Hybrids will soon be obsolete though, as more and more types of pure electric cars become available with good battery range.
I agree that Hybrids are only a stop gap but there has to be major infrastructure changes to make any pure electric car viable in the real world.
Take our twice a year trip to Scotland as an example. Its 430 miles each way thus there is still a way to go with battery technology to make that a single unbroken (other than by comfort breaks) drive.
Once we get there I have only spotted 2 charging points within a 10 mile radius, the hotel where our lodge development is based has none. To provide charging points for customers would mean installing potentially one at every parking spot, a major and expensive undertaking. Without that there would be extension cables hanging out of all the windows crossing the car parks overnight.
And do not expect the government to help. With loads of "spare" cash being wasted on Brexit they will just be sitting back hoping for the best (or a fairy godmother to appear).
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I agree - PHEVs and other hybrids are a stopgap, but the interesting question is....what's at the other end of the stopgap?
There's a body of opinion which sees hydrogen fuel cells as the way ahead long-term, when they can be produced in enough quantities to be affordable (currently a Toyota Mirai is about £60,000).
There's also a risk that there won't be unlimited supplies of the minerals which are needed to produce batteries for EVs. I can easily imagine a typically British scenario where eventually there is an adequate infrastructure in place for charging EVs, at the moment when batteries become scarce or prohibitively expensive.
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Difficult for the average private buyer to know which way to jump, once electric cars attract their full share of fuel duty, the maths will change drastically, though once its in the govts interests for revenue raising then the charging infrastructure will be improved quickly.
Then what's to stop the grid taking power back from your car during charging as you sleep when the system fails as it did recently.
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I agree - PHEVs and other hybrids are a stopgap, but the interesting question is....what's at the other end of the stopgap?
There's a body of opinion which sees hydrogen fuel cells as the way ahead long-term, when they can be produced in enough quantities to be affordable (currently a Toyota Mirai is about £60,000).
There's also a risk that there won't be unlimited supplies of the minerals which are needed to produce batteries for EVs. I can easily imagine a typically British scenario where eventually there is an adequate infrastructure in place for charging EVs, at the moment when batteries become scarce or prohibitively expensive.
there is also a point made hybrids will stay due to not so many batteries needed and are more efficient, at the moment an EV needs to carry more weight in batteries than a hybrid to power its ancillaries and drive it.
the same has been said of hydrogen fuel cell which can power a house while standing or help charge another car which can also be charged by solar panels in the windows
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Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
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Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
...
elephant in the room syndrome
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Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
Like a lot of things that have been warned about, no one takes any notice/cares until it happens to them, when its too late
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Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.
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Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.
It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..
Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..
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Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.
It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..
Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..
Didn't the report state lightning was the cause, but afaia there will be an investigation as to why there was no backup, and it was mentioned that other forms of energy should be put in place (windfarms at sea) only problem is they were of the opinion public wouldn't pay the price of installation? approx. £5 a year on top of bills to cover costs
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Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.
It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..
Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..
Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes.
If the UK needs more capacity then we can of course just build more generating plants...am pretty sure when petrol vehicles started out there was not much infrastructure for them.
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- Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.
It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..
Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..
Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes.
If the UK needs more capacity then we can of course just build more generating plants...am pretty sure when petrol vehicles started out there was not much infrastructure for them.
Bllackout where I was lasted at least 20 minutes.. so don't believe what you read...
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- Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.
It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..
Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..
Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes.
If the UK needs more capacity then we can of course just build more generating plants...am pretty sure when petrol vehicles started out there was not much infrastructure for them.
Bllackout where I was lasted at least 20 minutes.. so don't believe what you read...
What about my point about it not being to do with capacity which you claimed first?
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"What about my point about it not being to do with capacity which you claimed first?"
I CLAIM NOTHING:
I just report what is reported.
"The strike was one of many to hit the grid on the same day as the 9 August blackouts but National Grid claims the bolt hit a transmission circuit north of London and managed to bring down two electricity generators more than 100 miles apart in an “extremely rare and unexpected event”.
A report revealed National Grid was unable to cover the twin outages at a gas-fired power plant in Bedfordshire and an offshore wind farm off the east coast of England because it did not have enough backup."
tinyurl.com/y6hlt2ex
"his scale of generation loss meant that the level of "backup" power required under the regulatory standards was insufficient to cover the loss, the report from National Grid Electricity System Operator said.
