make sense Who wants 2 engines as with the hybrids and when they add the combined BHP together as a marketing tool well who are they trying to convince?

Plenty of people drive around in cars with V8 engines, which are effectively two 4-cylinder engines sharing a common crankshaft! And plenty of people are happy to drive big 4x4's when a 2-wheel normal drive car would be perfectly adequate for their needs. Over-specification has been around since the dawn of motoring. Hybrids will soon be obsolete though, as more and more types of pure electric cars become available with good battery range.

Edited by Sofa Spud on 18/08/2019 at 20:52

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - skidpan

Hybrids will soon be obsolete though, as more and more types of pure electric cars become available with good battery range.

I agree that Hybrids are only a stop gap but there has to be major infrastructure changes to make any pure electric car viable in the real world.

Take our twice a year trip to Scotland as an example. Its 430 miles each way thus there is still a way to go with battery technology to make that a single unbroken (other than by comfort breaks) drive.

Once we get there I have only spotted 2 charging points within a 10 mile radius, the hotel where our lodge development is based has none. To provide charging points for customers would mean installing potentially one at every parking spot, a major and expensive undertaking. Without that there would be extension cables hanging out of all the windows crossing the car parks overnight.

And do not expect the government to help. With loads of "spare" cash being wasted on Brexit they will just be sitting back hoping for the best (or a fairy godmother to appear).

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Avant

I agree - PHEVs and other hybrids are a stopgap, but the interesting question is....what's at the other end of the stopgap?

There's a body of opinion which sees hydrogen fuel cells as the way ahead long-term, when they can be produced in enough quantities to be affordable (currently a Toyota Mirai is about £60,000).

There's also a risk that there won't be unlimited supplies of the minerals which are needed to produce batteries for EVs. I can easily imagine a typically British scenario where eventually there is an adequate infrastructure in place for charging EVs, at the moment when batteries become scarce or prohibitively expensive.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - gordonbennet

Difficult for the average private buyer to know which way to jump, once electric cars attract their full share of fuel duty, the maths will change drastically, though once its in the govts interests for revenue raising then the charging infrastructure will be improved quickly.

Then what's to stop the grid taking power back from your car during charging as you sleep when the system fails as it did recently.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Bolt

I agree - PHEVs and other hybrids are a stopgap, but the interesting question is....what's at the other end of the stopgap?

There's a body of opinion which sees hydrogen fuel cells as the way ahead long-term, when they can be produced in enough quantities to be affordable (currently a Toyota Mirai is about £60,000).

There's also a risk that there won't be unlimited supplies of the minerals which are needed to produce batteries for EVs. I can easily imagine a typically British scenario where eventually there is an adequate infrastructure in place for charging EVs, at the moment when batteries become scarce or prohibitively expensive.

there is also a point made hybrids will stay due to not so many batteries needed and are more efficient, at the moment an EV needs to carry more weight in batteries than a hybrid to power its ancillaries and drive it.

the same has been said of hydrogen fuel cell which can power a house while standing or help charge another car which can also be charged by solar panels in the windows

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - madf

Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - gordonbennet

Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

...

elephant in the room syndrome

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Bolt

Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

Like a lot of things that have been warned about, no one takes any notice/cares until it happens to them, when its too late

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - alan1302

Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - madf

Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.

It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..

Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Bolt

Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.

It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..

Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..

Didn't the report state lightning was the cause, but afaia there will be an investigation as to why there was no backup, and it was mentioned that other forms of energy should be put in place (windfarms at sea) only problem is they were of the opinion public wouldn't pay the price of installation? approx. £5 a year on top of bills to cover costs

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - alan1302

Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.

It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..

Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..

Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes.

If the UK needs more capacity then we can of course just build more generating plants...am pretty sure when petrol vehicles started out there was not much infrastructure for them.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - madf
  • Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.

It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..

Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..

Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes.

If the UK needs more capacity then we can of course just build more generating plants...am pretty sure when petrol vehicles started out there was not much infrastructure for them.

Bllackout where I was lasted at least 20 minutes.. so don't believe what you read...

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - alan1302
  • Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.

It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..

Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..

Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes.

If the UK needs more capacity then we can of course just build more generating plants...am pretty sure when petrol vehicles started out there was not much infrastructure for them.

Bllackout where I was lasted at least 20 minutes.. so don't believe what you read...

What about my point about it not being to do with capacity which you claimed first?

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - madf

"What about my point about it not being to do with capacity which you claimed first?"

I CLAIM NOTHING:

I just report what is reported.

"The strike was one of many to hit the grid on the same day as the 9 August blackouts but National Grid claims the bolt hit a transmission circuit north of London and managed to bring down two electricity generators more than 100 miles apart in an “extremely rare and unexpected event”.

