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- jimboLL
In response to FMS's emissions database query, I wonder how the various European governments are able to allocate the correct emissins vignette to every car owner who applies? They must each have some kind of database, which shows it is do-able.
- Ta-Ta JLR
The person defending electric cars hasn't thought about the problem in macro terms.

The electricity required to replace all the energy consumed by diesel and petrol engines in Cars, Taxis and Light Vans in the UK is 125 TWH*. The UK's Total Electricity Demand in 2016 was 357 TWH (357,000,000,000 KWH). Going all-electric adds at least 35% to the nation's electricity output and this is the immutable obstacle preventing the elimination of fossil fuel vehicles by centrally-generated power.
Source: www.gov.uk/government/statistics/electricity-chapt...s

The efficiencies achievable by various power station types used in the UK are: Coal - 42%, Gas Turbine - 38%, Nuclear - 38%
www.brighthubengineering.com/power-plants/72369-co.../

Every KWH of electricity produced takes the equivalent of up to 2.5KWH of energy in the raw state (coal, gas, oil, etc). When this is factored in the overall efficiency of the electric car falls to roughly the same as that of a diesel vehicle (36% vs 35%).

*Calculation requires these sources.

2015 Total Petrol Used by UK Cars, Taxis and Light Vans 11.9 M tonnes
2015 Total Diesel Used by UK Cars, Taxis and Light Vans 16.2 M tonnes
Source: www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/env01-...n

Calorific value of petrol (weighted average) = 46.2 GJ / tonne. Calorific value of diesel = 45.3 GJ / tonne
Source: www.gov.uk/government/statistics/dukes-calorific-v...s

Typical diesel car is 35% efficient, typical petrol car is 27% efficient.
Source: www.whatcar.com/advice/buying/do-i-choose-petrol-o.../

Electric Cars can be up to 90% efficient overall charge-discharge cycle
Source: www.catalyticengineering.com/top-ten-facts-about-t.../

They need to go back to the drawing board: maybe hydrogen cells or miniature nuclear reactors but not this. It can not work.
Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - carl_a

You have some valid points but your energy mix data is out of date. Coal is now a tiny part of the UK energy mix. You can even check out the latest data here gridwatch.co.uk

You're also comparing whole energy usage of an EV to just what a ICE car consumes after its been filled. To get the fuel to the petrol station uses a huge amount of energy.

Electric cars will be the most popular within the next 10 years. Hybrids will be worthwhile for some but the added complexity and weight will mean that this option will an expensive one.

Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - WillZander

Or install the Android app "GridCarbon" which provides an up to date analysis of consumption and breakdown. As of now 15:37 0n the 18th Wind at 26%, Nuclear at 25% Gas at 24% Solar 10% Coal is at 0.1%

Edited by WillZander on 18/08/2018 at 16:27

Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - Chris James

You have some valid points but your energy mix data is out of date. Coal is now a tiny part of the UK energy mix. You can even check out the latest data here gridwatch.co.uk

You're also comparing whole energy usage of an EV to just what a ICE car consumes after its been filled. To get the fuel to the petrol station uses a huge amount of energy.

Electric cars will be the most popular within the next 10 years. Hybrids will be worthwhile for some but the added complexity and weight will mean that this option will an expensive one.

The biggest problem is not just the generation but largely with the distribution of this Electricity both nationally and locally, if you think about how many fuel pumps there are in an average petrol station and replace each pump with a fast charger, you will be looking at the demand of 12 x 50kw or 12x 100kw fast chargers and that is 600kw - 1200kw of demand per petrol station which is roughly the same capacity of a medium sized manufacturing facility or a reasonably sized housing estate, multiply that for every petrol station in the Town and the requirement for several new substations and some serious upgrading of overhead lines feeding the Town immediately becomes obvious. This equates to £ billions of infrastructure investment, and if you really think that this isn't going to be added to either our standing charges or cost of Electricity (or both) then you are deluded - we still have the £11 billion cost of the smart meter roll out to foot the bill for yet!. Of course any increase in Electricity costs in relation to massive infrastructure and street capacity upgrades also means the domestic cost of lighting & heating homes also increases, whether you have an EV or not.

There is also the thought that the reason that the Government have such an hard on for installing smart meters, is because they soon want to levy the full 20% VAT on the car charging aspect of your energy use, or a higher per kw/h cost for the Electricity consumed by the car charging point, both of which will eventually enable them to claw back the pro-rata slice of the £27 Billion revenue it will be losing as the years pass by in tax and duty losses from the drop in conventional forecourt fuel sales. They can't do this with conventional metering. Lets not forget that the Government are not Saints or your Mum and so they are really not looking after your best interests, so beware of being told that something is being done for your betterment, whether its selling you an EV or installing a Smart Meter!.