As a result, the system automatically disconnected customers on the distribution network - resulting in about five per cent of electricity demand being turned off to protect the other 95 per cent."
tinyurl.com/y5xmozkc
I rest my case.. A lack of capacity..
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I rest my case.. A lack of capacity..
Those links are both media reports, who will usually only give you half of the picture in order to sensationalise. You shouldn't believe everything you read.
According to this there was enough generating capacity in the system and it's more to do with operating reserve being insufficient.
theenergyst.com/national-grid-blackouts-lcp-analys.../
Your case is reopened...
Edited by corax on 21/08/2019 at 20:35
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- Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.
It Was ALL about capacity. Grid could not cope with demand so demand had to be cut - today's report..
Imagine 5 million EVs plugged in over the weekend after a hot sunny day and millions going to teh beach and back..
Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes.
If the UK needs more capacity then we can of course just build more generating plants...am pretty sure when petrol vehicles started out there was not much infrastructure for them.
Bllackout where I was lasted at least 20 minutes.. so don't believe what you read...
So have you got a link to the report you mentioned, about capacity?
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"Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes."
I think he may have meant lightning - in which case capacity, at least in this case, may not have been the main issue.
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"Didn't mention about capacity in what I read...just that lighting caused an issue and 2 generating plants went offline and all sorted in 10 minutes."
I think he may have meant lightning - in which case capacity, at least in this case, may not have been the main issue.
Definitely meant capacity as he has put further up - still wrong though.
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Not many writers caught last week's power outage then..?
The National Grid is on a knife edge with capacity and supplty.. With more electric cars, expect more outages...
Wasn't about capacity though - 2 power plants went down together which was unexpected and took a bit of time to ramp up production.
That would be a bit of a bummer if your EV had just rolled into a service stop with just a few miles of charge left and the power switchover (as it was in London) takes 1-2 hours. Don't forget that motorway service stops only have free parking for 2 hours, and car park capacity expecting most people only stop for less than 30 minutes for a loo break.
When I was on holiday a month ago, the supermarket petrol station in the nearby town experienced a localised power failure, so all I did was find another petrol station. Not so easy when your car's range is half my ICE car and you can't drive more than 10 miles. I drove 250-275 miles and still had 200 left in fuel. With an EV, I'd be out of juice by then.
Imagine if 30% of all cars in the supermarket car park (likely in the holiday period) was in a similar position, but all driving EVs and couldn't recharge? I hope none of them bought any frozen or perishable goods first...I doubt if the locals would take kindly to the car park being full of tourists just hanging around for ages either.
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I agree - PHEVs and other hybrids are a stopgap, but the interesting question is....what's at the other end of the stopgap?
There's a body of opinion which sees hydrogen fuel cells as the way ahead long-term, when they can be produced in enough quantities to be affordable (currently a Toyota Mirai is about £60,000).
There's also a risk that there won't be unlimited supplies of the minerals which are needed to produce batteries for EVs. I can easily imagine a typically British scenario where eventually there is an adequate infrastructure in place for charging EVs, at the moment when batteries become scarce or prohibitively expensive.
Hydrogen does have advantages, quick refueling, no heavy batteries, and good range being among them. However, the fuel cells require expensive precious metals as catalysts which is why the cars cost so much. And you still have the problem of new infrastructure required. There is research being done into cheaper catalysts, so who knows, it might be the future. One interesting point about hydrogen is that it can be made in sun rich countries, such as Africa, using solar power, and exported to Europe and elsewhere, so in many respects it trumps batteries.
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Hydrogen does have advantages, quick refueling, no heavy batteries, and good range being among them. However, the fuel cells require expensive precious metals as catalysts which is why the cars cost so much. And you still have the problem of new infrastructure required. There is research being done into cheaper catalysts, so who knows, it might be the future. One interesting point about hydrogen is that it can be made in sun rich countries, such as Africa, using solar power, and exported to Europe and elsewhere, so in many respects it trumps batteries.
What about the emissions/pollution caused by exporting the hyrdogen in big ships - they make even planes look green in compairson, never mind HGVs and cars. Piped hyrodgen is a no-no for obvious safety/security reasons.
I would also note that whilst creating hydrogen from water is viable, it STILL requires lots of electricity to do so, far more overall than is used to extract and refine oil for the energy it can provide in the fuel cell engine.