A report revealed National Grid was unable to cover the twin outages at a gas-fired power plant in Bedfordshire and an offshore wind farm off the east coast of England because it did not have enough backup."

tinyurl.com/y6hlt2ex

"his scale of generation loss meant that the level of "backup" power required under the regulatory standards was insufficient to cover the loss, the report from National Grid Electricity System Operator said.

As a result, the system automatically disconnected customers on the distribution network - resulting in about five per cent of electricity demand being turned off to protect the other 95 per cent."

tinyurl.com/y5xmozkc

I rest my case.. A lack of capacity..


New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - corax

I rest my case.. A lack of capacity..

Those links are both media reports, who will usually only give you half of the picture in order to sensationalise. You shouldn't believe everything you read.

According to this there was enough generating capacity in the system and it's more to do with operating reserve being insufficient.

theenergyst.com/national-grid-blackouts-lcp-analys.../

Your case is reopened...

Edited by corax on 21/08/2019 at 20:35

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - corax
  • Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.

It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..

Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..

Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes.

If the UK needs more capacity then we can of course just build more generating plants...am pretty sure when petrol vehicles started out there was not much infrastructure for them.

Bllackout where I was lasted at least 20 minutes.. so don't believe what you read...

So have you got a link to the report you mentioned, about capacity?

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Avant

"Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes."

I think he may have meant lightning - in which case capacity, at least in this case, may not have been the main issue.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - alan1302

"Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes."

I think he may have meant lightning - in which case capacity, at least in this case, may not have been the main issue.

Definitely meant capacity as he has put further up - still wrong though.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?

The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...

Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.

That would be a bit of a bummer if your EV had just rolled into a service stop with just a few miles of charge left and the power switchover (as it was in London) takes 1-2 hours. Don't forget that motorway service stops only have free parking for 2 hours, and car park capacity expecting most people only stop for less than 30 minutes for a loo break.

When I was on holiday a month ago, the supermarket petrol station in the nearby town experienced a localised power failure, so all I did was find another petrol station. Not so easy when your car's range is half my ICE car and you can't drive more than 10 miles. I drove 250-275 miles and still had 200 left in fuel. With an EV, I'd be out of juice by then.

Imagine if 30% of all cars in the supermarket car park (likely in the holiday period) was in a similar position, but all driving EVs and couldn't recharge? I hope none of them bought any frozen or perishable goods first...I doubt if the locals would take kindly to the car park being full of tourists just hanging around for ages either.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Leif

I agree - PHEVs and other hybrids are a stopgap, but the interesting question is....what's at the other end of the stopgap?

There's a body of opinion which sees hydrogen fuel cells as the way ahead long-term, when they can be produced in enough quantities to be affordable (currently a Toyota Mirai is about £60,000).

There's also a risk that there won't be unlimited supplies of the minerals which are needed to produce batteries for EVs. I can easily imagine a typically British scenario where eventually there is an adequate infrastructure in place for charging EVs, at the moment when batteries become scarce or prohibitively expensive.

Hydrogen does have advantages, quick refueling, no heavy batteries, and good range being among them. However, the fuel cells require expensive precious metals as catalysts which is why the cars cost so much. And you still have the problem of new infrastructure required. There is research being done into cheaper catalysts, so who knows, it might be the future. One interesting point about hydrogen is that it can be made in sun rich countries, such as Africa, using solar power, and exported to Europe and elsewhere, so in many respects it trumps batteries.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

Hydrogen does have advantages, quick refueling, no heavy batteries, and good range being among them. However, the fuel cells require expensive precious metals as catalysts which is why the cars cost so much. And you still have the problem of new infrastructure required. There is research being done into cheaper catalysts, so who knows, it might be the future. One interesting point about hydrogen is that it can be made in sun rich countries, such as Africa, using solar power, and exported to Europe and elsewhere, so in many respects it trumps batteries.

What about the emissions/pollution caused by exporting the hyrdogen in big ships - they make even planes look green in compairson, never mind HGVs and cars. Piped hyrodgen is a no-no for obvious safety/security reasons.

I would also note that whilst creating hydrogen from water is viable, it STILL requires lots of electricity to do so, far more overall than is used to extract and refine oil for the energy it can provide in the fuel cell engine.

This would mean having absolutely vast solar arrays and having the production facilities only by large sources of water - if they were on caostal areas, they would require complex/expensive desalinisation plants to be built to get just pure water before its split into Oxygen and Hydrogen; siting plants inland by fresh water lakes or rivers would be bad as there's already a terrible shortage of fresh water in most of Africa (and elsewhere where solar energy is greatest) which would make more people, their livestock and wildlife generally starve.