Of course there is the more practical aspect of EV's like where to plug the things in, millions of houses don't have driveways and street park bumper to bumper. so inevitably there will be extension leads draped over garden hedges and down garden paths and crossing the pavements to their street parked cars, how long before somebody walking past or pushing a pram trips and puts an 'injury' claim in against the householder and the ambulance chasers begin to cash in on the 'risk'?. You watch our house insurance premiums triple when they begin covering the outlay of such claims!.

Any thoughts that there will be a charging point on every lamp post on every street or on every bin on A road layby's is simply laughable, around here the Highways can't even keep our streetlights maintained and the Council struggle to reliably empty our bins every two weeks, let alone fit, maintain and annually safety test thousands of street charging points, the cost of which is also likely to eventually be added to the charging cost!.

All in all, the current costs of charging EV's are to lure people in to giving up their existing cars and buying them, just the same as they did with diesels and once there are a few million EV's in daily use, just like with the diesel example, you watch the costs escalate as everybody in the charging point and energy companies want an ever bigger piece of the action as will the Government through taxing them.

Add all of these potential variable costs to any monthly battery lease charge (which somebody will still be paying even when the car is several years old and worth very little) and it won't be many years before the EV owners are all fondly reminiscing about how much cheaper those petrol and diesel cars were to run.....

Edited by Chris James on 18/08/2018 at 23:29

Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - carl_a

All in all, the current costs of charging EV's are to lure people in to giving up their existing cars and buying them, just the same as they did with diesels and once there are a few million EV's in daily use, just like with the diesel example, you watch the costs escalate as everybody in the charging point and energy companies want an ever bigger piece of the action as will the Government through taxing them.

Add all of these potential variable costs to any monthly battery lease charge (which somebody will still be paying even when the car is several years old and worth very little) and it won't be many years before the EV owners are all fondly reminiscing about how much cheaper those petrol and diesel cars were to run.....

Monthly leases, only one EV has that, the rest are fully owned battery packs.

As for the cost of running an EV, it's not really any cheaper when you factor in deprciation because you're paying more in the first place for the vehicle. Road Tax may be free on an EV but you pay more for insurance.

Infrastructure will come, it won't be petrol pump replacements, it'll be a lots smarter and in places where the car is left for some time. As for home charging, most home chargers will be smart in the coming years, I have one installed at my house and the charge can be controlled by the grid.

I don't remember anyone luring me in to buying a diesel and the government didn't either. Anyone that had read up on these things years ago knew that diesel wasn't good for the environment bar Co2 output. Diesel depended on your situation, if you were a company car driver or someone doing mega miles it may have made sense. As someone that did 15k miles a year, a diesel was more expensive so I always purchased petrol. Lots of people should have got their calculators out

- Mike Madin
Ecosport Owner
And not a mention anywhere yet, in the above,
on the millions of $ it costs every day (and the carbon emmisions from the big diesels in the mining equipment) to mine the materials necessary to produce all the components for these electric/hybrids. This cost will be on going, as you don't just have to make them once.

The words Swings and Roundabouts springs to mind


Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - carl_a

Quite correct, what about the millions of $ it costs to extract the oil, pump, refine and transport it, on those hugh diesel ships all over the planet each day.

The costs will be ongoing, as you don't just have to supply fuel once and it can't be recycled like EV parts.

Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - Chris James

Quite correct, what about the millions of $ it costs to extract the oil, pump, refine and transport it, on those hugh diesel ships all over the planet each day.

The costs will be ongoing, as you don't just have to supply fuel once and it can't be recycled like EV parts.

And how do you think Lithium gets transported from Mines in Australia to the Battery Manufacturers?, and how to do think that the finished batteries get transported to all of the Car plants around the world, given that Lithium batteries are banned from Air Cargo on safety grounds?.

They are transported on the same cargo ships that transport oil, those 50 year old vessels powered by huge banks of marine diesel engines which still burn a raw, unrefined form of diesel containing sulphur and zero emissions controls fitted to their stacks, so your point is kind of moot really, given how much pollution these wonderful 'green' car battery packs have contributed to the environment before they have even been fitted to the EV

Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - carl_a

They are transported on the same cargo ships that transport oil, those 50 year old vessels powered by huge banks of marine diesel engines which still burn a raw, unrefined form of diesel containing sulphur and zero emissions controls fitted to their stacks, so your point is kind of moot really, given how much pollution these wonderful 'green' car battery packs have contributed to the environment before they have even been fitted to the EV

Yes but it only happens once!