This would mean having absolutely vast solar arrays and having the production facilities only by large sources of water - if they were on caostal areas, they would require complex/expensive desalinisation plants to be built to get just pure water before its split into Oxygen and Hydrogen; siting plants inland by fresh water lakes or rivers would be bad as there's already a terrible shortage of fresh water in most of Africa (and elsewhere where solar energy is greatest) which would make more people, their livestock and wildlife generally starve.
The example HJ gave of the Japanese (Toyota) plant using water to generate hydrogen only generated enough to run 6 small forklifts a day but took up the same area (charging solar panels and 'filling station') as a petrol filling station with 4-6 pumps, which could refuel many hundred cars and vans a day, if not thousands.
It just shows how far this tech has to go (especially the solar panels) to be able to reach the usefullness of petrol and diesel. It might work if the hydrogen were only used locally, rather than being exported.
Personally, battery tech and resources aside, I'd rather have huge solar arrays in such nations generating huge amounts of cheap electricity, then exporting the (hopefully very large) surplus to nearby nations for profit to lift them out of poverty, and to help provide electricty from countries in the daytime to those nearby that have just gone into darkness in the evening, and vice-versa in the early morning effectively sharing resources.
It's also worth noting that when tech requires large amounts of precious/rare metals and other raw materials, many of them are found in a small number of countries, just like large oil and gas reserves, so the problem of monopolistic suppliers (OPEC style) is still there, just for different things, plus China has been (IMHO) effectively bribing poor African nations (amongst many others) to effectly 'own' their nations' mineral supplies, which means they would have the whip hand with every other nation, threatening to default loans if they didn't get their way (as they are currently trying to do with the US to keep their artificial and huge trading advantage).
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It just shows how far this tech has to go (especially the solar panels) to be able to reach the usefullness of petrol and diesel.
Just think how many panels will be needed, their cost and only any good during the day, unless this new panel comes into its own that can charge at night.
Toyota and Honda and iirc Hyundai are all working on the hydrogen tech so there must be something in it otherwise they wouldn't be spending fortunes on r&d
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Just imagine a big motorway pileup in snow and ice in winter. Thousands of cars stuck..Freezing conditions..
Anyone think motoritsts will prefer to freeze or will switch on heatres for hours to keep warm.
EVs then stuck with no charge ...
Nightmare scenario....
"
Sweden's EV boom is under threat from power crunch"
https://europe.autonews.com/automakers/swedens-ev-boom-under-threat-power-crunch
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It just shows how far this tech has to go (especially the solar panels) to be able to reach the usefullness of petrol and diesel.
Just think how many panels will be needed, their cost and only any good during the day, unless this new panel comes into its own that can charge at night.
Toyota and Honda and iirc Hyundai are all working on the hydrogen tech so there must be something in it otherwise they wouldn't be spending fortunes on r&d
Yes - it's just I believe the tech for actual green hydrogen production on a big scale so everyone can use fuel cells (a very worthy way of creating electricity without needing large amounts of batteries) is further away being commercially viable than many people think. Practically all fuel cell vehicles around the world use hydrogen produced from very environmentally unfriendly sources.
I think these car manufacturers are deliberately not putting all their eggs in one basket so that they aren't left behind once one technology wins out. Don't forget that they also have been developing and selling pure battery-powered EVs as well.
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Don't forget that they also have been developing and selling pure battery-powered EVs as well.
How could we forget, but as mentioned before, batteries will become harder to get enough of, and although talk is that they want to ban petrol and hybrids by 2030 due to not meeting the targets, I have doubts we will be able to- but then who knows what will happen in 10 years?
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Don't forget that they also have been developing and selling pure battery-powered EVs as well.
How could we forget, but as mentioned before, batteries will become harder to get enough of, and although talk is that they want to ban petrol and hybrids by 2030 due to not meeting the targets, I have doubts we will be able to- but then who knows what will happen in 10 years?
Given more and more tech now uses lithium-ion batteries, their price is likely to rise as the availability of the raw materials is limited, and recycling worn-out batteries of that type is very labour/energy intensive.
I think that a healthy dose of realism needs to be taken, especially by policy-makers, the vast majority of whom are clueless and very prone to jumping on bandwagons for the wrong reasons, helped by people with vested interests (both financial and political) on all sides of arguments who, IMHO, regularly lie about the benefits and drawbacks of what tech they are promoting or agenda they are peddling.