The example HJ gave of the Japanese (Toyota) plant using water to generate hydrogen only generated enough to run 6 small forklifts a day but took up the same area (charging solar panels and 'filling station') as a petrol filling station with 4-6 pumps, which could refuel many hundred cars and vans a day, if not thousands.

It just shows how far this tech has to go (especially the solar panels) to be able to reach the usefullness of petrol and diesel. It might work if the hydrogen were only used locally, rather than being exported.

Personally, battery tech and resources aside, I'd rather have huge solar arrays in such nations generating huge amounts of cheap electricity, then exporting the (hopefully very large) surplus to nearby nations for profit to lift them out of poverty, and to help provide electricty from countries in the daytime to those nearby that have just gone into darkness in the evening, and vice-versa in the early morning effectively sharing resources.

It's also worth noting that when tech requires large amounts of precious/rare metals and other raw materials, many of them are found in a small number of countries, just like large oil and gas reserves, so the problem of monopolistic suppliers (OPEC style) is still there, just for different things, plus China has been (IMHO) effectively bribing poor African nations (amongst many others) to effectly 'own' their nations' mineral supplies, which means they would have the whip hand with every other nation, threatening to default loans if they didn't get their way (as they are currently trying to do with the US to keep their artificial and huge trading advantage).

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Bolt

It just shows how far this tech has to go (especially the solar panels) to be able to reach the usefullness of petrol and diesel.

Just think how many panels will be needed, their cost and only any good during the day, unless this new panel comes into its own that can charge at night.

Toyota and Honda and iirc Hyundai are all working on the hydrogen tech so there must be something in it otherwise they wouldn't be spending fortunes on r&d

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - madf

Just imagine a big motorway pileup in snow and ice in winter. Thousands of cars stuck..Freezing conditions..

Anyone think motoritsts will prefer to freeze or will switch on heatres for hours to keep warm.

EVs then stuck with no charge ...

Nightmare scenario....

"

Sweden's EV boom is under threat from power crunch"

https://europe.autonews.com/automakers/swedens-ev-boom-under-threat-power-crunch

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - focussed

Same subject - this site is easier to view..

https://autofile.co.nz/swedens-ev-boom-under-threat-

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

It just shows how far this tech has to go (especially the solar panels) to be able to reach the usefullness of petrol and diesel.

Just think how many panels will be needed, their cost and only any good during the day, unless this new panel comes into its own that can charge at night.

Toyota and Honda and iirc Hyundai are all working on the hydrogen tech so there must be something in it otherwise they wouldn't be spending fortunes on r&d

Yes - it's just I believe the tech for actual green hydrogen production on a big scale so everyone can use fuel cells (a very worthy way of creating electricity without needing large amounts of batteries) is further away being commercially viable than many people think. Practically all fuel cell vehicles around the world use hydrogen produced from very environmentally unfriendly sources.

I think these car manufacturers are deliberately not putting all their eggs in one basket so that they aren't left behind once one technology wins out. Don't forget that they also have been developing and selling pure battery-powered EVs as well.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Bolt

Don't forget that they also have been developing and selling pure battery-powered EVs as well.

How could we forget, but as mentioned before, batteries will become harder to get enough of, and although talk is that they want to ban petrol and hybrids by 2030 due to not meeting the targets, I have doubts we will be able to- but then who knows what will happen in 10 years?

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

Don't forget that they also have been developing and selling pure battery-powered EVs as well.

How could we forget, but as mentioned before, batteries will become harder to get enough of, and although talk is that they want to ban petrol and hybrids by 2030 due to not meeting the targets, I have doubts we will be able to- but then who knows what will happen in 10 years?

Given more and more tech now uses lithium-ion batteries, their price is likely to rise as the availability of the raw materials is limited, and recycling worn-out batteries of that type is very labour/energy intensive.

I think that a healthy dose of realism needs to be taken, especially by policy-makers, the vast majority of whom are clueless and very prone to jumping on bandwagons for the wrong reasons, helped by people with vested interests (both financial and political) on all sides of arguments who, IMHO, regularly lie about the benefits and drawbacks of what tech they are promoting or agenda they are peddling.

Almost every decision made by them for the last 25 years as regards the motor industry, energy usage, generation and security, but especially environmental issues has been a complete disaster, and not just in the UK.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - nick62

I think that a healthy dose of realism needs to be taken,

Come on Andy, when did any minister do anything for "the right reasons" over political dogma / keeping THEIR job, (in the last 30 years at least)?

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

I think that a healthy dose of realism needs to be taken,

Come on Andy, when did any minister do anything for "the right reasons" over political dogma / keeping THEIR job, (in the last 30 years at least)?