- BrendanP
My diesel costs about 4.5 pence/mile for fuel, then I have to pay another 6 pence/mile to the government in taxes and VAT. EVs only appear to have low fuel costs because fossil fuel costs are grossly inflated by being taxed so heavily. Do folk really believe future governments aren't going to start taxing the use of an EV to recoup what they take in fuel duty? Why do you think they want to roll out smart meters? So when you plug your car in to charge it, they can interrogate it, read how many miles it has done since the last charge, and slap a mileage levy onto your electricity bill. The problem with EV charging isn't a lack of generating capacity, it's a lack of capacity in the local distribution system. The local sub-station and underground cabling isn't rated for everyone plugging in their cars to charge every night, in addition to what they already consume.
Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - carl_a
My diesel costs about 4.5 pence/mile for fuel, then I have to pay another 6 pence/mile to the government in taxes and VAT. EVs only appear to have low fuel costs because fossil fuel costs are grossly inflated by being taxed so heavily. Do folk really believe future governments aren't going to start taxing the use of an EV to recoup what they take in fuel duty? Why do you think they want to roll out smart meters? So when you plug your car in to charge it, they can interrogate it, read how many miles it has done since the last charge, and slap a mileage levy onto your electricity bill. The problem with EV charging isn't a lack of generating capacity, it's a lack of capacity in the local distribution system. The local sub-station and underground cabling isn't rated for everyone plugging in their cars to charge every night, in addition to what they already consume.

Smart meters will never know home much charge goes into your car. The charger itself will be the smart part. Of course the government will start charging, they'll start road charging at some pointbut that isn't how it is now.

Capacity in the system, national grid have been interviewed many times on this, it'll be fine.

Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - BrendanP

The meter doesn't need to know how much charge is going into your EV, it just needs to find out the mileage so they can slap 6 or 7p/mile onto your bill. The local distribution system is the problem, not the national grid. If you have the time, go and find the transformer that supplies your house. It's probably tucked away in a corner in a fenced compound. With any luck you might be able to read the rating plate that tells you the size in kVA or MVA. Divide that by the number of homes it has to supply, then you'll know the average consumption each home can take without overloading the transformer. You may have an 80A fuse to your meter, but the transformer isn't sized to allow every consumer to draw 80A simultaneously.

Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - Marcus T.

The sort of capacity and ability for most to switch to EV's is a very long way off according to my neighbour, who is an Infrastructure Manager for SSE.

Edited by MARK L. on 24/08/2018 at 16:32

- Ian S Mccarthy
Take a look at the IMF study on the total cost and subsidies of petrochemicals, including externalities

www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2015/09/28/04/53/sone...a

The argument that people don't have access to charging points is true but that is an rgument for partial substitution of evs and sharing evs for cities. NOT an argument for diesels
- jchinuk
For a lot of people, certainly in the UK, the biggest "problem" with recharging electric cars as their properties were either built without provision for cars(of any sort) or are flats.
Around here, East London, even estates built up to the 50s assumed most would not have a car, therefore the access is either 25+ yards from a road or completely pedistrian. Likewise more modern estates on gain planning permission by restricting parking spaces to less than one per household. Ironically one estate nearby has garages too small for a current Focus/Golf, so everyone tries to park on the road.
I think I'll buy shares in a company selling extension leads...
- blackertracker
Re: 'Datablank'.

The Vehicle Certification Agency supply emissions standard information at this UK government website: carfueldata.direct.gov.uk
Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - Miniman777

Emmisions checker - www.hpi.co.uk/content/diesel-news-the-future-of-di.../

Cant guarantee accuracy

- Patrick Russell
Emmisions checker - www.hpi.co.uk/content/diesel-news-the-future-of-di.../

Doesn't work. Registers my Euro 6 but 15 reg car as Euro 5.

carfueldata.direct.gov.uk/search-new-or-used-cars....x

Doesn't work either. Same basic assumptions on dates seem to be happening.
Honest John’s Motoring Agony Column 18-8-2018 Part 2 - blackertracker
Carfueldata works for my 2001 Golf, which is correctly identified as Euro 4 compliant. Unlike Transport for London, who blanket categorise cars by date of manufacture for the T-Charge and ULEZ charge.
- madf
I love it when people discuss EVs and talk about "charging at home"..Will not happen if you live in flats or houses with no secure access to the car.. So that's about half the population. And a charging station of the equivalent capacity as a petrol station on a motorway is going to need to be either multi-storey or take 5 times (or so) the current floor area to cater for the 30 minute charge times..

AND None - like none of the calculations of the UK's electricity capacity make ANY sense. The problem is winter when range decreases 10-20% and domestic consumption rises 10-20%.. Of course battery powered stations will help.. and cost £10Millions ++

Try again. In real world conditions and be frightened at the answers..

The real use for Smart Meters is for Variable Rate tariffs at peak times Fortunately mine does not work...and will not for a decade until the muppets who thought up the shambles have left and are replaced by someone with common sense.
- gordonbennet
Whatever system is used to take the money from the motorist, be under no illusions that electric vehicles will stay cheap in pence per mile terms.

For those who have them currently, enjoy whatever benefits you believe you have because this situation isn't permanent.