Almost every decision made by them for the last 25 years as regards the motor industry, energy usage, generation and security, but especially environmental issues has been a complete disaster, and not just in the UK.
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I think that a healthy dose of realism needs to be taken,
Come on Andy, when did any minister do anything for "the right reasons" over political dogma / keeping THEIR job, (in the last 30 years at least)?
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I think that a healthy dose of realism needs to be taken,
Come on Andy, when did any minister do anything for "the right reasons" over political dogma / keeping THEIR job, (in the last 30 years at least)?
Hence my comment about decisions over the last 25+ years. trouble is, that isn't exactly helped by the public thinking that their involvement in democracy begins and ends with voting for their MP and perhaps local councillor every few years and then blaming those voted in (I mean, quite often people barely notice the difference when a new one comes in) when the proverbial hits the fan?
And it's not just going on mraches and writing snotty letters/emails to said representative - people need to take an active role in the betterment of society, including using their skills and knowledge to help improve their environment directly and indirectly.
That includes experienced retirees and others helping the next generation, especially at the moment where common sense amongst younger members of society is severly lacking.
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All you need to do is look at teh High Speed Rail shambles...(any project with Grayling involved is always a shambles)
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Hydrogen does have advantages, quick refueling, no heavy batteries, and good range being among them. However, the fuel cells require expensive precious metals as catalysts which is why the cars cost so much. And you still have the problem of new infrastructure required. There is research being done into cheaper catalysts, so who knows, it might be the future. One interesting point about hydrogen is that it can be made in sun rich countries, such as Africa, using solar power, and exported to Europe and elsewhere, so in many respects it trumps batteries.
What about the emissions/pollution caused by exporting the hyrdogen in big ships - they make even planes look green in compairson, never mind HGVs and cars.
We already ship LPG and petrol by ship, so no change there. Yes it's not ideal, but I believe the added carbon emissions will be small for an amount that matches a gallon of petrol.
Piped hyrodgen is a no-no for obvious safety/security reasons.
I would also note that whilst creating hydrogen from water is viable, it STILL requires lots of electricity to do so, far more overall than is used to extract and refine oil for the energy it can provide in the fuel cell engine.
This would mean having absolutely vast solar arrays and having the production facilities only by large sources of water - if they were on caostal areas, they would require complex/expensive desalinisation plants to be built to get just pure water before its split into Oxygen and Hydrogen; siting plants inland by fresh water lakes or rivers would be bad as there's already a terrible shortage of fresh water in most of Africa (and elsewhere where solar energy is greatest) which would make more people, their livestock and wildlife generally starve.
Yes, vast amounts of electricity are needed. Which is why I mentioned Africa. There are plenty of deserts next to seas.
The example HJ gave of the Japanese (Toyota) plant using water to generate hydrogen only generated enough to run 6 small forklifts a day but took up the same area (charging solar panels and 'filling station') as a petrol filling station with 4-6 pumps, which could refuel many hundred cars and vans a day, if not thousands.
It just shows how far this tech has to go (especially the solar panels) to be able to reach the usefullness of petrol and diesel. It might work if the hydrogen were only used locally, rather than being exported.
Personally, battery tech and resources aside, I'd rather have huge solar arrays in such nations generating huge amounts of cheap electricity, then exporting the (hopefully very large) surplus to nearby nations for profit to lift them out of poverty, and to help provide electricty from countries in the daytime to those nearby that have just gone into darkness in the evening, and vice-versa in the early morning effectively sharing resources.
It's also worth noting that when tech requires large amounts of precious/rare metals and other raw materials, many of them are found in a small number of countries, just like large oil and gas reserves, so the problem of monopolistic suppliers (OPEC style) is still there, just for different things, plus China has been (IMHO) effectively bribing poor African nations (amongst many others) to effectly 'own' their nations' mineral supplies, which means they would have the whip hand with every other nation, threatening to default loans if they didn't get their way (as they are currently trying to do with the US to keep their artificial and huge trading advantage).
Yes China is the obese gorilla in the room. However, solar cells are so cheap now because they are made in China. Apparently Perovskite solar cells are catching up with silicon ones. Silicon is expensive to make but requires cheap raw materials. Batteries require potentially scarce materials.
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Better to produce hydrogen locally. Liquifying it for storage/transportation is nowhere near the same or as easy as LPG. Hence why its not easy to get hold of in large quantities at the moment.
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