Hence my comment about decisions over the last 25+ years. trouble is, that isn't exactly helped by the public thinking that their involvement in democracy begins and ends with voting for their MP and perhaps local councillor every few years and then blaming those voted in (I mean, quite often people barely notice the difference when a new one comes in) when the proverbial hits the fan?

And it's not just going on mraches and writing snotty letters/emails to said representative - people need to take an active role in the betterment of society, including using their skills and knowledge to help improve their environment directly and indirectly.

That includes experienced retirees and others helping the next generation, especially at the moment where common sense amongst younger members of society is severly lacking.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - madf

All you need to do is look at teh High Speed Rail shambles...(any project with Grayling involved is always a shambles)

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Leif

Hydrogen does have advantages, quick refueling, no heavy batteries, and good range being among them. However, the fuel cells require expensive precious metals as catalysts which is why the cars cost so much. And you still have the problem of new infrastructure required. There is research being done into cheaper catalysts, so who knows, it might be the future. One interesting point about hydrogen is that it can be made in sun rich countries, such as Africa, using solar power, and exported to Europe and elsewhere, so in many respects it trumps batteries.

What about the emissions/pollution caused by exporting the hyrdogen in big ships - they make even planes look green in compairson, never mind HGVs and cars.

We already ship LPG and petrol by ship, so no change there. Yes it's not ideal, but I believe the added carbon emissions will be small for an amount that matches a gallon of petrol.

Piped hyrodgen is a no-no for obvious safety/security reasons.

I would also note that whilst creating hydrogen from water is viable, it STILL requires lots of electricity to do so, far more overall than is used to extract and refine oil for the energy it can provide in the fuel cell engine.

This would mean having absolutely vast solar arrays and having the production facilities only by large sources of water - if they were on caostal areas, they would require complex/expensive desalinisation plants to be built to get just pure water before its split into Oxygen and Hydrogen; siting plants inland by fresh water lakes or rivers would be bad as there's already a terrible shortage of fresh water in most of Africa (and elsewhere where solar energy is greatest) which would make more people, their livestock and wildlife generally starve.

Yes, vast amounts of electricity are needed. Which is why I mentioned Africa. There are plenty of deserts next to seas.

The example HJ gave of the Japanese (Toyota) plant using water to generate hydrogen only generated enough to run 6 small forklifts a day but took up the same area (charging solar panels and 'filling station') as a petrol filling station with 4-6 pumps, which could refuel many hundred cars and vans a day, if not thousands.

It just shows how far this tech has to go (especially the solar panels) to be able to reach the usefullness of petrol and diesel. It might work if the hydrogen were only used locally, rather than being exported.

Personally, battery tech and resources aside, I'd rather have huge solar arrays in such nations generating huge amounts of cheap electricity, then exporting the (hopefully very large) surplus to nearby nations for profit to lift them out of poverty, and to help provide electricty from countries in the daytime to those nearby that have just gone into darkness in the evening, and vice-versa in the early morning effectively sharing resources.

It's also worth noting that when tech requires large amounts of precious/rare metals and other raw materials, many of them are found in a small number of countries, just like large oil and gas reserves, so the problem of monopolistic suppliers (OPEC style) is still there, just for different things, plus China has been (IMHO) effectively bribing poor African nations (amongst many others) to effectly 'own' their nations' mineral supplies, which means they would have the whip hand with every other nation, threatening to default loans if they didn't get their way (as they are currently trying to do with the US to keep their artificial and huge trading advantage).

Yes China is the obese gorilla in the room. However, solar cells are so cheap now because they are made in China. Apparently Perovskite solar cells are catching up with silicon ones. Silicon is expensive to make but requires cheap raw materials. Batteries require potentially scarce materials.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - Engineer Andy

Better to produce hydrogen locally. Liquifying it for storage/transportation is nowhere near the same or as easy as LPG. Hence why its not easy to get hold of in large quantities at the moment.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - SteveLee

With BIK dropping to 2% next year for electric cars and the fact I don't do huge miles these days I think I'll get a used Tesla S90 next year - they are already in the low £30Ks with a supercharging contract (which stays with the car) I run my own company so it's up to my boss (me) :-) I'd keep a second fun petrol car - considering a Mustang V8 auto as a weekend plaything as I'm getting too old for hooning around on two wheels.

New Tesla 3 - Real MPG - nick62

Sounds like a plan, good luck.

The biggest travesty of the low BIK is that generally it will only benefit well paid people who have remuneration that includes a £70K+ priced car. It's not going to help any "normal" salaried co. car driver.